Title: Energy Needs of India and Opportunities for Solar, Alternate Energy and ICT Sector
1 Energy Needs of India and Opportunities
for Solar, Alternate Energy and ICT Sector
- Presentation at CMAI CES Press Conference
- By
- NK Goyal, President CMAI
- Chairman Emeritus, TEMA
- Vice Chairman ITU APT
- Chairman, ITPS Dubai
- Member, Governing Board Telecom Equipment and
Services Export Promotion Council - (Gov. of India)
- Las Vegas, January 9th 2013
- www.cmai.asia, www.cmaievents.com
2CES, 2009 being inaugurated and ribbon cutting at
Las Vegas on 8th January, 2009 by NK Goyal with
Sir Howard Stringer, Chairman CEO of Sony
Corporation, Mr. Tom Hanks, the American movie
star, Mr.Gary Yacoubian, Chairman CEA President
of Myer-Emco AudioVideo, Mr. Gary Saprio, Vice
President of CEA, Ms. Qu., Presixdent, CECC
China, Mr. Patrick Lavelle, President and CEO of
Audiovox, Mr. Peter Lesser, President and CEO of
X-10 (USA) Inc, Mr. Loyd Ivey, Chairman and CEO
of MiTek Electronics and Communications, Mr. Jay
McLellan, President and CEO of Home Automation,
Inc. (HAI), Mr. Mike Mohr, President of
Celluphone, Mr.Grant Russell, President of Kleen
Concepts
3Advantage India
- GDP Crossed USD 1 Trillion Mark since 2007-08
- 4th largest Economy in world on Purchasing
Power Parity basis - Growing well in excess of 8 per annum for last
three years. - Current GDP Growth 8.5
- USD 380 Bn. Projected infrastructure investment
in next 5 years - Large Domestic Market
- 560 Mn. consumers in 20-49 age group expected by
2015 - 5th largest consumer market by 2025
- Increased disposable incomes changing
lifestyles - Human capital
- Third largest pool of scientific technical
manpower - (2,00,000 Engineering Gradates
Annually) - Over 500 universities (20,000 colleges)
- Large English speaking population
4India Story- Leaders Speak
5Energy Needs of World
- Energy and environment are essential for
sustainable development - From 1980 to 2008 total world primary energy
demand grew by 66 and by 2030 projected to grow
by 40, average 1.5 per annum. Demand in Asia,
projected to average 4.7 per year - Over 70 of the increased energy demand is from
Developing Countries, led by China and India. - Maximum energy use grew in China and India as
146 and 91 from 1990 to 2008 the Africa by
70, Latin America by 66, the USA by 20 and
world overall grew by 39 - UN predicting world population growth from 6.6
billion in 2007 to 8.2 billion by 2030, demand
for energy to increase substantially - About 20 of worlds energy is generated from
coal and about 60 from oil and natural gas - Because of extensive use of fossil fuel such as
coal, oil and natural gas, the harmful emissions
of Green House Gasses such as Carbon Dioxide
increases the GHG level and causes the Greenhouse
Effect and eventually global warming
6CMAI Dedicated Initiatives for Energy Needs
- CMAI has set up a Energy Fund of 500 Mn. USD with
help from angel ventures, investors to promote
energy development projects in India - This fund can be used for technology development,
Research and Development, Innovations in energy
sector and seed capital - CMAI is looking for partnerships, joint ventures,
technology providers to empower renewable sector. - CMAI will provide one window service to investors
and entrepreneurs in this behalf for project
identification, studies, evaluation, financing
follow up, Government approvals and marketing
strategies,
7India CMAI lookingfor Technologies and Projects
- Technology has driven mankind in its progress
since ages in its growth path - With the depleting fossil fuels and skyrocketing
prices of available natural resources,
technologists worldwide have turned to innovative
ideas to uninterruptedly power this growth - CMAI is looking for new innovative technologies
for developing alternative energy, solar, wind,
biomass, hydrogen cells, geothermal heat etc. - Also looking for energy efficient technologies.
The current 15 capacity utilization factor for a
solar unit needs improvement. This equates to
around 6.2 MW of solar needed to cater to a 1 MW
load - CMAI also looking for investors And manufacturing
8Indiathe 1.2 Bn. People Country
- India is a Country with more than 1.2 Bn. people
accounting for more than 17 of worlds
population. - Seventh largest Country in the world with total
land area of 3,287,263 sq kilometers. It has a
land frontier of 15,200 km and coastline of 7,517
km - India has 28 States and 7 Union Territories.
- It faces a formidable challenge in providing
adequate energy supplies to users at a reasonable
cost
9India Energy Gaps
- India needs an investment of at least 135 Bn. to
provide universal access of electricity to its
population(International Energy Agency) - India is world's fourth largest energy consumer
after United States, China and Russia. Perfect
storm is brewing in the energy space as India
will continue to experience insatiable energy
demand growth over the next several years. - The total electricity demand of the Country
during the year is 1,40,090 MW of which 1,25,234
MW is expected to be met, leaving a gap of 14,856
MW, (Central Electricity Authority) - The anticipated peak shortage in the Country
would be 10.6 per cent - From current installed base of 170 GW, India will
build up to 316 GW by 2020. In the same
time-frame, the demand gap will grow from 19GW to
103GW, an increase of 5x! -
10Cont.India Energy Gaps
- Per capita average annual domestic electricity
consumption in India in 2009 was 96 kWh in rural
areas and 288 kWh in urban areas, in contrast to
the worldwide per capita annual average of 2600
kWh and 6200 kWh in the European Union - It is expected that with growth rate of 9 TPES
(Total Primary Energy Supply) requirement for
India in 2021- 22 will be around 1192 Mtoe (
Million Tonn Oil Equivalent) which will further
increase to around 2043 Mtoe by the year 2031-32. - India will add between 600 GW to 1200 GW of
additional new power generation capacity before
2050. This added new capacity is equivalent to
the 740 GW of total power generation capacity of
European Union (EU-27) in 2005 (International
Energy Agency)
11Electricity Sector in India
- An installed capacity of 210.936 GW (Nov 2012),
the world's fifth largest. Captive power plants
generate an additional 31.5 GW. - Non Renewable Power Plants constitute 88.55 of
the installed capacity and 11.45 of Renewable
Capacity. - India generated 855 BU (855 000 MU i.e. 855 TWh)
electricity during 2011-12 fiscal. - Coal-fired plants account for 56 of India's
installed electricity capacity, compared to South
Africa's 92 China's 77 and Australia's 76.
After coal, renewal hydropower accounts for 19,
renewable energy for 12 and natural gas for
about 9. - Over 300 Mn. Indian citizens had no access to
electricity. Over one third of India's rural
population lacked electricity, as did 6 of the
urban population( December, 2011)
12Indias Energy from Coal
- India ranks third amongst the coal producing
Countries in the world. Still India faces coal
shortage of 23.96 MT or so, which is met through
imports mainly by steel, power and cement
sectors - Coal reserves (84 Bn. tones) may last for about
200 years but cash content environmental
reasons are the major concerns. The exploitable
coal concern may not last for more than 100 years - Despite its low per capita CO 2 emission of less
than 1 ton, India contributed over 4 of world
total CO 2 emission in 2000
13Energy Gaps for Petroleum
- India lacks in petroleum resources which needs
precious foreign reserve. - India hardly has around 0.4 of the worlds
proven reserves of crude oil. - The known reserves of oil and natural gas may
last hardly for 18 and 26 years respectively at
the current reserves to production ratio (2004). - In this scenario, all types of energy are welcome
conventional, nuclear, and renewable.
14Alternative Energy Paths
- The sunlight which reaches the earths surface
can provide 7,900 times more energy than we
currently use. Each square meter of land is
exposed to enough sunlight to produce 1,700 kWh
of power every year. - Renewable Energy comes from natural
resources such as Sunlight, Wind, Ocean, Rain,
Tides, and Geothermal Heat, hydro power, hydrogen
derived from renewable resources . These
are naturally replenished - As of 2010, about 16 of global final energy
consumption comes from renewable, with 10 coming
from traditional biomass - New renewable (small hydro, modern biomass, wind,
solar, geothermal, and biofuels) accounted for
another 2.8 and are growing very rapidly
15India Largest Potential for Alternate Energy
- India has one of the highest potentials for the
effective use of renewable energy - India is the worlds fifth largest producer of
wind power after Denmark, Germany, Spain, and the
USA - India is world's most active players in renewable
energy utilization especially wind energy. As on
December, 2011 India had an installed capacity of
about 22.4 GW of renewal technologies-based
electricity, exceeding the total installed
electricity capacity in Austria by all
technologies. - In spite of having low greenhouse gas emissions
per capita, India has already become the 3th
largest emitter in the world, according to the
International Energy Association. That means
immense international pressure to respond and
develop Green Technologies
16Indias Hunt for Alternate Energy
- India strategically located in South Asia, which
peninsula is a natural paradise ranging from
Himalayas from North to the Seas of South - India has many perineal rivers from North to
South, their energy is immense and it is non
exhaustible - There is a significant potential in India for
generation of power from renewable energy
sources- small hydro, biomass, and solar energy - Ample opportunities for Alternate energy, Solar
energy, Bio Mass energy and Innovative Smart Grid
applications
17Indian TelecomSector - the show stealer
- Indian Telecom requires 14 Bn. units of energy
and it ends up consuming around 2 Bn. liters of
diesel. Energy requirement projected to reach 26
billion units by 2012 - Because of limited uncertain grid power,
Telecom Tower Companies are meeting 60 of their
needs from diesel and only 40 from grid - TRAI, Indian Telecom Regulator proposed 50 per
cent of all towers in the rural areas be powered
by hybrid renewable sources by the year 2015.
Total towers estimated 4,00,000. - Indian Tower Infrastructure Industry Carbon
Footprint now stands at 5.3 Mn. Tones exclusively
from the burning of Diesel. -
-
18India - the resurgence
- National Action Plan on Climate Change announced
on 30th June 2008 outlines Indian strategy to
enable the Country to adapt climate change and
enhance the ecological sustainability of Indias
development path. - It provides for
- Deployment of appropriate technologies for
extensive and accelerated adaptation, and
mitigation of green house gases - Innovative market, regulatory and voluntary
mechanisms to promote Sustainable Development - National Solar Mission, National Mission for a
Green India
19India Incentivizes Alternate Energy
- The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy MNRE
currently provides capital subsidy of 30 per cent
at INR 81 per W and soft loans at 5 interest
across the Country. - Additionally, a capital subsidy of 90 is
provided for installation of off-grid solar
systems for special category states of North
Eastern India, Sikkim, JK, Himachal Pradesh and
Uttarakhand - Separate provision for innovative applications of
solar systems whereby the pilot and demonstration
projects can avail a Central Finance Assistance
up to 100 per cent.
20Cont.. India Incentivizes Alternate Energy
- Government Committed to support the Solar Energy
scale-up while also reducing solar costs. Over
1,600 MW of Power Purchase Agreements(PPAs) have
already been signed - Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) is being
implemented across the Country. Under this
Distribution companies and captive consumers will
have to source 5 to 15 over ten years of their
energy from renewable sources. Within this,
solar-specific RPO of 0.25, slated to grow to 3
over the same time frame.
21India Solar Energy Potential
- Globally investment in clean technology in 2011
was USD 260 Bn. Indias investment was 10.3 Bn.
- India gets 300 sunny days a year that can help
generate about 5 trillion MW of energy - Solar energy potential in India is estimated
about 70GW by 2022 with Over 42 Bn. Investment. - Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE)
target to add 20 GW grid-tied Solar Power by 2022
and also addition of 2000 MW decentralized solar
systems off-grid and an additional aspiration
target of 2000 MW - Indias total solar installations is expected to
grow from 54 MW in 2010 to more than 9,000 MW in
2016 - Installed Solar Photovoltaic (PV) technology
capacity 300 MW(2011 end). Increased by 170 to
800 MW by May 2012 clocking a growth rate of 170
per cent -
22Government Procurement of Electronics
- Multi-Billion dollar investment plans in mega
programs offer tremendous opportunities for
electronics manufacturing - - Roll out of Broadband to over 600,000
villages National Optical Fibre - Network (NOFN) Plan approved
- - National Knowledge Network with 100GB
connectivity for over 20,000 - colleges and research institutions
- - National eGovernance Program spanning
Central Ministries and all State - Governments
- - National Mission to provide Computers to over
100,000 schools - - Digitization of Television Broadcast
Network by 2015 - significant opportunity - for Set Top Box consumption and
manufacturing - - Indian Unique Identification Project (UID)
offers tremendous opportunities for - technology and products (Biometrics, ID
Cards, etc.).
23Favorable Policy Framework
- A Triad of Policies to drive a National Agenda
for ICTE - - National Policy on Electronics
- - National Policy on Information Technology
- - National Telecom Policy
- Vision
- To create a globally competitive electronics
design and manufacturing (ESDM) industry to meet
the Country's needs and serve the international
market. - Key Objectives
- Turnover in ESDM sector of USD 400 Bn. by
2020 involving - - Investment of USD 100 Bn.
- - Employment to 28 Mn. people at various
levels - Achieve global leadership in VLSI, chip design
and other frontier technical areas and achieve
turnover of USD 55 Bn. by 2020. - Increase export in ESDM sector from USD 5.5 Bn.
to USD 80 Bn. by 2020
24India Telecom Opportunities
- Second largest telecom penetration, worlds
highest monthly additions - 980 Mn. Subscribers . Wireless 950 Mn.
- Indian Telecom sector to witness huge investments
to the tune of USD110 Bn. during 2012-2017 - Telecom Subscribers to cross 1.5 Bn. by 2015 and
5 Bn. by 2020. - About 25 per cent (Approx. 300 Mn.) would be
3G/4G subscribers, requiring scaling up the
infrastructure - About USD 70 Bn. estimated investment in rolling
out green field 2G, 3G/4G and WiMax networks,
while USD 25 Bn. required to set up an extra
200,000 - odd telecom towers across the Country - The total investment in the pan-India Broadband
rollout expected to be - USD 20 Bn. while another USD 20 Bn. will
be invested in augmenting the transmission
network
25National Optical Fiber Network Broadband
Eco-system
- Project approved on 25.10.2011 to connect
2,50,000 Gram Panchayats (GPs) - through OFC
- Project to be implemented by NOFN-SPV Bharat
Broadband Network Ltd -
- Envisaged as a Centre-State joint effort.
- Govt. of India to fund the project through the
Universal Service Obligation Fund - (USOF) Rs. 20,000 Cr.(4Bn.)
- State Govts. are expected to contribute by way
of not levying any RoW charges - (including reinstatement charges)
- At least 100Mbps is available at each GP
- E-health, e-education, e-governance
e-commerce applications Video - conferencing facilities can be provided
- NOFN Project implementation time - 24 months
(by 31.10.2013)
26About CMAI
- CMAI prime Integrated Association of India
representing all verticals of ICE, telecom sector
of India in India having more than 48,500 members
and 54 MOUs with International organizations with
branch offices in Japan, Korea, Singapore,
Taiwan, China - It offers one window service for information
dissemination, guidance on setting up businesses
in India - It connects to Industries, Government, Trade and
Business - It is involved in policy formulations with
Government and other stake holders for Technology
Innovations, Indigenous manufacturing - It is developing scientific knowledge and
practical means for protecting human ecology and
environment from the harmful effects of
environmental hazards like e waste, radiation
etc. - It assists manufacturers to maximize
competitiveness in the domestic and international
markets. - It also offers consultancy services on turn key
basis through its member companies
27About CMAI
- With CMAI membership, you gain access,
authority, and intelligence designed to help you
to - Protect interests when standards and policies are
being formulated - Engage peers regularly about market challenges or
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28Thanks get Connected nkgoyals_at_yahoo.co.in
Ph No. - 91 98111 29879
www.cmai.asia