Transport Planning Process

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Transport Planning Process? ? ? ? ? ?
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Interactive with Land Use Planning ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
? ? ? ?
Strategic LevelCTS-3 model ????? ????????
Territorial Land Use Planning ?????????
Project Feasibility Studies ???????
District LevelBTDMs, TIAs ????? ????????, ??????
District Land Use Planning ?????????
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Transport Planning Tool? ? ? ? ? ?
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Development of CTS Model ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

• First developed in CTS-1 completed in
  1976?????? CTS-1 ?1976?????
• Latest version CTS-3 completed in 1999,
  suits??? CTS-3 ???1999 ???,? ?
• HKs multi-modal transport system
• ?????????????
• Local travel behaviours characteristics
• ??????????

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CTS Model is ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
A scientific objective planning tool to
account for the following factors
???????????????????

• Land use????
• Economic growth????
• Transport network????
• Travellers behaviours????

Traffic flows ???? Travel times and
costs ????/??
CTS Model??????
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CTS-3s modelling algorithumsCTS-3 ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

• Trip Generation / Attraction ????? / ??
• (how many trips in each zone -
  ?????????????)
• Trip Distribution ?????
• (where to where - ??????????)
• Modal Split ??????
• (by what mode - ???????????????)
• Period Classification ??????
• (at what time period - ???????)
• Route Assignment ?????
• (on which PT route / road - ?????????? / ??)

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Basic Inputs Land Use Planning Data (1) ? ? ?
? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? (1)

• For each traffic zone
• ??????
• Population ????
• Household number income ???????
• Resident workers ???????????
• Resident students ??????????
• Age distribution (10 groups) ????(10 ?)
• Private car parking spaces ????????

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Basic Inputs Land Use Planning Data (2) ? ? ?
? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? (2)

• For each traffic zone
• ??????
• Employment places (12 types) ?????? (12?)
• School places (4 types) ???? (4?)
• Hotel rooms ??????
• Market stalls ??????
• Cinema theatre seats ??????
• Hospital beds ??????

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Other Model Inputs? ? ? ? ? ?

• Economic Growth????
• Road network ????
• Public transport network??????
• Cross boundary traffic projection??????
• Port airport throughputs????????????
• Private and goods vehicle fleets????????

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Annual Update ? ? ? ?
Revalidate Model Parameters ?? ????

• Independent Traffic Data
• ????????
• Traffic PassengerFlows of Major
  Roads???????????
• Public TransportPatronage
• ??????????

Update Planning Assumptions ???? ????
Update Forecasts ??????
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Experts Views (1)? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? (1)

• Prof H K Lo, HKUST
• ??????, ???????
• state-of-the-art modelling practice?????????
• among the most sophisticated of its kind, most
  comprehensive ????????????

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Experts Views (2)? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? (2)

• Mr Tim Man, veteran transport planner
• ?????, ????????
• scientific assessment of infrastructure
  needs??????????
• used extensively worldwide (including UK,
  USA)??? (?????) ????
• one of most sophisticated for HKs complicated
  urban fabric ???????? ,??????????????

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The Central Wanchai BypassandThe Island
Eastern Corridor Link??????????????
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The Stragetic Routes ????
? ? New Territories
Kowloon
??
? ? ? Lantau Island
? ? ?
Hong Kong Island
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The Central-Wanchai Bypass IEC
Link??????????????
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Existing Traffic Congestion ??????

• Queue Length around 1 1.5 km
• ???????????
• Speed at about 7 km/hr
• ???????????
• 15 min from Central to Causeway Bay
• ????????????

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Causes of Problems ????
Insufficient road capacity ??????? Mixing
between through traffic and local
traffic ????????? Severe weaving
problems ????????
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Solution Central Wanchai Bypass IECL????
??????????????
Complete the missing trunk road link Segregate
through traffic (e.g. Proven Examples Island
Eastern Corridor, Kwun Tong Bypass, Tsuen Wan
Bypass) Cut down weaving movement
?????????? ?????? (??????????????????????? ??
???) ??????
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Forecast Conditions 2011 ??2011???
Without CWB ????????? With CWB ????????
Traffic Flow ? ? Exceed Capacity by 30 ???????? With 10 Surplus Capacity ???????
Traffic Speed ? ? 5 kph ????? Free Flow ????
Central to Causeway Bay ?????? 45 min ????? 5 min ???
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (1)

• Better Utilisation of the Western Harbour
  Crossing
• ???????

Reduction on Gloucester Road traffic less than
2 ?????????????2??
Connaught Road Central cannot carry diverted
traffic ???????????????????
NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (2)

• Extension of the MTR to Western District
• ???????

• Already allowed WIL in the traffic model
• Buses mainly run along inner roads
• At-most slight effect on inner roads
• ????????????
• ?????????
• ???????????

NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (3)

• More Hillside Escalators from Central to
  Mid-levels
• ?????????????

Only help relieving demands for Public Transport
in the Mid-levels ??????????????? Effect becomes
negligible when reaching the Corridor ??????????
NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (4)

• Reduce Bus Trips into Central
• ????????????

• Already Reduced Bus Trips
• reduced by more than 10 over last 5 years
• room for further cutting limited on corridor
• ???????
• ??????,???????10??
• ?????????????????

NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (5)

• Imposing Loading/ Unloading Restrictions in
  Central
• ??????????

• There are already severe restrictions on loading
  / unloading
• ?????????????
• Further restrictions will have serious impacts in
  the operation of commercial activities
• ????????????????????

NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Other Measures Considered ?????? (6)
Fiscal Measures ????
Already very high FRT, ALF and fuel taxes on
private cars ?????????????????????? About 90
passengers trips using public transport ?????????
??
Very low private car ownership rate 50 veh. per
1000 population (120 veh in Singapore and 350 veh
in London) ????????? - ????50 ?(?????120?????350?)
NOT EFFECTIVE ?????
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Possible Complementary Measures
???????
Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) ??????

• According to 2001 Feasibility Study
• Assuming CWB available by 2011 as the alternative
  route
• ERP technically feasible
• But high level of public consensus needed

• ??2001??????
• ?????????2011?????????
• ???????????
• ??????????

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ERP Complements CWB
????????????????
CWB - a strategic solution to divert east-west
traffic away from Connaught Road/Gloucester Road
corridor ?????? ????????????/?????????????? E
RP - needs CWB as an alternative route for
vehicles to avoid entering into the charging
zone ?????? ??????????????????????????
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London Vs Hong Kong Situation
??????????
Key Data ???? London ?? Hong Kong ??
Car Ownership per 1,000 Population ?????????? 350 50
Public Transport Passenger Trip per Day ???????? 45 - 77 depending on location ???? 90
Private Car Passenger Trip per Day ??????? 23 - 55 depending on location ???? 10
Private Car Traffic into CBD ?????????? 49 (before charging) (????) 38 (after charging) (????) 37

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London Experience ?????
Inner Ring Road as an alternative route for
vehicles to avoid entering into the charging
zone ????????????????????? Public transport and
taxi exempted ??????????? Result 14 less
vehicles entering charging zone ??
??????????14 Adverse impact on business
reported ??????????
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Way Forward ????
Govt will further examine ERP in detail and
monitor overseas development ?????????????????????
?????? To be considered when CWB in
place ??????????????? Still requires high level
of public consensus ??????????
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Thank You????