SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS

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Directorate of Surveys
SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS Brazil
Roberto Luís Olinto RamosHead of National
Accounts Co-ordinationroberto.olinto_at_ibge.gov.br
October, 2007
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Doing statistics and national accounts in Brazil
Population 186,777,562 Area 8,514,876
Km2 27 states 5,564 municipalities
IBGE 27 unities (each state) 532 agencies
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The Brazilian National Statistical System
Coordination (IBGE) Statistics of National
scope (IBGE) Statistics of Regional scope
Administrative Registers (State Statistics
Agencies (Ministries / Secretariats /
OREs)
Central Bank Articulated database (Regional/Secto
rial/National)
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Institutional organization
Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics
Directorate of Surveys
SNA - Latin-American organization Statistical
offices Brazil, Argentina, Colombia Bolívia
Peru,Cuba, Mexico Central Banks Uruguay,
Paraguay,Chile, Ecuador, Venezuela, Costa Rica,
Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Republica
Dominicana, Nicaragua .....
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Directorate of Surveys Organogram
Directorate of Surveys
Coordination of Economic Statistics and
Classifications
Population Census Committee
Technical Management of Population Census
Management of Business Register
Management of Dissemination
Technical Management of Agricultural Census
Management of Planning and Budget
Coordination of Prices Indexes
Coordination of Mining and Manufacturing Surveys
Coordination of Methods and Quality
Coordination of Population and Social Indicators
Coordination of Household Surveys
Coordination of National Accounts
Coordination of Services and Trade Surveys
Coordination of Agriculture Surveys
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National Accounts in Brazil Some history
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Getúlio Vargas Foundation / IBGE Four accounts
Current prices and constant prices with a fixed
year 1947 - 1989
benchmark each five years (0 and 5) with the
Agriculture and Industry Census Values
extrapolated with volume and price indices
Current values for some activities (Government,
Central Bank etc.)
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December 1997 SNA based on SNA (1993) SUT IEA
Current prices and previous year 1990 - 2003
SUT 80 products and 43 activities IEA
Institutional Sectors Values extrapolated with
volume and price indices Current values for some
activities (Government, Central Bank etc.)
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• 1990
• Crash in the IBGE Budget
• Last Census 1985
• No annual economic statistics gt no benchmark
• 1995
• Redefinition of economic statistics

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Economic Statistics

• New model (since 1995)
• Basis of the new system
• Business Register - CEMPRE
• National Classification of Economic Activities
• Annual Surveys
• Monthly Surveys

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Statistical Production System
Social and demographics
Economics
Demographics Census Population Count
Business Register
Agricultural Census
Sampling Surveys
Households
Enterprises or Establishment
Annual PIA, PAC, PAS, PAIC, PAM,
PPM,PEVS Monthly SNIPC, PIM, PMC Special PINTEC
Annual PNAD Monthly PME Special POF, ECINF
Administrative Registers Civil Register, MUNIC,
MAS, PNSB
Social Indicators System
National Accounts System
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DATA BASE FOR THE SNA
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Economic Statistics (annual surveys)

• Survey of Mining and Manufacturing Industries -
  Enterprise ( PIA - Empresa) 40,369 enterprises
• Survey of Mining and Manufacturing Industries -
  Product (PIA - Produto)
• Survey of Construction Industry (PAIC) 11,500
  enterprises
• Survey of Commerce (PAC) 50,737 enterprises
• Survey of Services (PAS) 67,470 enterprises

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Household Surveys

• 2000 Population Census 54 million of households
• PNAD 2006 140 thousand of households, annual
• Urban informality -ECINF 2004 54 thousand of
  households
• Expenditure -POF 2002-2003 60 thousand of
  households
• Employment - PME 42 thousand of households,
  monthly

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Agriculture Statistics

• Census of Agriculture
• Annual Surveys
• Municipal Agricultural Production Temporary and
  Permanent Crops (PAM)
• Municipal Livestock Production Survey (PPM)
• Extractive Agriculture and Forestry Production
  (PEVS)
• Short-term Surveys
• Systematic Survey of Agricultural Production
  (LSPA- monthly)
• Animal slaughter, milk production, leather, eggs
• Survey of Stocks

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Prices Statistics (monthly)

• National System of Consumer Prices Indexes (11
  areas)
• National System of Cost Survey and Indices of
  Construction SINAPI
• Producers Price Indices

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• External Sources
• FISCAL DECLARATION Ministry of Economy
• Bussiness registers
• Central Bank
• Government
• National Agency of Electric Energy - ANEEL
• National Agency of Oil- ANP
• External Trade - SECEX
• .......

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Economic Statistics(monthly and special surveys)

• Monthly
• Monthly Survey of Mining and Manufacturing -
  Physical Production - PIM/PF
• Monthly Survey of Industrial Employment and Wages
  - PIMES
• Monthly Survey of Trade - PMC
• Special
• Technological Innovation Survey - PINTEC

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Economic Statistics

• Business Register
• Number of active enterprises 5.7 million
• Annual Surveys
• PIA 2004 40,369 enterprises
• PAS 2004 67,470 enterprises
• PAC 2004 50,737 enterprises
• PAIC 2004 11,500 enterprises
• Short-term Surveys
• PIM-PF 8,610 enterprises, monthly
• PIMES 7,631 enterprises, monthly
• PMC 10,666 enterprises, monthly
• PINTEC 2004 10,328 enterprises

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Household Surveys

• Monthly Employment Survey - PME
• National Household Sample Survey -PNAD (annual)
• Expenditure Household Survey - POF
• Urban Informal Sector Survey - ECINF

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SNA reference 2000 Released in March 2007
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• The reference 2000 SNA series incorporates in its
  compilation the following actions
• New classification of products and activities,
  integrated with CNAE 1.0 and ISIC Rev. 3.
• Enlargement of the number of activities and
  products in the SUT
• IEA updated with de DIPJ's data.
• Availability of the annual surveys accomplished
  by the IBGE.
• Introduction of the 2002 Expenditure Household
  Survey as a family consumption reference.
• Introduction of data from the Agricultural
  Census of 1995/6.

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• Jobs disaggregation for production function,
  what enables the estimate considering the
  characteristics of productive units.
• Methodology calculation and development of the
  consumption of fixed capital by the Government
  and Non Profit institutions.
• Distribution of the Financial Intermediation
  Services Indirectly intermediary consumption by
  activity, enabling the elimination of the
  fictitious sector Financial Dummy.
• Update of the methodology for estimating volume
  indices. Mostly for public administrations and
  financial intermediation that, in the previous
  series, were extrapolated by the demographic
  growth and by the economy average, respectively.
• Disaggregation the Non-profit institutions from
  Household Institutional Sector in the final
  consumption and in the IEA.

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gt 2000 2005 reviewed with all new data sources
and methodological improvementsgt1996- 1999
backcastinggt1990 1994 maintained
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(No Transcript)
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Brazilian System of National Accounts
QUARTERLY 70 days after the end of a quarter
ANNUAL provisional version (T-1) -
semi-definitive (??) - definitive (T-2)
REGIONAL definitive (T-2)
MUNICIPALITIES GDP only (T-2)
SATELLITES Tourism (project well
definided) Health (project well
defined) Culture (dream) R D (dream)
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SNA
SUT working level 293 products 149
activities publication level 110 products
55 activities IOT each five years IEA
Non-financial corporations Financial
corporations General Government Households N
on-profit institutions serving households Rest
of the world
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IEA

• Current Accounts
• I. Production
• II. Distribution and use of income accounts
• II.1 Primary distribution of income
• II.1.1Generation of income
• II.1.2Allocation of Primary Income
• II.2 Secondary distribution of income
• II. 3 Redistribitution of
  income in kind
• II.4 Use of Income Account
• II.4.1Use of Disposable Income
• II. 4.2 Use of adjustable disposable
  income
• Accumulation Accounts
• III.1 Capital Account
• III.2 Financial Account

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QNA

• New series of the Brazilian System of Quarterly
  National Accounts were released in March 2007,
  following the reformulation of the Annual System.
• QNA data are disseminated in
• current prices,
• chain-linked volume indices (1995100) and
• rates of change.
• QNA presents data of GDP by 12 economic
  activities and by component of final expenditures
  (final consumption expenditure of households,
  final consumption expenditure of government,
  gross fixed capital formation, changes in
  inventories, exports and imports of good and
  services).

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QNA

• Data are released for the following activities
• Agriculture, forestry and fishing
• Industry Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities and
  Construction
• Services Commerce, Transportation, Information
  Services, Rents, Financial Institutions, Public
  Administration and Other Services

Quarterly series are adjusted to annual data with
a Denton type method. The data for GDP,
Agriculture, Industry, Services and expenditure
components, except changes in inventories, are
seasonally adjusted. The X-12 ARIMA method is
used for seasonal adjustment.
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REGIONAL For 27 states the Production
Account MUNICIPALITES GDP in current values for
the 5564 municipalities
SATELLITES Tourism (project well definided)
Ministry of Tourism Health (project well
defined) Ministry of Health Culture (dream) R
D (dream)
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DISSEMINATION preannounced schedule

• March of year T GDP, the demand components and
  the value added of the previous year with base in
  quarterly data for 12 economic activities in
  current values and volume indices, annual
  variation.
• In the second semester, the definitive version of
  T-2 is published with a complete (110 products
  and 55 activities) SUT and an IEA. A preliminary
  version of T-1 with a small SUT (12 activities)
  was also published.
• QNA data are published 70 days after the end of
  each quarter. In the QNA a SUT is estimated for
  each quarter, however only the added value of 12
  economic activities is published. chained volume
  indices, seasonally adjust volume indices and the
  current values for the GDP, the components of the
  final demand and the value added of 12 economic
  activities and an integrated economic account for
  the country, including the financial account.
• Regional data for T-2 are published in December
  each year

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Data Access

• Publications methodology and tables with a CD
• Internet all data is available for download
• On-line bookstore

• NEXT STEPS
• Financial Account until December 2007.
• Balance Sheets
• 2012, with reference to 2010, a new revision will
  be presented. (ISICRev. 4, the new Expenditure
  Household Survey 2007, the Agricultural Census of
  2007..)

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GDP 1995-2005
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GDP 2000-2005
(2)
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Participação das atividades no valor adicionado -
2000