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MEMC Electronic Materials Inc' WFR

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Title: MEMC Electronic Materials Inc' WFR


1
MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR)
  • Brandon Lee and David Light
  • March 11, 2008

2
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

3
What is a wafer?
  • A thin slice of semiconductor material used to
    make microchips and other micro devices
  • All the processes of a micro device are conducted
    on a wafer
  • Come in different sizes (1 inch to 12 inches in
    diameter) and in different thicknesses
  • Wafer sizes have increased device performance and
    reduced production costs

A silicon wafer
4
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

5
Wafer Industry Outlook
  • The introduction of electronics and computer
    technology into our daily lives is growing at an
    exponential rate.
  • One of the few markets that can improve device
    performance while sustaining steady revenue
    growth and reducing production costs.
  • There is a trend towards developing larger wafers
    (200mm and 300mm)
  • Over the past 10 years, the wafer industry has
    consolidated and only four companies have 10 or
    more of the market share
  • Highly correlated with semiconductor industry

6
Wafer Industry vs. Semiconductor Industry
7
Wafer Market Size and Growth
8
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

9
Company Overview
  • MEMC produces silicon wafers for the
    semiconductor and solar power industry globally
  • Based in St. Peters, MO
  • Produces both semiconductor wafers and solar
    wafers ranging in size from 100mm (4 inches) to
    300mm (12 inches)
  • Strategy Continuous improvement of technology,
    market share, and profits.
  • NYSE Ticker WFR

10
Expanding into Solar Market
  • Began producing solar wafers in 2007
  • Currently outsources production
  • Bringing production in house in 2009
  • Improved margins
  • Has contracts signed worth 15-18BN over the next
    10 years
  • Has current capacity for one more contract over
    that time worth another 2-3BN
  • Solar represents a 30 annual growth market

11
Company History
  • Founded in 1953
  • Pioneer in wafer development leader in
    supplying semiconductor wafers for over 50 years
  • 1995 IPO on NYSE under the ticker WFR
  • 2006 Announced the signing of 7-9 billion in
    contracts to deliver solar wafers (an 18 billion
    market at the time)
  • 2008 One of four wafer companies with 10 or
    more of the market share.

12
Management Team
  • Nabeel Gareeb President, CEO, and member of
    Board of Directors
  • Joined MEMC in April 2002
  • Holds a Masters of Science in Electrical
    Management and a Bachelors of Science in
    Electrical Engineering
  • John Marren Chairman of Board of Directors
  • Has been with MEMC since November 2001
  • Partner of Texas Pacific Group
  • Board of Directors of Conexant Systems, Inc. and
    ON Semiconductor Corporation
  • Dr. Shaker Sadasivam Senior VP, Research and
    Development
  • Has been with MEMC since 1993, serving many
    different roles
  • Holds a Doctorates and Masters in Chemical
    Engineering and a Masters in Business
    Administration

13
Statistics
  • Trailing P/E 20.83x
  • Forward P/E 14.20x
  • ROA 22.83
  • ROE 51.62
  • Debt to Equity Ratio .015
  • Current Ratio 3.578

14
Investment Thesis
  • Great Visibility
  • Strong Long-Term Solar Growth
  • Good Pricing Power (12-18 months)
  • High barriers to entry in Polysilicon
  • Very efficient operator
  • Signed Contracts not yet reflected in stock price

15
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

16
Competitors
17
Porters Five Forces
  • Barriers to Entry Highly specialized and
    technical industry with very few competitors and
    high barriers to entry. 3 years to build a
    polysilicon plant, 18 months to build a wafer
    plant.
  • Bargaining Power of Buyers Low. There used to be
    a lot of wafer companies, but consolidation has
    led to fewer competitors.
  • Only four companies with 10 or more of market
    share.
  • Bargaining Power of Suppliers Low. MEMC
    manufactures their own polysilicon, the major raw
    material used in making wafers.
  • Threat of Substitutes Somewhat high. Anyone
    making high-quality wafers is a threat to take
    share and increase rivalry.
  • Rivalry Fewer and fewer competitors in recent
    years.

18
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

19
WFR vs. SP 500 (1 Year)
20
WFR vs. SP 500 vs. SP Semiconductors Index (5
Year)
Source 2007 Annual Report
21
Revenue Projection
22
DCF Assumptions
  • WACC 13.95
  • Long-term growth 5
  • Beta 1.66

23
DCF Valuation
  • Current Price 71.93
  • DCF Value 87.10
  • Intrinsic Value 78.40-95.82
  • Estimated Total Return 21

24
DCF Assumptions
25
Portfolio Fit
26
Outline
  • What is a Wafer?
  • Industry Outlook
  • Company Overview
  • Competitors
  • Valuation Portfolio Fit
  • Recommendation

27
Recommendation
  • BUY 200 shares of WFR at market price
  • Approximate cost 14,822.00
  • Increases total number of holdings to 13.
  • WFR will represent approximately 4.12 upon
    purchase
  • WFR will expose the RCMP portfolio to the
    semiconductor industry and alternative energy
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