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Title: Science Focus: Development of technology for forecasting relationships between coastal development a


1
Center of Excellence for Oceans Human Health at
the Hollings Marine Laboratory
  • Science Focus Development of technology for
    forecasting relationships between coastal
    development and ecosystem and public health.

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
2
HML Primary Focus Areas
  • Develop Pathogen Detection Source Tracking
    Tools
  • Develop Methods for Emerging Chemical Pollutants
  • Evaluate Sentinel Species Sentinel Habitats as
    Early Warning Systems
  • Applied Marine Genomics
  • Marine Animal Health
  • Tidal Creeks
  • Develop Tools for Forecasting Assessing Impacts
    of Coastal Development on Ecosystem and Public
    Health
  • Develop Tools for Assessing Seafood Benefits and
    Risks

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
3
Framework for Early Warning System
Pressure
State
Response
Ecosystem Condition
Natural Human Stressors
Societal Responses
Forecasts Assessments
Characterization Integration
New Methods, Tools Technology - Source
Tracking - Chemical Methods - Marine
Genomics
Engage Managers Public - Seminars -
Briefings/workshops
Sentinel Species - Oysters - Shrimp -
Dolphins
Sentinel Habitats - Tidal Creeks
New Policies Actions - Stormwater Ordinances


Prevention and Remediation
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
4
Pathogen Source Tracking Core
  • Develop the capacity to quantify and determine
    the sources of pathogens in coastal environments
  • Bacteria, viruses, protozoan
  • Rapid, sensitive reliable indicators
  • Multiplex techniques for complex mixtures
  • Field test and validate methods
  • Sentinel organisms
  • Sentinel habitats
  • Southeast, West coast

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
5
Pathogen Source Tracking Highlights
  • Optimized and adapted existing techniques for
    capture and quantification of enteric viruses
  • Competitive Internal Positive Controls (CIPC) for
    Enterovirus and Norovirus (Gregory and Nobel)
  • Demonstrated viral coliphages provided are a
    cost-effective indicator system that includes
    viruses.
  • Adapted promising targets (e.g. Bacteriodetes,
    Methobrevibacter) to Luminex and PCR technology
    for rapid differentiation of human-source
    contamination (with J. Unfar, USM).
  • Participated in epidemiology study of CA beaches.
  • Participated in tidal creeks field study to test
    indicators NC GA.

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
6
Results of Methods Evaluation Study
Number of positive samples per number of samples
analyzed
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
7
Chemical Contaminant Goals
  • Develop the capacity to detect and quantify
    emerging contaminants of concern.
  • PCBEs, pharmaceuticals, new pesticides,
    antifouling products
  • Document the presence and amount of emerging
    contaminants in the marine environment and
    evaluate the effects on representative marine
    organisms.
  • PBC, pharmaceuticals, antifouling products
  • Southeast, West coast

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
8
ECC Accomplishments
  • Methods Development
  • 13 PBDEs in sediments tissues
  • Pharmaceuticals (simvastatin, ciprofloxacin,
    erythromycin, oxytetracycline, fluoxetine,
    estrogens)
  • Anti-fouling agents (irgarol, diuron,
    chlorothalonil, dichlofluanid)
  • Toxicology on Suite of Marine Biota
  • Several PBDEs
  • Simvastatin
  • Irgarol
  • Monitoring and Assessment
  • PBDEs in SC, NC, GA, GoM (Karina), Chesapeake Bay
    South Atlantic Bight 500 sites
  • Antifouling agents in SC, CA Puerto Rico

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
9
Pharmaceutical Highlights
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
10
Oxytetracycline Findings
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
11
Sentinel Habitats Research
  • Develop and field test conceptual model as early
    warning system
  • Region, nation
  • NERR Demonstration Project
  • Develop Creek Classification Framework
  • Resolve scale issues
  • Threshold values for creek classes
  • Develop Forecasting Tools
  • Volume and rate of runoff
  • Pollution exposure
  • Linkages to degree of coastal development

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
12
Conceptual Model of Tidal Creek Linkages
Societal Response
Ecological Response
Stressor
Exposure
Health and Welfare
Physical- Chemical Changes
Living Resources
Coastal Development Activities
Impaired Water Quality Hydrography
Impaired Water Quality Hydrography
Increased Population Density
Beach and Shellfish Bed Closures
Impaired Animal Health
Microbial and Pathogen Contamination
Vulnerability to Flooding
Reduced Biological Productivity
Microbial and Pathogen Contamination
Altered Land Cover
Chemical Contamination
Increased Impervious Cover
Chemical Contamination
Public Health Risk Economic Impact
Altered Food Webs
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
13
Rainfall Measured Hydrograph
Old House Creek
43-hr 4.6" rain (2.0 2.6)
50
0.0
Old House
40
0.4
30
0.8
Rainfall intensity (in.hr
Runoff rate (cfs)
20
1.2
-1
10
1.6
)
0
2.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
Time (hrs)
14
National Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)
Flow Curve Number Method
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
15
Predicted Hydrographs
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
16
Estuarine Gradients
17
Fecal Coliforms Summer 2006
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
18
Pathogen Results
Summer, 2005
Winter, 2005
5
4
F Coliphage (Log10 (PFU / 100mL))
3
2
1
0
Forested
Suburban
Urban
Forested
Suburban
Urban
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
19
Fecal Coliform vs Impervious Cover
5.0
4.5
4.0
R2
0.63
3.5
3.0
2.5
Fecal Coliforms (log(cfu/100ml))
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Impervious Cover ()
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
20
Chemicals Pollutants vs Impervious Cover
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
21
Flame Retardant Contamination
Total PBDE (ng/g dry wt)

Forested Suburban
Urban
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
22
Conceptual Model of Tidal Creek Linkages
Societal Response
Ecological Response
Stressor
Exposure
Health and Welfare
Physical- Chemical Changes
Living Resources
Coastal Development Activities
Impaired Water Quality Hydrography
Increased Population Density
Beach and Shellfish Bed Closures
Impaired Animal Health
Impaired Animal Health
Microbial and Pathogen Contamination
Vulnerability to Flooding
Reduced Biological Productivity
Reduced Biological Productivity
Altered Land Cover
Increased Impervious Cover
Chemical Contamination
Public Health Risk Economic Impact
Altered Food Webs
Altered Food Webs
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
23
Sentinel Species Animal Health Tools
  • Build the capacity to develop genomic tools for
    assessing the health of marine organisms
    (oysters, shrimp dolphins).
  • Conduct multi-stressor (metals, hypoxia,
    pathogen) experiments to validate the new genomic
    tools (oysters).
  • Develop the modeling and bioinformatics tools
    required for synthesis of animal health data.

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
24
Genomic Tool Development
  • cDNA Microarrays
  • Oysters - 7,000 unigenes from C. virginica C.
    gigas 1,500 arrays printed
  • Shrimp - 3,000 unigenes 1,000 arrays printed
  • Dolphins - 3,000 unigenes 500 arrays printed
  • Multi-stressor (metals) and immune challenge
    experiments
  • Oysters microarray physiological responses
    including biomarkers

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
25
SC Benthic Index
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
26
Conceptual Model of Tidal Creek Linkages
Societal Response
Ecological Response
Stressor
Exposure
Health and Welfare
Physical- Chemical Changes
Living Resources
Coastal Development Activities
Beach and Shellfish Bed Closures
Impaired Water Quality Hydrography
Increased Population Density
Beach and Shellfish Bed Closures
Impaired Animal Health
Microbial and Pathogen Contamination
Vulnerability to Flooding
Reduced Biological Productivity
Vulnerability to Flooding
Altered Land Cover
Increased Impervious Cover
Chemical Contamination
Public Health Risk Economic Impact
Public Health Risk Economic Impact
Altered Food Webs
10-20 Impervious Cover
20-30 Impervious Cover
10-30 Impervious Cover
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
27
Water Budgets Forested Watershed
Evapotranspiration (PET)
Rainfall
Stormwater Runoff
Subsurface flow
Groundwater recharge
Forested Watershed
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
28
Water Budgets Developed Watershed
Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
29
Forecasting and Assessment Approach
(a) Watershed Attributes
(c) Bacterial Indicators
5
4
Fecals (log (x1) CFU/100mL)
Impervious cover ()
3
2
1
0
Forested Suburban Urban
14
30
Charleston Flood Prone Areas
31
Summary
  • Improved tools for measuring pathogens and ECCs
    have been developed and field tested.
  • Understanding and forecasting runoff is critical
    for predicting the impacts of coastal development
    on ecosystem and public health and well-being.
  • Approachs and tools for forecasting impacts of
    coastal development on ecosystem and public
    health and well-being have been developed and are
    in calibration mode for the Southeast.
  • Sentinel organisms sentinel habitat
  • Next the Gulf of Mexico
  • Tidal Creek Platform can be used by others to
    test indicators and hypotheses

Center of Excellence for Oceans and Human Health
at the Hollings Marine Laboratory
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