ALTERNATIVE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATES FOR OCTOBER

1
ALTERNATIVE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATES FOR OCTOBER
Implied probability

Chairmans testimony
FOMC Minutes/Renminbi revaluation/London bombings
Beige Book/Durable orders
GDP
3.75
3.50
3.25
4.00
2005
2
ALTERNATIVE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATES FOR
NOVEMBER
Implied probability
Current target rate 3.25
July 22, 2005
July 25, 2005
July 26, 2005
July 27, 2005
July 28, 2005
July 29, 2005
3
ALTERNATIVE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATES FOR
NOVEMBER
Implied probability
Current target rate 3.25
July 25, 2005
July 27, 2005
July 29, 2005
4
ALTERNATIVE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATES FOR
NOVEMBER
Implied probability
4.00
Beige Book/Durable orders
GDP
3.75
3.50
4.25
2005