Title: ????,???? -??green new deal???????
1????,????-??green new deal???????
- ???
- ??? ?????????(IEK)
- 2009-12-08
2??
- ???????????
- ??????????
- ???????-?PV?LED?EV????
- ??
3???????????
4???????????
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5???????????
- ??????????,93???????????
- 80?????????????(??20???????????????)
- ???????????????????,?????????????
????????? Agenda 21 ?WSSD???
6????????????????
10?????
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7????????????
8???????????
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9??????????
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GREENESS????????
10??????????-?????????
11??????-(1)???????
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12??????-(2)????????
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13????????????????
???(stressor)
???????????? eco-efficiency and Life-cycle
management
??????
??????
14????????????
??????(?????????)
??????(?????????)
??????(????????)
- ?????????
- ?????BAT
- DfE???????
?????
???????,???????business model
15?????????(?)
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- ?????????
- (????????????)
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(???)
16?????????????????
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10
100
1000
???????(?/?)
17??????????????
Au recovery 95
Au recovery 25
Sources C. Hageluken, Mining our computers,
metals recovery from e-scrape, EGG 2008, Berlin
18??????????
- 21??????????
- ??????,????????? (??????)
- ?????????????????
- ?????????????
- ??????????????
- ??????????
????7????? ?(Ni)??(Cr)??(W)??(Co)??(Mo)??(Mn)??(V)
IT???(Ta)??(Ga)??(In)
?????6? ?(Pd)??(Pt)??(Nb)??(Sb)??(Zr)??(Sr) ??17?
?(SC)??(Y)??(La)??(Se)??(Pr)??(Nd)??(Pm)??(Sm)??(G
d)??(Tb)??(Dy)??(Ho)??(Er)????(Yb)??(Lu)
19???????????????
????????????(?)(in log scale)
?? ?CO2 / ????
Au 16,991
Pt 13,953
Ru 13,954
Pd 9,380
Ag 144
In 142
Sn 16.1
Co 7.6
Cu 3.4
Au
Pt
Ru
1,000
Pd
Ag
In
100
??????? In Zn, (Pb) Ag (Pb, Zn) Au (Cu) Co
Ni, CU
Sn
10
Co
Cu
20
40
60
80
100
?????ICT???????????( )
20?????????
?? ??????()
?? 99.5
??? 75.6
?? 52.4
?? 50.6
???? 30.9
?? 20
?? 40
??? 30
?????????? 2006?????2.35??? (??????
20) ????5,000-10,000 tpy?????
???????????????
21????(Cascade)???????
????
?????
????
????
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22???????-?PV?LED?EV????
23??????????
Dead end ???
??
?????-B?
???? ????
????????
?CO2??
???????? (??grid parity)
??CO2??
????/???????
?????-A?
2030
2009
??
2020
24????????(???????)
??
??
??
???
??
???
?
?
200
400
600
800
1000
???(gCO2/kwh)
????LCA of Renewable Energy Systems, G.
Harrison, U. of Edinburgh , 2008-07-09
25????-CO2 Cost Abatement Curve
5280
NTD
??????
CCS, new coal
2000
???????
????
Solar
???????
1000
????
MT
0
?
10
???
?
??
30
??
??????
-1000
????
-7000
????
???????McKinsey CO2 Cost Abatement Curve
(2007/12)
26????????????
98?????????????????????,?????????? ??,????????????
????
?????????? 2009
27???????????
1.??PV????????? 2005-2007???????35,
2008??????5,559MWp,??132? 2.2009???????????,EPIA
(European Photovoltaic Industry Association)
??????????17?
- 3.????????,?????????,2008?Q3??????
- 4.????????2008?Q13.8/W 2009?Q22.2/W?
- 5.?????? Display Bank ??2009?Module????2.7 /W?
???????????????
????
???? Display Bank (2009/04)
????European Photovoltaic Industry Association
(EPIA) ?????(2009/04)
28???????????????
Productivity
???? ????????
C-Si
??????
CdTe
a-Si
??? ?????
????
III-V
Organic
????? ??????
??? ?????
CIGS
Efficiency
Low Cost
???????IEK (2009/02)
29????????????
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????????? PV???????
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302015???LED??????????827???
??LED?????????
31LED????????????
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???????IEK (2009/02)
32LED????????????
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?IP?? ?????
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LED????
LED??
LED????
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332015??????????
- ?2015??,???????????2008??11???2025,????HEV??
- ??????????????,BEV ?2015?????????
SourceFS,2009
34?????????????
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??????-PEU
- ???????????????????????,?????????
- ?????????Tesla??????,???????????,??????,????,?????
- ???????????,???????????,???????,?????
- ????????1?4???18650????,???BMW?????????module?
- ?????????????????pack???,????????????????????????
- ??????????,??????????????,??3??????????
- ????Tesla?????,?????????????
- ????????????DC/AC inverter??,??????20??,?????????
- ?????????????????,?????????
???????????????
35????????SWOT??
S(????) W (????)
????????????????????? ???????????????? ??????????????????? ICT?????? ???????????????????????????? ??????????????????????? ??????????? ?????,???????
O(????) T(????)
???????????? ???????????????,??????????????? ?????????????????????????????? ????????????????????????? ??????????????????????? ??????????????,???????????????
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37????????????
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38????????????
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???????? ?????(??)
????? ???
(?????/??)
39Innovation Integration
?????????
??????????????
???????
Innovation
Integration