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Topics in International Economics

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... deficits in the 1980s and '90s, the US became the largest debtor in the world. ... The currency has been on managed float ever since. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Topics in International Economics


1
Topics in International Economics
  • Ch 1. Introduction

2
T1 The U.S. as the largest debtor
  • The US current account deficit increased to 144
    billion in 2004Q1 from 127billion in 2003Q4.
    (US GDP in 2003 11,000 billion)
  • Why does it arise?
  • Why does it matter?

3
  • Net international investment position declines
    each period by the amount of current account
    deficit.
  • As a result of large current account deficits in
    the 1980s and 90s, the US became the largest
    debtor in the world.
  • NIIP of the US -2430 billion (2003)
    -2233 billion (2002)
  • It is important to compare these numbers to the
    size of the economy.

4
T2The euro
  • The euro, introduced in 1999, became the currency
    of 12 EU members.
  • Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands,
    Luxemburg, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Austria,
    Finland, Greece
  • What are the benefits and costs of the monetary
    union (giving up own national currencies and
    adopting a common currency)?
  • Why did the UK, Sweden, and Denmark opt out?

5
Dollarization
  • In a different context, El Salvador has adopted
    the US dollar as legal tender.
  • A new meaning of dollarization
  • Why would any country want to give up its own
    currency and adopt some other countrys currency?

6
T3 Exchange rate movements
  • Exchange rate movements have been large.
  • Can we explain them?
  • Are flexible exchange rates more desirable than
    fixed rates?
  • http//www.x-rates.com/

7
T4 Financial Crises
  • Currency crises became more frequent.
  • ERM (exchange rate mechanism), 1992
  • Mexico, 1994
  • East Asia, 1997
  • Big devaluations and subsequent economic
    collapses
  • How to explain currency crises? How to prevent
    them?

8
T5 Choice of exchange rate regime
  • Chinese Renminbi had been pegged to the US dollar
    since 1994 until recently.
  • Large trade surpluses of China became a political
    issue.
  • The US government and many economists recommend
    increased exchange rate flexibility.
  • China revalued the RMB from 8.28 to 8.11 yuan per
    USD on July 22, 2005. The currency has been on
    managed float ever since.
  • What kind of exchange rate system would be most
    appropriate for China?
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