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Title: A Re-examination of Variance-Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates Author: nccu Last modified by: Liu Created Date: 11/22/2000 10:54:10 AM – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Comments on


1
Comments on When Does Idiosyncratic Risk Really
Matter
  • Yuanchen Chang
  • National Chengchi University

2
Summary of this paper
  • Propose a simple noise reduction method that
    includes two different noisy measures (value
    weighted and equal weighted indices) in the same
    predictive regression to reexamine the relation
    between idiosyncratic risk and the expected
    future market return.
  • Results show that the noise effect tends to
    cancel out and produce predictive power.

3
Contribution of this paper
  • Resolving the empirical debate on the pricing
    role of idiosyncratic risk and unify the
    time-series evidence with the cross-sectional
    evidence.

4
Some observations
  • 1. The claim that a stocks proportional investor
    base is equal to its market value weight may not
    be true.
  • Control for institutional holdings.

5
Some observations
  • 2. Alternative proxies for idiosyncratic risk
  • Mutual fund or hedge fund volatility.
  • VIX
  • 3. Alternative weighting scheme for market
    weight.
  • Negatively related to market weight(Arnold and
    Hsu, 2005).

6
Some observations
  • 4. How to handle variables with multicollinearity
    concerns?
  • Form a principal component by grouping together
    the two variables into a composite index.
  • Use a joint F test on the dual predictors to see
    if they are not significantly different from
    zero.

7
Some more observations
  • 5. Why stop at dual predictors?
  • Trio might be better.

8
Final comment
  • I enjoy reading this paper and
  • I think it has potentials to make a
    contribution to the current literature.
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