EBusiness Brands and the implications of the net

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EBusiness Brands and the implications of the net

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Title: EBusiness Brands and the implications of the net


1
E-Business Brandsand the implications of the net
2
Some Thoughts On
  • The Internet and
  • Brand building at warp speed the fundamentals
    still count
  • Three frees that are fueling the Net
  • Implications of the Internet

3
Total Market Capitalization
  • 1986
  • IBM 73
  • Exxon 50
  • G. E. 39
  • ATT 27
  • G.M. 21

4
Two Questions
  • What part do brands play in market
    capitalization?
  • What has been the record of the new Internet
    Brands?

5
Valuing the Brand
  • Identify the total earnings stream associated
    with the brand.
  • Deduct from that the value of a fair return on
    the fixed assets used by the brand
  • Further deduct earnings attributed to other
    intangibles unique processes, patents,
    proprietary systems
  • Evaluate the result as a contributor to market
    capitalization

6
Billion Dollar Brands
  • Coca-Cola 84
  • Microsoft 57
  • JJ 48
  • IBM 44
  • GE 34
  • Ford 33
  • Disney 32
  • Intel 30
  • McDonalds 26
  • ATT 24
  • Marlboro 21
  • Nokia 21
  • Mercedes 18
  • Nescafe 18
  • H-P 17
  • Gillette 16
  • Kodak 15

7
Brand as of Market Cap
  • Coca-Cola 59
  • Microsoft 21
  • JJ 45
  • IBM 28
  • GE 10
  • Ford 58
  • Disney 61
  • Intel 21
  • McDonalds 64
  • ATT 24
  • Marlboro 19
  • Nokia 44
  • Mercedes 37
  • Nescafe 23
  • H-P 31
  • Gillette 37
  • Kodak 60

8
Internet vs. Conventional Brands
  • Cisco 271
  • AOL 163
  • Yahoo 51
  • Amazon 25
  • eBay 18
  • Etoys 6
  • HomeStore 3
  • Drugstore.com 2
  • USWeb 3
  • Bamboo.com .3
  • ATT 147
  • CBS 37
  • Gannett 20
  • BarnesNoble 3
  • Knight Ridder 5
  • Toys R Us 3
  • Cendant 12
  • Avis

9
Internet Accounting
  • Get Big Fast has been the mantra
  • Suspension of any ROI requirements
  • Difficult for conventional firm to compete
  • New metric ROT or ROB
  • How does Walgreen compete with Drugstore.com?

10
Conclusions
  • Internet has created huge brands
  • First movers have gained major advantages
  • Incumbents have largely missed the Internet
  • Internet brands use conventional media to
  • validate themselves
  • You can be Amazoned if you are not alert

11
What is a Brand?
  • What the Internet has not changed
  • Capitalized value of the trust between a
    consumer and a firm
  • Powerful brands can be a companys greatest asset
  • A Brand is a Promise that When Kept Creates
    Preference

12
Building Powerful Brands
  • Brand Positioning the core promise to the
    consumer
  • Brand Personality why the consumer
  • should like the brand
  • Brand Attitude what the consumer thinks
  • the brand feels about them

13
New York Times/CBS PollJuly 17 -19, 1999
  • Apple Computer
  • McDonalds
  • IBM
  • Harley Davidson
  • Johnson Johnson
  • Microsoft
  • Teammate
  • Mother/Child
  • Best Friend
  • Close Friend
  • Childhood Buddy
  • Master/Slave

14
Matches
  • Apple Close Friend
  • McDonalds Childhood Buddy
  • IBM Teammate
  • Harley Davidson Best Friend
  • Microsoft Master/Slave
  • JJ Mother/Child

15
Brand Positionings
  • Ingredient Expectations (Hershey)
  • Performance Expectations (Sony)
  • Service Expectations (UPS)
  • Image Expectations (Rolls Royce)
  • Horizontal - Sears, Disney
  • Vertical - Campbells,Coke

16
Importance of Brand
  • At the Coca-Cola Company, each employee has only
    one job to protect and enhance the value of the
    Coca-Cola trademark . . . everything else is
    fluff!
  • Donald R. KeoughPresident (retired)The
    Coca-Cola Company

17
Internet and Brands
  • Brand fundamentals still count
  • Competitors are often not traditional firms
  • First mover advantage magnified on the Web
  • Financial metrics of the .com companies are
    fundamentally different
  • Lead, dont join them or follow them!

18
Innovation
  • What four great US corporations began in 1886?
  • Why was this year significant?
  • Coca-Cola, Sears, Kodak and JJ
  • By 1886 we had a national communication system
    and a national transportation system
  • Internet is the 1999 equivalent of both the
    railroad and the telegraph

19
Would You Invest With This Group?
20
How e-commerce Will Trump Brand
ManagementHarvard Business Review J/A 99
  • Ad spending continues to climb
  • Quads, Pods and Optimizers but no real
    accountability
  • Where are the efficiency/productivity gains?
  • Contrast with proven improvements in productivity
  • in other areas manufacturing, transportation,
    communications, logistics, etc.

21
Phil Guarascio of GM
Let me ask you a question about a serious
matter your livelihood. What would you do if
your boss had the impression you were expensive,
exempt from accountability and expendable? I know
what I would do. Id panic. Thats what we need
to do about our collective livelihood,
advertising. Because too many bosses - our
clients - share that triple-X point of view
that advertising is X-pensive, X-empt from
accountability and X-pendable.
22
1950 vs 2000
  • 1950
  • Network TV
  • Mainframe Computer
  • Self service retailing
  • Mass Marketing
  • Large brands/firms
  • Vertical monopolies
  • 2000
  • Fragmented TV
  • Personal computer
  • E-commerce
  • One-to-one marketing
  • Mass customization small firms

23
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26
Predictions
  • PC as we know is will be replaced
  • Reason three frees
  • Bandwidth
  • Processing power
  • Storage costs
  • TV loses to PC and Info Appliance
  • Internet changes the marketing landscape
    advertising and distribution

27
Prepare Yourself For
  • IP kills switched circuits ATT vs Cisco
  • Internet advertising exceeds network TV levels
    within five years
  • Internet demands integrated marketing
  • Super category killers in e-commerce
  • Power shifts overwhelmingly to consumer
  • Accompany Inc. does group bids - Pilot at 347
    vs. 316 if 21 people buy at once

28
Personal Computer
  • Desktop metaphor from PARC circa 1970s
  • Overlapping windows, folders, point click,
    files, directories, drives, OSs, applications,
    fragmentation, crashes, viruses, etc.
  • Basis expensive memory and expensive computing
    power
  • Outmoded and to be replaced

29
Three Frees
30
Free Bandwidth
  • See George Gilder
  • 1984 Mac 400 bits per second
  • 1998 Mac 56,000 bits per second
  • ISDN 128,000 bits per second
  • DSL 1,500,000 bits per second
  • Cable Modem 3,500,000 bps
  • Wave Division Multiplexing 1 trillion bits per
    second

31
Free Storage
  • Storage costs of 1MB of data
  • 1988 11.52
  • 1998 10
  • 2001 2
  • PVRs (Replay TV TiVo) intelligently records
    up to 30 hours of TV skips commercials

32
Free Processing Power
  • 1985 - Intel 386 120 MIPS
  • 1989 - Intel 486 48 MIPS
  • 1993 - Pentium 13 MIPS
  • 1995 - Pent. Pro 4.40 MIPS
  • 1998 - Pentium II 0.99 MIPS
  • 1999 - Motorola G4 0.25 MIPS

33
PC/Info Appliance vs. TV
  • Three Frees and the law of Telecom advantage
    the PC
  • Each PC household spends 15 hours/week online and
    20 additional hours/week using PC
    -Odyssey Research 10/5/99

34
My Belief
  • Internet is about to switch metaphors and change
    our lives
  • We have to manage this transition
  • Networking, processing power and free storage
    will result in a capability for stress reduction
    and simplicity for your customers

35
Clear Indicators
  • Information Technology in US (Software/Hardware/Te
    lecommunications) has become the largest sector
    of the US economy. (866 billion)
  • Larger than Housing, Automobiles or
  • Grocery Products.
  • Santa Clara County 26 billion in exports

36
E-commerce Hot List
  • Business to Business MRO
  • Books, movies music gifts and flowers
  • Travel services
  • Automobiles automotive services
  • Consumer electronics toys
  • Prescription drugs/HBA
  • Real estate sales and advertising
  • Banking and financial services
  • Employment services

37
E-tailing Clicks and Mortar
  • Savvy retailers will adopt the Internet in
    association with their storefronts
  • Even if the purchase is not consummated on the
    Internet, the pre-store shopping will be done
    on the Net.

38
Distribution Margins
  • Four tier system 50
  • Wal-Mart system 25
  • Dell Computer 10
  • OnSale.com Cost10
  • Priceline.com Your Price
  • Free PC Nothing

39
Allstate Insurance
  • One billion dollars to move to the Web
  • The latest example of a traditional bricks and
    mortar company being pulled onto the Web
  • Slash 4,000 positions for an annual savings of
  • 600 million
  • Whos next? Your company?

40
Transaction Costs
  • 1900 - 25
  • 1980 - 45
  • 2010 - 25
  • Paper Purchase Order - 85
  • EDI/EFT - 10 cents
  • USPS - 3 billion invoices/checks

41
Marketing in an Information Age
  • One to one not mass marketing
  • Relationship not just selling
  • Lifetime value of the customer
  • Database mining
  • Reduce customer stress
  • Increase simplicity

42
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43
Three Corners of Business Strategy
Innovation
Customer Focus
Operational Excellence
44
Did I Convince You?
  • Brands create shareowner wealth?
  • Internet accelerates this process?
  • E-businesses are changing the rules?
  • Attack your own business model before
  • someone else does?

45
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