Title: ??(foreign exchange) ????????????????????
1?20? ???????
2????
- ??
- ??
- ????
- ???????
- ?????????????????
- ??????????
3??
4?????
- ??(foreign exchange) ????????????????????
- ???????????????????????????????
- ?????????????????????????????????????
5?????????
- ????????????????????????????????????
- ???????????????????????,????????????????IMF??????
????????? - SDR???????????????,?????????????,??1??SDR?44????3
4????11????11????
6?????????(?)
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
?? 2,066 2,417 2,533 2,661 2,703 2,917 3,482 3,820
?? 4,081 6,145 8,215 10,663 15,282 19,460 23,992 28,500
?? 1,183 1,235 1,242 1,332 1,527 1,825 2,558 268,7
?? 6,632 8,338 8,343 8,953 9,484 10,306 10,494 10,962
?? 1,552 1,989 2,103 2,389 2,618 2,012 2,700 2,960
??? 957 1,122 1,158 1,362 1,625 1,742 1,878 2,227
???? 445 659 699 821 1,010 911 865 959
?? 410 486 507 653 852 1,110 1,384 1,652
?? 506 488 451 416 443 431 393 373
?? 399 429 379 407 449 502 509 475
?? 354 399 385 407 490 444 356 458
?? 301 353 278 427 457 336 263 362
??? 362 344 330 350 410 439 544 459
??? 303 278 255 257 284 371 347 357
??? 731 1,208 1,759 2,956 4,668 4,118 4,166 4,436
???????????(IMF),??????(IFS),??????????
7??
- ???????
- ????
- ?????? ??
- ??????????????
- ?????????
8???????
- ??????????????
- ?????????????????
- ???????1????????????????????,??1??????32????,????
?32NT/1U? - ???????1????????????????????,??1????????1/32??,??
???0.03125U/NT?
9???????(?)
- ??????
- ????????????????
- ??????
- ?????????????????????
- ?????????????????????,????????????????????????????
?
10??????
- ?????????
- ??????????
- ??,??????????(
)
11????????
- ??????????????????,???????,??,???????????
- ???????????,????????,?????????????30 NT/1U???32
NT/1U? - ??????????,????????,????????????0.033 1U/1
NT???0.035 1U/1 NT?
12????????(?)
- ????????????????????????????????????????????????
- ???????????30 NT/1U???33 NT/1 U,?????????
-
- ????????
13????
- ??????
- ???????,?????????,??????????,?????????????
- ????????????,??????????????,???????????????????
- ????????????,????????????????????????,?????????
-
14????????
- ??
- ??????
- ??????
- ??????????????????,???????????????????????,???????
??
15????????
- ??
- ?????????
- ?????????
- ????????
- ???????
- ? ????0.25NT??1
- ? ????1??
- ? ???? ??0.33NT
- ??????,??????0.25NT????0.33NT?
16??????????
- A??B??????0.25NT/1?????0.25NT??1?B??C??????90?/
1U????1???(1/90)UC??A??????30NT/1U?(1/90)U??
0.33NT?
A
0.25NT
0.33NT
B
C
1?
(1/90)U
17?????????
- ??????????????
- ?????????????,????????
- q???? E????
- Pf???????? Pd????????
- ??????????????,???????????????????????,?????????,?
????????????????????
18????
- ??????????????
- ????????????????????,???????????????????,????????
??? - ????????(???????)??????????? ?
- ????????????????????????? ?
19???? (?)
- ????????????????????,???????????????????(?????????
)???????????? - ???????????,2010????????????????
4???,????????????,???????????,????????????????
20????(?)
???????????????? ??
2001? 2004? 2007? 2010?
?? 90.3 88.7 86.3 84.9
?? 37.6 37.2 37.0 39.1
?? 22.7 20.3 16.5 19.0
?? 13.2 16.9 15.0 12.9
???? 6.1 6.1 6.8 7.6
??? 4.2 5.5 6.7 6.4
???? 4.5 4.2 4.2 5.3
??? 2.6 2.3 2.8 2.2
?? 2.3 1.9 2.8 2.4
???? 16.5 16.9 21.9 20.2
?? 200 200 200 200
21???? (?)
- ??????
- ????????????????
- ???????????????????
- ????????????????????????????????????
- ????????????,?????????????,?????????????
?????????????,??????????????????,??,???????
22???????
23????
- ???????????????,?????????,???????????(spot
exchange rate)?
24????
- ????????????????,????????????????,???????????(for
ward exchange rate)? - ??????????????????,????????????
25????
- ????(swap)??????????????????????,????A?????B??,???
?????B????A??????
26??????
- ??? ?????100???(????),???3????
?100????????(????),?????0.500 (32.500
NT/U-32.000 NT/U)?
27???????
- ?????????
- ??????
- ???????
- ??????
28????????????????
- ?????????????????????????,?????????????????????
29????????????????(?)
- ?????????
- ????????????
- ????????????(???)
- ?????????????
- ???????????
- ???????????(?????????????)
30????????????????(?)
- ?????,??????????????,????????????,??????,??????,??
,??????????
?? (E)
S
???? (FE)
0
31????????????????(?)
- ?????????
- ????????????
- ????????????(???)
- ?????????????
- ???????????
- ???????????(????????????)
32????????????????(?)
- ?????,???????????????,????????????,??????,??,?????
?????
?? (E)
D
???? (FE)
0
33????????????????(?)
- ????????????,????????????????????,?????,??????????
????,?????,?????????????
????????
34????????????????(?)
- ???????,?????S??,??????,??,???????,?????S??,??????
? - ???????,?????D??,??????,??,???????,?????D??,??????
?
35??????
- ??????????????????????????????????,??????????????
???????? - ????????????
- P P E
- P ?????(??)???(??????/??)
- P ?????(??)???(?????/??)
- E ?????????(???NT/U)
36??????(?)
- ??????????,????????????1??????? 10 ????,?
???1??,?1?????20????, - ?????????????
- P lt P E
- ?????????????????,??,?????????( P ?)?????
- ?????( P?)???????????
- ?(E?),??P P E???
37???????
- ????????? ????????????????????????,??????????????
??????? -
- ?????????????
38???????(?)
- ???????????????????????,?
- ??????,?????????,??????,??,????????,?????????,????
???
39???????(?)
- ????????????????????????????????????????????????,
? - ???????????????????,????????,???????????????????,
???????
40??????
- ????????????????,?????????????????????????
41??????(?)
- ????????????????????,????????????????????,???????
????? - i t 1?????????
- it 1????????
- ??????(NT/U)
-
??1???????(NT/U) - ????????,??????????,???????
- ????????,??????????,???????
42?????????????????
- ??
- ?????(Big Mac)?????????,???120?????,?????????????
- ????????(The Economist)?1986??????????????/???????
???(?????)?? ??????????????(exchange rate implied
by PPP)?,??????????????????????
43?????????????????
- ?2010?3?17?,???????????????75?,???????3.58??,??,??
????20.95 NT/U,???????????,1??????20.95????,??,??
1????????31.912????? - ???????????????????
44?????????????????(?)
- ??2010?3???????,????????????,????????????????
45?????????????????
- ????????????????,?????2004?????????,??????????????
?????? - ?????????,???????????????????????????????????,????
???????????????,??????????????
46??????????
- ???,??????????????????????????
- ???????????????,????????????
- ???????????????,?????????????
- ???????????????????????
47??????????(?)
- ??????(yen carry trade)
- ?????????????
- ???????????,?????????????,??????????????
48??????????(?)
- ????????????????
- ????
- ????????????????,??????,?????????????????
- ?????????
- ????????????,?????????????