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CMEFlare Mechanisms

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CME/Flare Mechanisms. Solar 'minimum' event this January ... see disturbance along spine, distant brightening (see also papers by Sterling & Moore et al) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: CMEFlare Mechanisms


1
CME/Flare Mechanisms
Spiro K. Antiochos Naval Research Laboratory
  • Solar minimum event this January
  • For use to VSE must be able to predict CME/flare

2
Present State of Understanding on CME/Flare
Mechanisms
  • Know where eruption can occur
  • Sheared filament channel
  • Very robust indicator
  • Promising ideas for why eruption occurs
  • Reconnection and twisted flux rope models
  • But not yet able to determine when
  • Essential for predicting possible
    geo-effectiveness
  • Observationally constrained
  • Also need to determine how will erupt
  • Essential for predicting SEPs

3
Where does Eruption Occur?
  • Filament channel provides necessary energy for
    eruption
  • For long range prediction (groups A B), need to
    understand how they form (and what they are!)

07/14/00 event from Schrijver et al 08/16/05
NASA Science Update
4
Why does Eruption Occur?
  • Strongly non-potential field forms in narrow
    region over polarity-inversion line
  • Exact topology still unobserved
  • critical for eruption mechanism
  • Held down by potential overlying coronal field
  • Force balance breaks down and field expands
    outward explosively producing CME, shock,
    particles, etc. (see
    following talk by Roussev)
  • Field reconnects below eruption to a more
    potential state producing flare, X-rays, etc.
  • Generic to all models

-
PIL
-


(DeVore et al)
-

(e.g., T. Forbes)
5
Models for CME Initiation
  • Reconnection models (Resistive)
  • Sheared 3D arcade topology (but not essential)
  • Reconnection removes overlying field
  • Tether-cutting reconnection inside filament
    channel
  • Breakout reconnection outside filament channel
  • Needs multi-polarity system
  • Twisted flux rope models (Ideal)
  • Twist is essential to pre-eruption topology
  • Generally bipolar polarity region (not essential)
  • Ideal (kink-like) instability/loss-of-equilibrium
    moves aside overlying field

6
Breakout Model
  • Multi-polar field footpoint shear
  • Reconnection removes overlying flux
  • CME due to run-away expansion, accelerates when
    flare turns on

(from Lynch et al )
7
Twisted Flux Rope Model
(Fan 2005 flux emergence)
(Amari et al 2003 flux cancellation)
  • Bipolar field with some process to form twisted
    rope
  • Bulk of energy still in shear
  • Rope lifts/kinks for some critical twist,
    overlying field moves aside

8
Why does Eruption Occur?
  • Both breakout and twisted flux rope models shown
    to produce fast eruption in idealized 3D
    simulations
  • Role of tether-cutting still unclear
  • Now testing with observed magnetic fields
  • Beginning to incorporate better plasma energetics
  • Need to incorporate better photosphere-corona
    interaction
  • Flux emergence and cancellation
  • But, overall, impressive progress has been made
    in recent years

9
When will Eruption Occur?
  • Breakout onset of fast reconnection at coronal
    null
  • Current sheet thins to critical scale
  • Flux rope system reaches critical twist or
    energy
  • Question needs more theoretical and numerical
    study
  • Given answer, then in principle, could use
    observations to determine coronal B
  • Effective extrapolation methods in use
  • But B not measured in force-free region
  • Perhaps some combination of observations will
    work (need STEREO, SOLAR-B, and SDO)

10
When will Eruption Occur?
  • Given sufficiently accurate field (and driver),
    could use numerical models to predict eruption
  • Reconnection calculate free energy see DeVore
    poster
    calculate growth of current sheets
  • Twisted rope calculate equilibrium and ideal
    stability
  • But photospheric driving (emergence/cancellation)
    may be difficult to predict
  • For near term, need to find pre-eruption
    observational signatures
  • For breakout, pre-eruption reconnection

11
Observational Signatures of Breakout
  • Filament channel grows
  • Stressed field and null
  • Onset of breakout reconnection
  • Null and distant brightenings?
  • Initial potential state
  • Footpoint signatures move toward neutral line
  • Onset of flare reconnection
  • Flare ribbons move apart as usual

12
Signatures of Breakout in July 14, 1998 Flare
  • Extrapolated potential field (Aulanier et al
    2000)
  • Two-flux system embedded bipole, topology
    identical to 3D breakout simulation

13
Signatures of Breakout in July 14, 1998 Flare
  • Overlying loops disappear before flare and see
    disturbance along spine, distant brightening (see
    also papers by Sterling Moore et al)

14
Prospects for Future
  • Theoretical/numerical work proceeding at good
    pace
  • Have effective mix of groups, codes, expertise,
  • Need to concentrate on resolving basic physics
    questions
  • Will have revolutionary observations in few years
  • Solar-B (and SOLIS) vector B fields ultra-high
    resolution
  • 90? viewing from STEREO
  • Multi-T images from SDO, spectroscopy from
    Solar-B
  • Need campaign-style attack on
  • How do filament channels form?
  • What is their magnetic structure?
  • Both theory and observations should be ready by
    Sentinels
  • Provide in situ tests for CME/flare mechanisms
  • Determine structure of eruption near Sun
  • Connect eruption to particle production
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