Title: Using AmeriFlux Observations in the NACP Site-level Interim Synthesis
1Using AmeriFlux Observations in the NACP
Site-level Interim Synthesis
- Kevin Schaefer
- NACP Site Synthesis Team
- Flux Tower PIs
- Modeling Teams
2Do models match observations? If not, why?
30 Models
47 Flux Tower Sites
36 AmeriFlux 11 Fluxnet Canada
24 submitted output 10 runs per site
3Analysis Projects
Published
Submitted
4Products Derived from Flux Data
- Gap-filled observed weather (Ricciuto et al.)
- BADM files (everyone)
- Gap-filled fluxes Uncertainty (Barr et al.)
- Random
- U threshold
- Gap-filling Algorithm
- Partitioning Algorithm
5Random Uncertainty (Barr et al.)
Needleleaf Forest Broadleaf Forest Mixedwood
Forest Juvenile Forest Wetland Grassland Shrublan
d Cropland
? USA ? Canada
Annual eNEP (g C m-2 y-1)
Annual Re (g C m-2 y-1)
- Random eNEP 4 Re
- Uth eNEP 1.3 Re
6BADM Files
- Extremely useful to modelers
- Soil texture
- Site history
- Initial pools sizes
- Leaf Area Index
- We strongly encourage more submissions
7Weather Uncertainty (Ricciuto et al.)
- Bias in radiation produces bias in GPP
8Agriculture Sites (Lokupitiya et al.)
US-Ne3
Soybean
Corn
Corn
Soybean
- Need crop specific parameterizations
9Wetland Sites (Desai et al.)
- Residuals correlate to water table depth
- Models should include water table dynamics
10Spectral NEE Error (Dietze et al.)
Annual
Month
Diurnal
Synoptic
Not Significant
- Error peak at diurnal annual time scales
- Errors at synoptic monthly time scales
11NEE Wavelet Coherence (Stoy et al.)
SiB at US-UMB
Annual
Significant
Month
Synoptic
Time Scale (hours)
Diurnal
Hour
- Models match observations only some of the time
12NEE Seasonal Cycle (Schwalm et al.)
0.6
Add soil layers
0.5
Taylor Skill
0.4
0
11
15
1
2
3
7
9
10
Number Soil Layers
13Phenology (Richardson et al.)
- Early/late uptake means positive GPP bias
- Models need better phenology
14Regional vs. Site (Raczka et al.)
Flux Towers
Light Use Efficiency
Enzyme Kinetic
- Enzyme kinetic models biased high
- LUE models biased low
15GPP Annual Bias (Schaefer et al.)
US-Me2 Light Use Efficiency Curve
Observed
Simulated
Daily Average GPP (mmol m-2 s-1)
Daily Average Shortwave Radiation (W m-2)
- Slope of LUE Curve drives Annual bias
- Models need better Vmax, leaf-to-canopy scaling,
16Areas For Model Development
- Better Phenology
- More soil layers
- More vegetation pools
- Slopes to LUE curve
- Water table dynamics
- Crop parameterizations
17Extra Slides
18Annual GPP Bias due to Phenology
Evergreen sites
Deciduous sites
4080
160145
-565
75130
19Multi-Model wavelet Coherence
Scale (hours)
20NEE Seasonal Cycle (Schwalm et al.)
Our 1st published paper!
Perfect Model
Taylor Skill
Normalized Mean Absolute Error
Chi-squared
21Uth vs. Random Uncertainty (Barr et al.)
Needleleaf Forest Broadleaf Forest Mixedwood
Forest Juvenile Forest Wetland Grassland Shrublan
d Cropland
? USA ? Canada
Uth Annual eNEP (g C m-2 y-1)
Random Annual eNEP (g C m-2 y-1)