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A System Approach to Sustainability and the Ethanol Challenge

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Title: A System Approach to Sustainability and the Ethanol Challenge


1
A System Approach to Sustainability and the
Ethanol Challenge
  • Said S.E.H. Elnashaie
  • Quentin Berg University Chair Professor of
    Engineering
  • Pennsylvania State University at Harrisburg, USA
  • Presentation at The Rachel Carson Forum on Future
    of the Environment, DEP, Harrisburg,
    Pennsylvania, July 20, 2006

2
  • A PRELUDE

3
  • The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has set a
  • goal of (June 2006, Roadmap for Developing
    Cleaner Fuels.- Research Aiming at making
    Cellulosic Ethanol a Practical Alternative to
    gasoline. Based on 2005 Workshop)
  • displacing 30 of 2004 gasoline demand with
    biofuels, primarily ethanol, by 2030.
  • This will require a rapid expansion of the U.S.
    fuel ethanol from about 4 billion gallons/year of
    corn grain ethanol to about 60 billion
    gallons/year per year from a variety of plant and
    waste materials ( biomass, switchgrass, corn
    stover , etc)

4
Main Topics
  • The multidisciplinary nature of sustainable
    development. The system and the subsystems.
  • Sustainable economy, biomass efficient
    utilization and bioethanol
  • The matrix of biofuels and the critical position
    of bioethanol.
  • Critical evaluation of the different routes to
    bioethanol from biomass
  • Bioethanol from Corn . Positive or negative net
    energy?
  • Some USA Bioethanol facts
  • International Bioethanol production
  • 3.The success story of the Brazilian bioethanol.
  • 4.The success story of the chaotic fermenter
    for bioethanol.
  • 5.Ethanol/bioethanol in Pennsylvania. The coal
    gasification/syngas
  • 6.The biorefinery as one of the main tools for
    sustainability.
  • 7.Importance of intensive multidisciplinary
    research. Sequential de-bottlenecking and the
    optimal next steps.
  • 8.Ethical/moral, socio-economical and political
    factors.

5
1- The Multidisciplinary Nature of Sustainable
Development.The system and the subsystems.
  • System approach is the best to organize knowledge
    and exchange it.
  • It depends on defining every system through its
    boundary, main processes within this boundary,
    exchange with the environment through this
    boundary and its subsystems/ elements
  • Depends upon thermodynamics and information
    theory.
  • Applicable to all kinds of systems which makes it
    most suitable for multidisciplinary
    investigations.

6
Sustainable Development. Multidisciplinary by Its
Very Nature
  • Main Components of Sustainable Development
  • 1- Political e.g. Legislations
  • and strategic decisions..
  • 2-Economical e.g. Investment
  • in novel new technologies
  • 3-Social e.g. Consumption
  • Trends, acceptance of novel
  • clean technologies and products...
  • 4-Technological e.g. Novel
  • efficient clean technologies, clean fuels,
  • efficient utilization of renewable
  • feedstocks, new environmentally
  • friendly products, In-process
  • Modification for MPMP, efficient
  • waste treatment.
  • ________________________________
  • Ethical and Moral Factors ( Don Browns Book
    American Heat, 2003)

Sustainable Development
7
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8
Renewable Energy
Change of Consumption Trends
Novel Technologies With Renewable Feedstocks
Rationalize
The Producing Consuming Society
Non-Renewable Energy (NRE)
Waste
Novel Cleaner Technologies With Classical
Feedstocks
Ecology Credit
Waste Treatment
Minimum NRE USE
Society , Renewable, Non-renewable Energies,
Waste, Technologies and Consumption
9
Sustainable Engineering Subset of Sustainable
Development As Engineers we Focus on Technology
within the Frame Work of Other Components
  • DOE Extensive Hydrogen Research
  • Support to Hydrogen Economy by President

Technology
Socioeconomics
Politics
Sustainable Engineering Other
Engineering/Science Disciplines
Sustainable Development
10
Classical Components of SD/SE and the Critical
LinksRenewable Raw Materials and Sensible
Consumption
AIChE and Sustainable Engineering 1-Novel
chem.engng. applications to satisfy needs of
sustainable society. 2-Joining sustainability
discussions. 3-Be a bridge between chem. Engng.
community/industry/government, etc.
4-Providing education and outreach on role of
chemical engineering in creating a sustainable
future.
UK Chem. Engrs. Inst. Components of Sustainable
Development (triple bottom line)
1-Environmental Component 2-Economical
Component ( Generation of Wealth) 3-Social
Component
The American Society of Civil Engineers
(ASCE) 1-sustainable planning, design,
construction and operations. 2-Sustainable
Materials 3-Sustainable Communities ,
transportation and Smart Growth 4-Sustainability
Practices in Industry. 5-Changing the Way We Do
Business Globally 6-Integration of
Sustainability into Engineering Education
11
2- Sustainable economy and the role of biomass
efficient utilization
12
Not Hydrogen Economy ButRenewable Economy
  1. An Economy where the basic building blocks to
    produce energy as well as industrial and
    consumer goods ,utilize renewable resources.
  2. Achieves Sustainable Development (SD)

13
Biomass and Bioenergy
We are Looking to a Day When a Ton of Biomass
Will Be Traded Like a Barrel of Imported Oil is
Today
WHERE ARE WE TODAY 2006?
Dan W. Reicher Assistant Secretary of Energy 2000
14
The matrix of biofuels and the critical position
of bioethanol
  • Bio the process and/or the feedstock

  • Membrane
    Separation, PSA
  • FT






  • Bio, thermal, catalytic


  • FT

    Gasification/fast Pyrolysis-


  • Reforming

  • Fermentation
    Hydrolysis


  • Dry/Wet Milling


Biohydrogen
Syngas
Biodiesel
Sugars
Bioethanol
Biomass
Starch Corn
15
Biohydrogen and Biodiesel.Optimal Biofuel and
Production Route are Location Sensitive.
  • Advanced Catalytic
    Membrane Gasification (one Step)
  • Gasification(2
    steps)
  • Fast Pyrolysis (3 steps)
  • Steam Reforming
    Separation





  • in-situ / ex-situ

  • FT




Biomass
Syngas
Biomass and/or Carbohydrates
Bio-Diesel
Bio-oil
Biohydrgen
Vegetable Oil Waste Oil
Alcohol
16
Direct Biohydrogen
  • Catalytic Gasification
    with Hydrogen Membranes(1)


  • Biological Treatment (2) X
  • Elnashaie and co-workers
  • Bruce Logan (Penn State), and co-workers
  • X Most Desired Field of Research Among
    Students at UBC 2005/2006

Biomass
Biohydrogen
17
Critical evaluation of the different routes to
bioethanol from biomass

  • Acid Hydrolysis


  • Enzymatic

  • Hydrolysis



  • SSF
    Fermentation


  • Mutated Microorganisms
  • SSFSimultaneous Saccrification/Ferment
    ation

Biomass Lignocellulosic Waste
Sugars
Cellulose and Hemi-Cellulose
Lignin to Variety of Chemicals or fuel Also
possible to sugars for fermentation
Bioethanol
18
Bioethanol from Corn . Positive or negative net
energy?
  • Net Energy Ratio (NER) of a Fuel
  • (Energy of Fuel-Energy Consumed to
  • Produce the Fuel)(/-) Energy consumed to
  • produce the fuel/ (Energy Consumed to
  • Produce the Fuel) Y (/-)X/X
  • (/-) it is when Y is positive and when Y
  • is negative.

19
Examples
  • (1) One researcher gave Total energy use for
    producing ethanolA 78,081.00 Btu/gal,
    considered energy of ethanol (B) 83,961.00
    Btu/gal, thus Y 5,880.0. and the above sign is
    and NER (5,880.0 78,081)/78,081 1.1
  • Meaning if we consume 100.0 kJ to produce an
    amount of ethanol this ethanol will contain 110
    kJ of Energy
  • ( 2) Another researcher gave Total energy use
    for producing ethanolA 131,017Btu/gal,
    considered energy of ethanol (B) 76,000 Btu/gal,
    thus Y -55,017.00 and the above sign is - and
    NER (-55,017.00 131,017)/131,017 -1.42
  • Meaning if we consume 100.0 kJ to produce an
    amount of ethanol this ethanol will contain 58kJ
    of Energy ( But May be of Higher Quality)

20
Estimates and Disputes about NER
  • DOE gives NER for ethanol 1.34 and expect itto
    increase up to 2.0-2.5
  • Professor Pimentel (Cornell Univ.) NER -1.44(
    2001), - 1.29 (2003)
  • Professors Pimental and Patzek (Cornell/UC-Berkely
    ) NER -1.29 ( 2005)
  • Differences
  • 1- Energies included
  • 2-Levels of technologies
  • 3-Energy estimation techniques
  • 4-Including/not including solar energy as
    consumed
  • 5- Including/not including energy in capital cost
    and estimation techniques.
  • 6- Including/not including energy credits for
    by-products.

21
Energy Ratio ER
  • Energy Ratio (ER) of a Fuel (Energy of Fuel)/
    (Energy Consumed to Produce the Fuel)
  • For example 1 it will be the same 1.1 For
    example 2 it will be 0.58
  • __________________________________________________
    _________
  • USDA, ERNER and Other Sources
  • Examples from USDA( supporting Ethanol from
    corn)
  • Fuel ER NER
    Fuel ER NER
  • Gasoline 0.8 -1.2
    NG 0.9 -1.1
  • Diesel 0.8 -1.2
    LPG 0.95 -1.05
  • Electricity 0.4 -1.6
    Coal 0.95 - 1.05
  • Ethanol 1.6 1.6
  • Other Sources

  • ER NER
  • Ethanol from Corn
    1.25-1.35 1.25- 1.35
  • Ethanol from Cellulosic Waste
    1.8 1.8

22
Argonne National Laboratory Estimates for
Reductions in Greenhouse Gas Emissions
  • Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emission/Vehicle
    Mile Traveled
  • E10
    E85
  • Corn-based Ethanol 2
    24-26
  • Cellulosic Ethanol 8-10
    68-91

23
Improvements and Intensive Multidisciplinary
Research
  • Bioethanol Production today compared with 1980s
  • 1- Requires 50 less energy .
  • 2- Ethanol yields increased by more than 22 (
    from 2.2 gallons/bushel to 2.7 gallons/ bushel) .
  • 3- Capital cost decreased from 2/gallon/year to
    1.5/gallon/year
  • More Intensive Improvements Using
    Multidisciplinary
  • Research is Needed and is Possible

24
Ethanol Simple Facts
  • Ethanol meets the Kyoto requirements
  • Ethanol has octane rating of 111
  • Henry Ford 100 years ago praised alcohols as the
    fuels of the future.

25
Some USA Bioethanol Facts
  • Most Bioethanol in USA is produced from corn
    which
  • may be not the best raw material.
  • Dominating process now is dry mill ( 70)
  • Production in 1980, 200 million gallons/year, in
    2000, 2
  • billion gallons /year, 1000 increase in 20
    years.
  • Example Chippewa Valley Ethanol Company (CVEC)
  • increased production from 15 million gallon/year
    in
  • 1996 to 20 million gallon/year, 33 increase in 4
    years.
  • Largest plant is New Energy plant in Indiana 85
    million gallons/year
  • 12 additional ethanol plants on 2002

26
Important Statistics
  • A study in Minnesota shows
  • every 1 state support to ethanol production
    gives back to state 12-13
  • Statistics for typical 15 million gallons/year
    plant
  • 28 full time jobs, payroll of 1.0 million
    per year, 300,000/year local and state taxes,
    22 million gross revenues per year, 80 of the
    dollars are spent within a 75 miles radius, total
    economic impact of 30.0 millions/year.

27
California. Sacramento Valley
  • Solving the problem of black cloud due to rice
    straw burning
  • Bioethanol from rice straw by SSF (Simultaneous
    Saccharification and Fermentation ). Consists of
    enzymatic conversion of the cellulose and
    hemicelluloses to sugar using enzyme followed by
    fermentation of sugar to ethanol in the same
    reactor.
  • Using genetically engineered E.coli bacterium
    developed by the University of Florida
  • turning 300,000 tons of dry rice straw into 23
    million gallons of ethanol annually.
  • Arkenol established a commercial facility in
    Sacramento, California, to convert rice straw to
    ethanol, using the concentrated acid hydrolysis
    process, followed by fermentation
  • Other Projects
  • BC International developed two such projects the
    Collins Pine Ethanol Project, a 23 million gallon
    per year plant using forest thinning and wood
    wastes as feedstock
  • Gridley Ethanol Project, a 20 million gallon per
    year ethanol plant using rice straw as its
    primary feedstock.

28
American Coalition for Ethanol, ACE. Ethanol.
org    
  • ACE Vision of Ethanol's Production
  • 1- drives economic development
  • 2- adds value to agriculture
  • 3- moves our nation toward energy independence
  • This year the U.S. ethanol industry will grow to
    provide more than 5 billion gallons of clean
    burning, renewable fuel to our country's supply.

http//www.ethanol.org/EthanolHandbook2006.pdf.pdf
29
Some Very Recent USA Bioethanol News.
  • July 2006
  • Before the crisis in Lebanon

30
Ethanol prices hit record. Friday, July 07, 2006
  • Ethanol prices on July 5 extended a three-month
    rally to record levels as increased demand for
    the gasoline additive outpaced production,
    Bloomberg News reported July 6.
  • Competition for ethanol between refiners and fuel
    companies soared after the additive was phased in
    as the primary blending component in
    cleaner-burning gasoline, and the use of a rival
    additive, methyl tertiary butyl ether, known at
    MTBE, was reduced.
  • U.S. ethanol averaged a record 3.9757 a gallon
    on July 5, up 4.1 percent from June 30, according
    to data compiled by Bloomberg. That average,
    based on ethanol traded in Des Moines and 29
    other Midwest locations, was more than double
    1.5929 a year ago.This was before the crisis
    in Lebanon

31
Kroger to offer E85 in Columbus, Cincinnati,
Dayton Monday, July 10, 2006
  • Kroger announced July 6 that it will offer
    corn-based ethanol E85 fuels at gas stations,
    first in Columbus, then in Cincinnati and
    Dayton.
  • The program is announced in partnership with
    General Motors Corp., one of the manufacturers of
    cars outfitted to burn E85 and the state of Ohio
  • Critics of using ethanol gasoline point to its
    high price, that a gallon of gasoline is 10 to 15
    percent more efficient than ethanol and that the
    corn used to make it could be used to feed hungry
    people around the world.
  • Support of using E85 gasoline in recent months
    has increased, however supporters warn that it
    is not the "magic" solution to eliminating U.S.
    dependency on foreign oil. Using biodiesel,
    propane gas and natural gas should also be
    figured into the mix.
  • Ohio State Sen. Eric Kearney, D-North Avondale,
    proposed legislation more than a week ago that
    would create incentives for the processing of
    ethanol within Ohio. Kearney said he believes his
    bill, which will be introduced when the
    legislature reconvenes in November, will have
    wide support. "What Kroger and GM are doing
    marries well with what I am doing," Kearney said.
    "I am just glad and really happy that they are
    embracing this.
  • General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co., and
    DaimlerChrysler AG's Chrysler Group have produced
    5 million flex-fuel vehicles capable of running
    on E85. The automakers plan to build 1 million
    flex-fuel cars this year. Their commitment would
    lead to the production of 2 million flex-fuel
    vehicles annually by 2010.

32
International Bioethanol Facts
  • EU plans to increase of biofuels from 2 now to
    6 by 2010. Bioethanol is a major component of
    this biofuel
  • 60 new bioethanol plants in EU by 2010, each
    producing 100,000 tons/year(30 million
    gallons/year)
  • Germany has the capacity of 240 million
    gallons/year
  • Brazil produces 4.8 billion gallons/year.
    Expected to rise on 2010 to 6.6 billion gallons
    /year
  • USA in 2004 producing 3.2 billion gallons/years

33
3.The success story of bioethanol in Brazil( 180
millions)
  • Brazil is the world's largest producer of ethanol
    and is independent of exported oil.
  • It produces 4.8 billion gallons/year, or 38
    percent of the worldwide total.
  • Brazil uses sugar cane as the raw material,
    raising fears among environmentalists regarding
    forests and biodiversity
  • It is expected to produce 6.6 billion gallons/
    year on 2010( 30 will be for export, 2.2
    billion gallons/year).
  • This will require expanding the current area of
    sugar cane cultivation from the present 5
    millions to 7.5 millions hectares.
  • In 2004 it exported about 0.6 billion gallons
    three times the amount in 2003.
  • Brazil's ethanol has the lowest production cost
    internationally.
  • In 1980, ethanol productivity was 925
    gallons/hectare, on 2004 it became 1850
    gallons/hectare
  • Brazil still Seeks Clean Energy - in the
    Garbage, ethanol from cellulosic waste and
    methane from landfills.
  • Carbon credits are an important incentive for
    city governments in Brazil to fulfill their
    constitutional obligation to properly dispose
    of garbage, and develop clean energy.

34
4. The success story of the chaotic fermenter
for bioethanol
  • Said S.E.H.Elnashaie and Parag Garhyan, Chaotic
    Fermentation of Ethanol, US Full Patent
    10/978,293 filled on 10/29/2004.Published 4th
    August 2005
  • See a summary of the many mathematical and
    experimental papers in
  • Said Elnashaie and Parag Garhyan, Bioethanol
    Production-Sloving the Efficiency
  • Bottleneck The Chemical Engineer(tce), 755, May
    Issue, pp.30-32, 2004
  • Invention is product of PhD work of my student
    Dr.Parag Garhyan( Now researcher with Lilly in
    Indianapolis). He won the award of the best PhD
    in Auburn University, 2004.
  • Patent bought on March 2006 by investors
  • Investors formed a company, INFINOL, on this
    patent
  • Basic idea is
  • Operate fermenter dynamically( periodic/chaotic)
    at high feed sugar concentration.
  • Use pervaporation membranes to prevent inhibitory
    effect of ethanol and stabilize the fermenter.
  • Much More improvements are still possible.

35
5-Ethanol/bioethanol in Pennsylvania
  • Example of Pennsylvania Pioneering Biofuel
    Initiative
  • Worley Obetz, Inc., Highspire, PA
  • On the fall of 2004 became the first energy
    company in Pennsylvania to provide BioHeating Oil
    to all its heating oil customers. Now expanded
    and currently provide E85 and Biodiesel blended
    fuels.
  • AmeriGreen E85 Used in thousands of cars. It is
    85 percent ethanol and just 15 percent gasoline
  • AmeriGreen BioDiesel used in many diesel engine
    with no modifications.
  • AmeriGreen BioHeating Oil for any heating
    system using heating oil. All available in many
    places throughout PA ( Lancaster, York, Dauphin,
    Berks,etc)
  • A filling station in Middletown near the fire
    station

36
  • On Oct. 28, 2005, the Governor opened the East
    Coasts first, state-of-the-art biofuels
    injection facility in Middletown, PA.
  • It replaces 3.2 million gallons of foreign oil
    with domestically produced biodiesel.
  • It will also keep about 6 million worth of
    energy dollars in the commonwealth by reducing
    the states need to purchase imported fuels. 
  • Biofuel is the future and PA is taking good steps
    forward.

37
Ethanol from Coal
  • Pennsylvania is very rich in coal

  • FT
  • Gasification


  • FT
  • Bio-route
  • e.g. Anaerobic
    Bacterium

  • Clostridium ljungdahlii

Synthetic Ethanol
Coal
Syngas
Synthetic Diesel
Bioethanol
38
Pennsylvania and Diesel from Coal
  • In Sept. 2005, Pennsylvania governor Edward
    Rendell announced a venture with Waste Management
    and Processors Inc. using technology licensed
    from Shell and Sasol to build an FT plant that
    will convert so-called waste coal (leftovers from
    the mining process) into low-sulfur diesel fuel
    at a site outside of Mahanoy City, northwest of
    Philadelphia.
  • The state of Pennsylvania has committed to buy a
    significant percentage of the plant's output and,
    together with the U.S. Dept. of Energy, has
    offered over 140 million in tax incentives.

39
6-The biorefinery as one of the main tools for
sustainability.
  • Fuel is a major part of economy, but it is not
    all the economy.
  • A biorefinery integrates biomass conversion
    processes to produce fuels, power, and chemicals
    from biomass.
  • The biorefinery concept is analogous to today's
    petroleum refineries/petrochemical complexes,
    which produce multiple fuels and other products
    from petroleum.
  • Industrial biorefineries are the most promising
    route to the creation of a new domestic
    sustainable bio-based industry.

40
Example of the Simple PureVision
BiorefineryBiorefineries refines biomass (wood,
agricultural and paper wastes, energy crops,
etc.) into sugars, bio-plastics, ethanol,
acetic acid and other chemicals. This is
carbon-neutral, eliminating fossil fuel inputs
while providing green products.VERY LIMITED,
e.g. IT DOES NOT UTILIZE SYNGAS AND FT
                                                  
                                         click
here for printable copy
41
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42
World's First "Biorefinery"
  • Golden Valley, MN, August 25, 2003
  • Biorefining, Inc. started its first commercial
    application of their patented "Biorefining
    Process." The project incorporating this process
    is a 22 million joint-ventured production
    facility with Ace Ethanol, LLC.
  • The new "biorefinery" generates value-added
    co-products from the further fractionation of the
    corn fiber in distiller's grain.

43
7.Importance of intensive multidisciplinary
research. Sequential de-bottlenecking and the
optimal next steps.
  • The biggest improvements will be through
    intensive multidisciplinary research to
    efficiently achieve
  • 1-Change of raw material to cellulosic waste,
  • 2-Efficient fermentation of difficult sugars
    using mutated microorganisms.
  • 3-Unconventional operation (dynamic, chaotic).
  • 4-Membrane fermenters.
  • 5-Immobilization of microorganisms
  • 5-Immobilized packed bed fermenters, etc
  • 6-Efficient Ethanol production through Syngas
    followed by FT.

44
Competing Raw Materials and Processes. All Need
Intensive Multidisciplinary Research. Compare
Optimums
  • Dry/Wet Milling Hydrolysis
    Steam
    Reforming Bioreactor
    landfills


  • SSF


  • Gasification
  • Fermentation
    FT
    Multidisciplinary Research, e.g.


  • Fermentation Research Microorganisms


  • Bioreactor Configurations Immobilization


  • Membranes Mode of Operation, etc

  • Steam
    Reforming Gasification Research

1-PyrolysisSteam Reforming
(better) Or 2-Gasification
NG
Corn
Biomass
Syngas
Biomass
Sugars
Coal
Ethanol
45
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46
8. Ethical/moral, socio-economical and political
factors.
  • Ethical/moral
  • Is sustainability profitable or is it a
    moral/ethical obligation?
  • Does moral/ethical obligations change with the
    change of the philosophy we believe in?
  • How much is moral/ethical obligations related to
    religion, i.e. can we have good moral/ethical
    obligations without religion. How does this apply
    to sustainability?

47
Socio-economical
  • Is there a contradiction between sustainability
    and profitability? and if there is, is it
    solvable within a profitability based society? Is
    Innovation an answer?
  • Is sustainability more critically dependent on
    the production or consumption domains? Can they
    be separated?
  • Can we achieve sustainability with the present
    mode of consumption in the US?
  • How will be the situation if the US mode and size
    of consumption prevailed in the entire planet?
    will biofuels and bioproducts be able to sustain
    this mode of consumption internationally?
  • Are biofuels/bioproducts enough to achieve
    sustainability?
  • How much does the future of bioethanol and other
    biofuels depend upon the decisions of large oil
    companies? Is this a socio-economical or
    political question?
  • Will sustainable economy leads to a different
    socio-economical systems?
  • Will sustainable development affect international
    relations, decreasing international tensions and
    wars?
  • Is sustainable development compatible or
    contradictory to global development?
  • How much it will localize great parts of
    production/consumption and affect international
    trade?
  • Are the present definitions of sustainable
    development sufficient/suitable?

48
Political
  • What level of public awareness is needed to adopt
    sustainable polices and what are the best
    techniques to achieve that? Is this political or
    socio-economical question?
  • Does world politics and large corporate
    businesses affect adaptation of biofuels?
  • Does biofuels adaptation affect world policies,
    specially in places like the ME?
  • How much the future of bioethanol and other
    biofuels depends upon the political and military
    situation in the ME?
  • What degree of national and international
    equality is needed to succeed in developing
    sustainable economy?
  • Is the US refusal of the Kyoto agreement
    scientific, economical, political, ethical?
  • Is the recent interest in bioethanol, biodiesel,
    biohydrogen scientific, economical, political,
    ethical,.?
  • For politicians what is the correlation between
    adopting sustainable policies and
    popularity/winning elections?
  • How much does bioethanol adaptation depend upon
    the political decision of subsidizing it?

49
General
  • Is nuclear energy an option?
  • Is the main bottleneck scientific/technological,
    economical or political? Or all of them
    non-linearly interacting?
  • Is there a contradiction between sustainable
    development and the second law of thermodynamics?
  • Will sustainable development decrease the
    possibilities of bifurcation, chaos and self
    organizational criticality?
  • Will it lead the world toward a stable stationary
    non-equilibrium state? Or an equilibrium state?

50
Thank You I will Be Happy to Answer Any
Questions and Discuss Any Topics
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