Welcome from and

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Welcome fromand
Vladimir Ryabinin (Joint Planning Staff for WCRP)
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Where the climate science has to deliver
Long-term prediction
Anthropogenic climate change (ACC)
Adaptation
Mitigation
Impact risk assessment
MRF -gt Seasons -gt Decades
Scenario based projections
Nairobi WP
Post-Kyoto
Seamless prediction problem
Applications multiple
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Challenge in terms of time scales in climate
prediction
Operationalisation, turning bits and pieces of
knowledge and skill into a global system,
creating quasi-operational environment similar
to the one of NWP but going beyond the
traditional meteorological domain, adding sources
of predictability
Substantiation of the projections, inclusion of
all necessary feedbacks, full carbon cycle,
improvement of representation of the water and
energy balance in climate models
Breakthrough required (is it possible?) in
studying predictability on decadal scales and of
regional modes of atmospheric circulation
High Elevations !
High Elevations !
High Elevations !
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World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)

• Objectives
• To determine the predictability of climate
• To determine the effect of human activities on
  climate

• Sponsors World Meteorological Organization
  (WMO, since 1980),
• International Council for Science (ICSU, since
  1980), and
• Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC)
  of UNESCO (since 1993)

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World Climate Research Programme (WCRP)

• Objectives
• To determine the predictability of climate
• To determine the effect of human activities on
  climate
• (?)
• Science supporting
• impact and vulnerability assessment,
• adaptation, and
• and mitigation to climate change

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Earth System Science Partnership
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Where is HE-CEOP in WCRP WCRP in Earth Science?
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Regional Hydroclimate Project (RHP)
CSEs
Data Integration
Panel
CEOS Space Agencies
Reference sites Network Coordination
coordination
NWPCs
DMWG WEBS HAP WISE GLDAS TWG ICTS SWING GRDC GPCC
Coordinated Energy Water-Cycle Observation
Project (CEOP)
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Strategic Implementation
Goal
To understand and predict continental to
local-scale hydroclimates for use in
(hydrological) applications.
Associated Science Questions

• What are the average hydroclimate conditions over
  various regions and seasons?
• How does water and energy flow into and through
  individual regions as well as being redistributed
  within these regions by local mechanisms?
• How do extremes occur and what is their role in
  the hydroclimate?
• How do aerosols affect the hydroclimate?
• Does knowledge of water isotopes help us to
  understand the water cycle?
• Can we simulate and predict the hydroclimate?
• What is the benefit of this increased knowledge
  about the hydroclimate for society?

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COORDINATED ENERGY AND WATERCYCLE OBSERVATIONS
PROJECT STRATEGIC IMPLEMENTATION PLAN JANUARY 28,
2008 http//www.eol.ucar.edu/projects/ceop/dm/new
/ Citation John Roads, Toshiio Koike, Sam
Benedict, Jin Huang, Jair Maia, Hugo Berbery,
Hans-Joerg Isemer, Amandou Gaye, Jun
Matsumoto,Helen Cleugh, Pasha Groisman, T. Ohata,
G. Tartari, Jun Matsumoto, Hugo Berbery, Congbin
Fu, Kun Yang, Ron Stewart, Bill Lau, David Noone,
Kei Yoshimura, Mike Bosilovich, Burkhardt Rockel,
Ray Arrit, Matt Rodell, Lauri Rickus, Paul
Earnshaw, Eric Wood, Steve Williams, Michael
Lautenshager, Ben Burford,Kenji Taniguchi, Ulrich
Looser,Tobias Fuch, 2008 CEOP Strategic
Implementation Plan. IGPO (53 pp.)
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MAHASRI and related Projects
China AIPO
JEPP Thailand
JEPP Indochina
JEPP Maritime Continent
JEPP Indian Ocean
JEPP Indian
continent
Ocean
JAMSTEC/IORGC SE Asia
AMY (Asian Monsoon Years)
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Coordinated Energy and water-cycle Observations
Project
Unique Capabilities
A Well Organized Data Archive System
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CEOP Reference Site Map
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Reference Site Metadata

• Individual Site Metadata includes
• Station (s)
• Contact (s)
• Links to relevant web pages
• Station location (e.g. maps, photos)
• Station description (e.g. vegetation
  characteristics, soil types, climate)
• Parameters and Instrumentation descriptions (SFC,
  TWR, STM, FLX, UA)
• Links to presentations
• Links to data sets and additional documentation

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REFERENCE SITE GOOGLE EARTH (.KMZ) FILE
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CEOP Reference Site Data Set Availability (as of
1 February 2008)

Complete

Partial
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Model Data Content (as of 1 February 2008)
4.324 TByte
The most recent version of the data status (time
line) can be found from
http//www.mad.zmaw.de/wdc-for-climate/ceop/
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Satellite datasets for CEOPAt 3 type scales
2.Monsoon Region
1.Reference site35 Points
3.Global
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http//www.eol.ucar.edu/ projects/ceop/dm/
INTEGRATED
IN-SITU
SATELLITE
MODEL
EOL work supported by NOAA/CPO
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From Climate Prediction to Water Management
Hydrology and Water Resources Modeling,
Data Assimilation
Climate predictions/ projections
Water Management
Water Prediction
Hydrologic Ensemble Predictions Hydrologic
sensitivity
Hydrologic Application Project
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• Expectations for HE CEOP
• Focussed
• Meaningful and important
• Feasible
• Relevant for CEOP and new WCRP trusts
• Initially self-funded
• Well documented
• Working in coordination with other projects
  within (e.g. CliC) and outside WCRP