Title: Rossby wave breaking RWB
1Rossby wave breaking (RWB)
- Definition
- Detection / Measurement
- Climatology
- Dynamics
- Impact on internal variability (NAO / NAM)
- Impact on surface turbulent heat flux (PDO)
2Definition
- Wave amplitude reaches critical level -
Irreversible overturning of isentropic potential
vorticity
350 K Potential Vorticity, 1-8 July 1998
PVU
Data NCEP / NCAR Reanalysis
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4Detection / measurement
Anticyclonic RWB
Cyclonic RWB
PVU
5Climatology DJF 1958-2006
Antic Cycl
contours are relative frequency shading is zonal
extent
6Climatology 1958-2008
Relative frequency
7Rossby wave breaking (RWB)
- Definition
- Detection / measurement
- Climatology
- Dynamics
- Impact on internal variability (NAO / NAM)
- Impact on surface turbulent heat flux (PDO)
8Dynamics
- Impact on internal variability (NAO / NAM)
- Forces the background flow via, primarily, eddy
momentum flux convergence - Generates surface pressure anomalies
- Impact on surface turbulent heat flux (PDO)
- Generates coherent, 3D circulations associated
with temperature and moisture anomalies
9Forcing of background flow
Hoskins et al. (1983)
- Look at composite divergence of E fields around
hundreds of RWB centroids
10SLP
11Regions where RWB forces NAO
Pos. Neg.
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13Dynamics
- Impact on internal variability (NAO / NAM)
- Forces the background flow via, primarily, eddy
momentum flux convergence - Generates surface pressure anomalies
- Impact on surface turbulent heat flux (PDO)
- Generates coherent, 3D circulations associated
with temperature and moisture anomalies
14Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Leading pattern of extratropical Pacific sea
surface temperature variability
cool
warm
Data NOAA ESRL SST V2
15Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Anticyclonic and cyclonic RWB
Alexander et al. (2002) Journal of Climate
16Anticyclonic RWB Composite of 200 randomly
Selected winter cases
Negative indicates into the ocean
17Cyclonic RWB Composite of 200 randomly
selected winter cases
Negative indicates into the ocean
18RWB Variability (EOFs)
All four patterns are significantly correlated
with the current and future PDO (e.g., January)
Relative frequency
19Effect of Cyclonic Dec-Jan RWB
20Effect of Cyclonic Dec-Jan RWB
200 randomly selected cases
21Effect of Cyclonic Dec-Jan RWB
200 randomly selected cases
22Effect of Anticyclonic Jul-Aug RWB
200 randomly selected cases
23RWB Variability (EOFs)
All four patterns are significantly correlated
with the current and future PDO (e.g., January)
Relative frequency
24Statistical Model of PDO using RWB
- Cross validation
- Stepwise
- bootstrapping
- Model any
- month
25Rossby wave breaking (RWB)
- Definition
- Detection / Measurement
- Climatology
- Dynamics
- Impact on internal variability (NAO / NAM)
- Impact on surface turbulent heat flux (PDO)
www.ess.uci.edu/cstrong
26Rossby wave breaking
- Wave amplitude reaches critical level -
Irreversible overturning of isentropic potential
vorticity
PVU
PVU
350 K, July 1998, NCEP / NCAR Reanalysis data
27Cyclonic Rossby wave breaking
Potential vorticity on the 350-K surface, January
2003
PVU
PVU