Title: Random Variable:
1Random Variable Variable whose value is a
numerical outcome of a random phenomenon
Example apples X the weight in grams of an
apple
x could be N .
2Random Variables
3- Discrete Random Variable .X
- X has a countable number of outcomes
- the weights of our apples were not finite
- ? The number of classes passed in a year ?
- ? The number of states with snowfall ?
- ? The number of rides taken at the fair ?
4Discrete Random Variable .X
Each outcome is represented by xi The probability
of each outcome by pi
5Continuous Random Variable . Takes on all values
in an interval .with a probability distribution
that is represented by a density curve
Our favorite continuous random variable is ..
NORMAL !!!
Ex time to take a test
6Discrete Random Variable .X
Mean Sxipi Variance S(xi - µ)2pi
7Number of Speeding Tickets
8Rules
- µabX a bµx
- µXY µX µY
Assuming the variables are independent
9At the Carnival .
- X is the number of times I will ride the
rollercoaster
- Y is the number of hotdogs that I will eat
- If rides cost 3 and hotdogs are 2 ..
-
- C to be the cost of my trip to the carnival
10Go to the farm
- The yield of corn is N ( 120 bushels,20)
- The yield of soybeans is N(85,7)
-
- Corn makes 15 a bushel and soybeans bring in 23
a bushel.
11Questions
- What is the mean number of bushels of corn and
soybeans that I should expect? - What expected price should I get for them?
- What is the chance that I will farm more than
215 total bushels? - What is the chance that I will make more money
from the soybeans than the corn?
12Test scores
13When is ?
14Hmm.
- gt A box contains ten 1 bills, five 2 bills,
three 5 bills, one 10 bill and one 100 bill. A
person is charged 20 to select one bill. - gt a) Identify the RV
- gt b) Construct a probability distribution
- gt c) Find the expected value
- gt d) Is the game fair? Explain.
15- Law of Large Numbers
- the average results of many independent
observations are stable and predictable - how large is large ?