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Overview

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p-Value. Probability of observing a sample statistic (such as x or Z data) at least as extreme as observed statistic assuming null hypothesis is true. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Overview


1
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2
Overview
  • 10.1 Inference for Mean DifferenceDependent
    Samples
  • 10.2 Inference for Two Independent Means
  • 10.3 Inference for Two Independent
  • Proportions

3
p-Value Method
  • Method for carrying out hypothesis test
  • p-Value measures how well data fits null
    hypothesis.

4
p-Value
  • Probability of observing a sample statistic (such
    as x or Zdata) at least as extreme as observed
    statistic assuming null hypothesis is true.
  • Roughly speaking, represents probability of
    observing sample statistic if the null hypothesis
    is true.
  • Since term p-value means probability value,
    always lies between 0 and 1.

5
Rejection Rule
  • When performing a hypothesis test
  • using the p-value method
  • Reject H0 when the p-value is less
  • than a.

6
Assessment of the Strength of Evidence
Table 9.5 Strength of evidence against the null
hypothesis for various levels of p-value
7
10.1 Inference for Mean DifferenceDependent
Samples
  • Objectives
  • By the end of this section, I will be
  • able to
  • Distinguish between independent samples and
    dependent samples.
  • Perform hypothesis tests for the population mean
    difference for dependent samples using the
    p-value method and the critical value method.

8
Independent Samples and Dependent Samples
  • Two samples are independent when the subjects
    selected for the first sample do not determine
    the subjects in the second sample.
  • Two samples are dependent when the subjects in
    the first sample determine the subjects in the
    second sample.
  • The data from dependent samples are called
    matched-pair or paired samples.

9
Example 10.1 - Dependent or independent sampling?
  • Indicate whether each of the following
    experiments uses
  • an independent or dependent sampling method.
  • a. A study wished to compare the differences in
    price
  • between name-brand merchandise and store-brand
  • merchandise. Name-brand and store-brand items of
    the
  • same size were purchased from each of the
    following six
  • categories paper towels, shampoo, cereal, ice
    cream,
  • peanut butter, and milk.
  • b. A study wished to compare traditional
    acupuncture
  • with usual clinical care for a certain type of
    lower-back
  • pain. The 241 subjects suffering from persistent
  • non-specific lower-back pain were randomly
    assigned to
  • receive either traditional acupuncture or the
    usual
  • clinical care. The results were measured at 12
    and 24
  • months.

10
Example 10.1 continued
  • Solution
  • a. For a given store, each name-brand item in the
    first sample is associated with exactly one
    store-brand item of that size in the second
    sample.
  • Items in the first sample determine the items in
    the second sample
  • Example of dependent sampling
  • b. Randomly assigned to receive either of the two
    treatments
  • Thus, the subjects that received acupuncture did
    not determine those who received clinical care,
    and vice versa.
  • Example of independent sampling.

11
Paired Sample t Test for the Population Mean The
Critical Value Method
  • Step 1
  • State the hypotheses and the rejection rule.
  • Use one of the hypothesis test forms from Table
    10.2 below.
  • State clearly the meaning of µd.

12
Paired Sample t Test for the Population Mean The
p-value Method
  • Step 2
  • Enter the columns as lists in your calculator and
    find the difference between the two columns.
  • Use the option STATSgtTESTSgt2T-TEST..
  • Inpt DATA
  • Choose the list with the differences.
  • Obtain the p-value.

13
Paired Sample t Test for the Population Mean The
Critical Value Method
  • Step 3
  • If p lt a, reject the null hypothesis.
  • Step 4
  • State the conclusion and the interpretation.

14
10.2 Inference for Two Independent Means
15
Sampling Distribution of x1-x2
  • Random samples drawn independently from
    populations with population means µ1 and µ2 and
    either
  • Case 1
  • The two populations are normally distributed,
    or
  • Case 2
  • The two sample sizes are large (at least 30),
    then the quantity

16
Sampling Distribution of x1-x2 continued
  • Approximately a t distribution
  • Degrees of freedom equal to the smaller of n1 - 1
    and n2 1
  • x1 and s1 represent the mean and standard
    deviation of the sample taken from population 1,
  • x2 and s2 represent the mean and standard
    deviation of the sample taken from population 2.

17
Standard Error of x1-x2
  • Standard error of the statistic
    is
  • It measures the size of the typical error in
    using to measure µ1- µ2.

18
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Means
  • p-Value Method
  • Step 1
  • Select the option STATSgtTESTSgt4 2-SampTTEST.
  • Enter the given information.
  • Step 2
  • Find tdata.

19
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Means continued
  • Step 3
  • Find the p-value using calculator.
  • Step 4
  • State the conclusion and interpretation.
  • Compare the p-value with a.

20
10.3 Inference for Two Independent Proportions
21
Sampling Distribution of p1 - p2
  • Independent random samples from two populations
  • The quantity

22
Sampling Distribution of p1 - p2 continued
  • Has an approximately standard normal distribution
    when the following conditions are satisfied
  • x1 5, (n1 - x1) 5, x2 5, (n2 - x2) 5
  • p1 and n1 represent the sample proportion and
    sample size of the sample taken from population 1
    with population proportion p1

23
Sampling Distribution of p1 - p2 continued
  • p2 and n2 represent the sample proportion and
    sample size of the sample taken from population 2
    with population proportion p2
  • q1 1 - p1 and q2 1 - p2.

24
Standard Error of p1 - p2
  • Standard error of the statistic p1 - p2
  • Where q1 1 - p1 and q2 1 - p2.
  • The standard error measures the size of
    the typical error in using p1 - p2 to estimate p1
    - p2.

25
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Proportions p-Value Method
  • Two independent random samples
  • Taken from two populations
  • Population proportions p1 and p2
  • Required conditions
  • x1 5, (n1 - x1) 5, x2 5,
  • and (n2 - x2) 5.

26
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Proportions p-Value Method
  • Step 1
  • State the hypotheses and the rejection rule
  • Use one of the forms from Table 10.19 page 576
  • State the meaning of p1 and p2
  • Reject H0 if the p-value is less than a.

27
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Proportions p-Value Method
  • Step 2
  • Find Zdata.
  • Zdata follows an approximately standard normal
  • distribution if the required conditions are
    satisfied.

28
Hypothesis Test for the Difference in Two
Population Proportions p-Value Method
  • Step 3
  • Find the p-value using calculator.
  • Step 4
  • State the conclusion and interpretation.
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