INCORPORATING%20LAST%20YEAR

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INCORPORATING LAST YEARS DISASTER INFORMATION
IN THIS YEARS EDUCATIONAL SURGES (Part 1)

• A PRIMER OF KNOWLEDGE THAT CAN MULTIPY AND SPILL
  OVER FOR THE BENEFIT OF MILLIONS

Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster
Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA
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WE ARE ALWAYS WRITING THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE
GLOBAL BOOKS OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE
BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE -
Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED
BOOK OF EXPERIENCE -
Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EM HI-ED
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GOAL COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
FLOODS
IMPROVE ON PAST PERFORMANCE
SEVERE WIND STORMS
EARTHQUAKES
INCREASED TECHNICAL AND POLITICL CAPACITY OF
COMMUNITY TO COPE
DROUGHTS
INCREASED OWNERSHIP AND USE OF KNOWLEDGE AND
EXPERIENCE
LANDSLIDES
WILDFIRES
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
TSUNAMIS
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS
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EXAMPLE FROM REAL TIME INFORMATION ON SEVERE
WINDSTORM IN 2008
TO A GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL SURGE THIS
YEAR(Part 1)

• A SIMPLE CONCEPT WITH A HIGH BENEFIT TO COST RATIO

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF WHAT HAPPENED DURING
2008
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NOTABLE DISASTER TYPES IN 2008
CYCLONE NARGIS
NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR COMMUNITY DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION
WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE
FLOODING IN MIDWESTERN USA
CATALYSTS FOR CHANGE
TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES
WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA
ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
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2008 TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE/TYPHOON SEASONPART
1

• JUNE 1 NOVEMBER 30, 2008

2008 TROPICAL STORM SEASON BEGINS AROUND THE GLOBE

• HIGH VELOCITY WINDS
• HEAVY RAINFALL
• FLOODING
• LANDSLIDES
• POWER OUTAGES
• AGRICULTURAL LOSSES

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PATHS OF 16 NAMED ATLANTIC STORMS
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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR NEAR BELIZE JUNE 1
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TROPICAL STORM FENGSHEN, SHENZHEN, CHINA JUNE 25
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HURRICANE BERTHA MOVING TOWARDS BERMUDA JULY 7,
2008
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TROPICAL STORM HELEN THE PHILIPPINES, JULY 16
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TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI TAIWAN, JULY 18
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TROPICAL STORM KALMAEGI TAIWAN, JULY 18
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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL JULY 18-22
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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL NORTH CAROLINA, JULY 20
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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY APPROACHING MEXICO AND
TEXAS, JULY 22
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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY EARLY EVACUATIONS, JULY 22
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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY PREPARATIONS, JULY 22
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TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR MANZANILLO, MX JULY
22
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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARDAUGUST 3, 2008 WINDS OF
50 MI/HR (83 KM/HR) FORECASTS PREDICT LANDFALL
IN LOUISIANA OR TEXAS ON AUGUST 5th.
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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD
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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD

• Many of the Gulf of Mexicos offshore oil and
  natural gas drilling rigs and production
  platforms were in the storms path.
• Companies prepared platforms for heavy wind and
  rain and evacuated some workers.

• Isolated tornadoes occurred over parts of
  southern Louisiana and the upper Texas coast.
• Rainfall of 2 to 6 inches occurred in coastal LA
  and southeast TX.
• Tides were 2 to 4 feet above normal.

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PREPARATIONS IN TEXAS

• Texas officials began activating emergency
  teams Sunday afternoon, August 3rd,including
  1,200 Texas national guards and six UH-60
  helicopters.
• .

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TROPICAL STORM FAY PREDICTED PATH AUGUST 16
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TROPICAL STORM FAY HAVANA, CUBA AUGUST 17

• Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rica, Cuba,
  and Florida were in Fays path.
• Even though Fay never became a Category 1
  hurricane, it was very destructive.

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TROPICAL STORM FAYAUGUST 18-21, 2008

• Fay was a heavy rainmaker, generating more than
  30 inches of rain and spawning eight tornadoes in
  parts of Florida.

• Fay was a boomerang storm in Florida, first
  traveling east, then west, then east, then west
  and lingering much too long.

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FAY BECAME A BOOMERANG STORM ON AUGUST 20
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FLORIDA GOVERNOR ISSUES "STATE OF EMERGENCY"
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TROPICAL STORM FAY EVACUATION OF FLORIDA KEYS
AUGUST 17, 2008
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HURRICANE GUSTAV NEW ORLEANS SPARED AS LEVEES
HOLD AND PATH OF STORM PREVENTS IT FROM BEING
ANOTHER KATRINA

• SEPTEMBER 1, 2008

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HURRICANE GUSTAV A CAT 2 STORM AT LANDFALL 830
AM, SEPTEMBER 1
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HURRICANE GUSTAV

• GUSTAV CAUSED EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IN CUBA BEFORE
  REACHING USA.
• GUSTAV MADE LANDFALL AT 930 AM IN COCODRIE,
  LOUISIANA, ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW
  ORLEANS.
• A CAT 2 HURRICANE THEN, IT HAD WINDS OF ABOUT
  110 MILES PER HOUR (183 KM/HR).
• THE STORM SURGE WAS ABOUT 14 FT.

• OIL PLATFORMS WERE EVACUATED AND PRODUCTION
  SHUT DOWN IN THE GULF OF MEXICO IN ANTICIPATION
  OF GUSTAV
• NEARLY TWO MILLION PEOPLE WERE EVACUATED FROM
  NEW ORLEANS AND OTHER CITIES TO OTHER PARTS OF
  LOUISIANA AND TO OTHER STATES
• OVER ONE MILLION WERE WITHOUT POWER

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MANDATED EVACUATION LEAVING NEW ORLEANS ON I-10
AUGUST 30
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THE SUPER DOME - NO PROBLEMS SEPTEMBER 1
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LEVEES NO PROBLEMS THIS TIME IN HURRICANE GUSTAV
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INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE OVERTOPPED BUT NOT
BREACHED
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INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE OVERTOPPING
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FLOODING IN LOW AREA NEAR INDUSTRIAL CANAL LEVEE
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HURRICANE IKESEPTEMBER 3 13, 2008

• Ninth Named Storm of 2008 Hurricane Season
• (See Part 2)

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FOUR UNIVRSAL BARRIERS TO USE OF LAST YEARS
INFORMATION

• IGNORANCE
• APATHY
• DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES
• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

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EDUCATIONAL SURGES CREATE TURNING POINTS
ALL SECTORS OF SOCIETY INFORMED
IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT
EDUCATIONAL SURGES WILL CHANGE THE COMMUNITY
APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT
BOUNDARIES TO NETWORKS
STATUS QUO TO GOOD POLITICAL DECISIONS
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EDUCATIONAL SURGE
RELEVANT
PUBLIC AWARENESS
BASIC OBJECTIVES FOR LAUNCHING AN EDUCATIONAL
SURGE
INCREASE UNDERSTANDING
POLITICAL ENABLEMENT
BUILD EQUITY
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BENEFITS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES
EXPAND CAPABILITY
IMPROVE DELIVERY MECHANISMS
EDUCATIONAL SURGES
OVERCOME UNIVERSAL BARRIERS
CREATE TURNING POINTS OF CHANGE
INCREASE COMMUNITY DISASTER RESILIENCE
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TOPICS AND TARGETS OF EDUCATIONAL SURGES
A PROCESS THAT PENETRATES SOCIETY
THE KNOWLEDGE BASE
CAPACITY BUILDING
CONTINUING EDUCATION
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BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

• Increasing the "World's Mutual Fund for
  Education," (i.e., the in-country resources for
  education in the budget of every nation)

• Using conferences and other meetings on different
  scales will eventually overcome the universal
  barriers of ignorance, apathy, disciplinary
  boundaries, and lack of political will

• Increased community disaster-risk reduction for
  all (including Mega-cities, which are a special
  challenge)

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BENEFITS OF AN EDUCATIONAL SURGE

• Transferring ownership of knowledge and
  technology for increasing disaster-risk reduction
  for people, habitats, livelihoods, cultural
  heritage, and infrastructure

• Facilitates equipping, linking, and engaging
  legions of new and emerging professionals with
  mature professionals

• Intensifies efforts in high-risk locations.
• Increases risk reduction for essential (schools)
  and critical (hospitals, dams, and power plants)
  facilities.

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MEASURING CHANGE
NEW RESOURCES
NEW DELIVERY MECHANISMS
EDUCATIONAL SURGES SHOULD RESULT IN
NEW PROFESSIONAL LINKAGES
NEW LEGISLATIVE MANDATES
NEW DIALOGUE ON BUILDING A CULTURE OF
DISASTER-RISK REDUCTION
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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES
• (Improving on the past)

• REDUCTION IN MAGNITUDE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC LOSSES
  FROM NATURAL HAZARDS

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES
• (Improving on the past)

• REDUCTION IN NUMBER AND MAGNITUDE OF ANNUAL
  NATURAL DISASTERS

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES
• (Improving on the past)

• INCREASED EFFECTIVENESS OF EDUCAT-IONAL SURGES TO
  BUILD PROFESSIONL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER-RISK
  REDUCTION

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES
• (Improving on the past)

• DECREASE IN IGNORANCE, APATHY, DISCIPLINARY
  BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the Past)

• INCREASE IN TRAINING

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the Past)

• INCREASE IN NUMBER OF PROFESSIONALS ENGAGED IN
  SEAMLESS NETWORKS HAVING COMMUNITY DISASTER-RISK
  REDUCTION AS A GOAL

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past)

• INCREASED COORDINATION

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MEASURING CHANGE

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past)

• IMPROVED COLLABORATION

• IMPROVED INNOVATION

• PRINCIPLES (Improving on the past)

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINTS
• (Building a Culture of Community Disaster-Risk
  Reduction)

• NEW NETWORKS OF PROFESS-IONALS WORKING ON
  EDUCATIONAL SURGES THAT PENETRATE ALL LEVELS OF
  THE COMMUNITY.

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of
  Community Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM IGNORANCE
  INTO ENLIGHTENMENT

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community
  Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM APATHY INTO
  EMPOWERMENT

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community
  Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM
  ORGANIZATIONAL AND DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES INTO
  SEAMLESS NETWORKS

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINTS (Building a Culture of Community
  Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN ACTIVITIES TO TRANSFORM THE STATUS
  QUO IN A COMMUNITY INTO GOOD POLITICAL
  DECISIONS

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MEASURING CHANGE

• TURNING POINT (Building a Culture of Community
  Disaster-Risk Reduction)

• INCREASE IN DIALOGUE ON HOW TO USE LAST YEARS
  DISASTER INFORMATION IN THIS YEARS EDUCATIONAL
  SURGES