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The market of liner shipping

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freight: to be discussed and depends on market conditions (supply & demand) ... cars. wood. liner conferences: formal / informal. freight tariffs. number of sailings ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: The market of liner shipping


1
The market of liner shipping
  • Claudio Ferrari

2
Organization of maritime transport
  • 18th century - colonies
  • military and commercial
  • sailing vessels
  • industries
  • international maritime trade
  • raw materials and finished products
  • sea adventure
  • uncertain duration of voyage
  • no possibilities of communication

3
  • INVENTIONS
  • steam engines
  • wireless telegraphy
  • FORMS OF OPERATION
  • liner shipping stipulations
  • tramp shipping chartered vessels
    characteristics
  • use of liner shipping and tramp shipping

4
Evolution of ships types
  • general cargo vessels units, port, efficiency
  • bulk vessels raw materials, distances
  • specialized vessels scale increase / Suez Canal
    - higher costs
  • mainport concept / distribution centre
  • consortia - liner shipping - expensive vessels /
    transmission of information / acquisition
  • intermodal transport

5
World merchandise trade by major product group,
1950-01
Source WTO, 2002
6
Which goods are transported by sea?
Raw material oil, iron, coal Agricultural
grain, sugar, refrigerates Industrial material
rubber, forest, concrete, textiles, chemical
products Manufactured products plants,
machinery, cars, appliances, consumption
goods Industries Energy steel/metal 70 ca.
7
World seaborne trade (billion ton-miles)
Source Fearnleys, Review 2001
8
Quantities and transport service
Parcel Size Distribution (PSD)
Whole ships Bulk c.
Demand (tramps)
Big quantities
Parts of ships General c.
Smaller quantities
Liners
  • Many goods are partly transported bulk and
    partly general
  • Half 90 2/3 bulk e 1/3 general
  • differences

Unitization
9
Transport supply in maritime transport bulk vs.
line
Differences in management Bulk different
forms of availability of the ship for the
shipper ownership l.t., s.t. chartering spot
Liner much more complex (overhead, holds,
timetables, routes, etc.) higher fixed costs
agreement to limit competition (conferences, then
strategic alliances)
10
LINER SHIPPING (1)
TRAMP SHIPPING - CHARTERED VESSELS (1)
  • fixed departures to fixed regions (goods follow
    vessel)
  • fixed freight rates conditions (liner terms)
  • specialization
  • container vessels
  • general cargo vessels
  • ro/ro vessels
  • multi-purpose vessels
  • expensive vessels owing to specialization
  • information processing is expensive
  • goods acquisition in own hands
  • gigantic investments
  • shipping companies co-operate - creation of POOLS
    and CONSORTIA
  • shipping companies involved - now FINANCIAL GROUPS
  • vessel follows the goods
  • freight to be discussed and depends on market
    conditions (supply demand)
  • specialized vessels for a cer-tain type of goods
    are used between regions where there is a demand
    for vessel space
  • transport of
  • bulk goods
  • cereals derivatives
  • coal
  • ores
  • gases
  • frozen products
  • oil
  • cars
  • wood

11
TRAMP SHIPPING - CHARTERED VESSELS (2)
LINER SHIPPING (2)
  • owner of goods determines UNLOADING PORT
  • VOYAGE CHARTER for one single voyage
  • TIME CHARTER for a certain period
  • BARE BOAT CHARTER for longer periods
  • TECHNICAL EVOLUTION
  • scale increase 300 to 500,000 t
  • reasons
  • demand
  • long distances, such as Suez ...
  • in the ports need for specialized terminals
  • liner conferences formal / informal
  • freight tariffs
  • number of sailings
  • working conditions
  • why necessary ?
  • reduction of freight costs
  • protection of investments
  • freight war
  • ADVANTAGES/DISADVANTAGES

OUTSIDERS INTERMODAL TRANSPORT DOOR-TO-DOOR
SERVICE
DISTRIBUTION TERMINALS
12
Growth of container trade
Source Stopford
13
Effects of containerisation.1. Market widening
Source Stopford
14
Effects of containerisation.2. Price reduction
an example
Source Stopford
15
Liner shipping the leading actors
16
New trades
17
The present scenario (1)
18
The present scenario (2)
Source Erasmus University, Rotterdam
19
Empty container volumes and imbalances on the
East/West trades
Source Drewry, 2004
20
Freight rates
21
Factors influencing the rate movements
  • Shape of the supply curve (S)
  • Shape of the demand curve (D)
  • Changes in supply
  • Changes in demand

22
Shape of the supply curve
  • Shipping costs may be divided in
  • Capital costs (depreciation, interests)
  • Voyage costs (bunker, port/cargo handling)
  • Operating costs (crew wages, insurance, repair
    maintenance, classification)
  • Voyage and operating costs are variable costs.
  • If a ship does not operate, shipowner bears
    lay-up costs (crew to look for the vessel, port
    fees, etc.)
  • Shipowners sign a charter rate if the earnings
    equals
  • E O V L
  • Since most shipowners have the same costs they
    all start to offer their ships at the same
    minimum rate

23
Shape of the demand curve
Demand for shipping services is rather
inelastic. It is so because demand for shipping
is a derived demand, so in the short term even a
great increase in shipping rates have not effects
on the production functions of firms. In the long
run, firms may consider alternative means of
transport, but sea transport is much less
expansive than overland means of transport (road,
rail).
24
Economies of scale
Source Stopford
25
Economies of scale - draft
Source Stopford
26
Scale economies
  • They depends on savings per TEU on
  • Capital
  • Operating expenses
  • Port terminal costs
  • Bunker costs

Cost/TEU
Ship size
If the ship load factor is below 80 vanishes
any potential benefit of size scale
27
Scale economies in practice
Source Stopford
28
Trends in liner shipping
  • Growth in worldwide and Asian container shipping
    market
  • Larger Vessel Sizes
  • Fewer port calls
  • Leads to fewer and larger ports
  • Hierarchy of ports in distribution system
  • Concentration/cooperation
  • Slot chartering carriers charter each others
    capacity
  • Consortia coordinate schedules on particular
    route
  • Alliances coordinate all schedules
  • Mergers and acquisitions
  • 18 companies control 71 of container slot
    capacity
  • Expanding activities into Southern Hemisphere,
    but east-west movements still dominate
    north-south movements by far

29
The growing size of containerships
Source Stopford
30
The challenge of growth
Source Stopford
31
Is the growth sustainable?
Source Stopford
32
Containers what we are speaking of?
Dry container
Open top
33
Refrigerated
Flatrack
Tank container
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