Lead (in days) Lead (in days) RMSE of CFS monthly forecasts of Nino 3.4. Annual ... Increase in forecast lead Factor of 1.25. Ocean/Ice model integrations 2.0 ? ...
Land surface 'memory' is concentrated in the sub-seasonal time-scale (0-3 months) ... Courtesy Eleanor Burke. Ruth DeFries via Tom Jackson. Independent data sets ...
... do the current coupled models reproduce the changes in subseasonal variability ... 1. Current models reproduce the leading wintertime extra-tropical patterns of ...
... set of initial conditions is shown to be crucial for improving skill by 3-5 days. ... is more compatible with the forecast model is crucial for TIO forecast. ...
The 'BIG' Picture: global AAM and the torques. The time evolution of zonal AAM and role of torques ... 250 mb zonal mean u anomaly. 90s 60s 30s Eq 30n 60n 90n ...
A synoptic model of subseasonal atmospheric variability and its ... Global Synoptic-Dynamic Model Three subseasonal time scales. Extreme ... Synoptic Model ...
The MJO and subseasonal predictions: A role for monitoring and global synoptics ... How are models doing with the MJO? ... Movement of MJO zonal wind 'slug' ...
US CLIVAR MJO Working Group: Efforts to Establish and Improve Subseasonal Predictions ... Savage, S. Schubert, W. Stern, A. Vintzileos, F. Vitart, B. Wang, W. Wang, K. ...
The CFS is a useful tool in forecasting Tropical Intraseasonal ... Synoptic. Seasonal-to-Interannual. Subseasonal. 0-14 days. 15-60 days. 60 days and beyond ...
MJO/Frictional Torque. More than 1 area of Trop. Forcing. Dec-Jan ... Mountain Torque. March 2003. Weekly (Days 3-7) Baroclinic Wave Packets. Tropical Conv. ...
A synoptic-dynamic model with application to subseasonal monitoring and forecasting ... monitoring and synoptic analysis. animations of daily, 7-day, 30-day, ...
The Southern Ocean is zonally unbounded, and contains the world's largest ... variability the oceanic circumpolar transport exhibits on a range of timescales. ...
Sorghum Yields in Central and Northern Burkina Faso. 10 N. 11 N. 12 N. 13 N. 14 N. 15 N ... Index N&C Burkina Faso. Index N&C Burkina Faso. JAS total. Nb r-days ...
Observed variation is better captured by downscaling. ... CFS overestimates the observed variation. Anomaly time series : CFS data show smaller amplitude variation. ...
Xian-an Jiang, Duane E. Waliser ... Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia. Charles Jones. Institute for Computational Earth System ...
The USCLVAR Drought Working Group: A Multi-Model Assessment of the Impact of SST Anomalies on Drought NOAA's 33rd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop/
1. Global Monsoon Team Lead. Song Yang. Regional Monsoon Group Leads. Africa: Wassila Thiaw ... Song.Yang@noaa.gov (for general issues about the CPC Global ...
Forecast of E. occurrence of event. In case of the relationship. Between ... ECMWF: European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. ERA: ECMWF ReAnalysis ...
Provides a strategy for accelerating progress on the ... and Wayne Higgins CPC/NCEP, Fedor Mesinger--- UCAR/EMC,Hugo Berbery--- University of Maryland ...
The US CLIVAR Drought Working Group. http://www.usclivar.org/Organization/drought-wg.html ... John Marshall jmarsh@MIT.EDU Adam Sobel ahs129@columbia.edu ...
Dianosed states correspond sensibly with large-scale ... occurrence frequency (left, days/pentad) and mean intensity (precipitation amount on rainy days) ...
(3) Ensure that process studies lead to climate model improvement ... Assesment of satellite and remote sensing products and feedback to satellite and ...
Spectral Analysis of SNAM and PAM PC Time Series. SNAM (PAM) has relatively ... Correlations of stratospheric SNAM/NAM to tropospheric NAM is vertically uniform ...
Develop a set of metrics to be used for assessing MJO simulation ... Rely On - Will Need to Entrain Operational Weather and Seasonal Forecast Expertise. ...
Key: If an arrow points to you, it means that group directly ... hydrodynamics (Cowen group) Allie King, Evan Variano. people/social systems (Pendall group) ...
Report on CTB CFS Test and Evaluation Team Activities. Team Leads: Jae-Kyung Schemm and Shrinivas ... CFS with Noah LSM and GLDAS(Mitchell, Yang and Meng) ...
The MJO, Equatorial Waves, and TCs over the South Indian Ocean: Their Associations and use for Prediction Matthew Wheeler Centre for Australia Weather and Climate ...
Deliver operational climate 'nowcasts' and predictions ... hazards, drought, hurricane season, El Ni o/La Ni a. Probabilities of extremes? Storminess? ...
CLIVAR Atlantic research examples. Coupled modeling - TAV, NAO. P. ... EPIC. NAME. MESA. North American Monsoon Experiment. Phenomena of Interest. I. II. III ...
Over 900 Users of data extending from 82 ingest sites ... There are 947 registered users on the NASA DR Portal ... Case Studies. Process Understanding. Improvements: ...
NAME: STATUS AND PLANS 4th NAME Science Working Group Meeting January 9-10, 2003 NAME Homepage: http://www.joss.ucar.edu/name OUTLINE OVERVIEW What is NAME?
Global Cloud Characteristics (Cloudsat & CALIPSO) T. Global ... Global sea surface salinity (Aquarius) Improved space/time scales of ocean topography (OSTM) ...
... from conventional model hindcast/forecast and IPCC AR4 data ... later for simulations and weather/short-term climate forecasts, ... doi:10.1029/2008JD010000. ...
... chance of above average rainfall for the eastern Indian Ocean / Indonesia ... of tropical cyclogenesis in the southern Indian Ocean northwest of Australia ...
Ancient Ice Sean D. Pitman, M.D. January 2006 www.DetectingDesign.com Layers of snow (firn) turn into layers of ice Layers thought to be laid down in an annual ...
A couple of examples: Decision and planning processes and use of information. USBR reservoir management Powell-Mead ' ... From Harding, 2006, www.hydrosphere.com ...
... launched five space observation missions: SAGE III, Jason-1, GRACE, ... Partnering with the National Park Service, the Girl Scouts, Earth & Sky Radio, ...
NAS, Washington DC ... How does large-scale tropical convection interact with the extra-tropics? ... onsets and breaks, extra-tropical weather, and provide ...