The Future of Nuclear and its implications for YG

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The Future of Nuclear and its implications for
YG

• Status of the international YG in Nuclear
• 2003 ANS/ENS Winter Meeting, New Orleans
• November 18, 2003

Mari Marianne Uematsu, Ph.D. Japan YGN
chair (Japan Atomic Power Co. Corporate Planning
Department)
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Difficulties (1) Nuclear Technologies

• Knowledge transfer (Industries, Institutes)
• No profitable construction programs in near
  future
• No realistic innovative or bubble program!?
• ITER? FBR? Innovative reactor? Recycle system?

• Youths (Universities, Colleges)
• Less employment opportunities
• Less interests
• Frontier Spirits
• Venture

End of the highest stage of Nuclear RD .
What is Required!?
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Difficulties (2) Management Risks

• Liberalization of Electric Market
• Price reduction
• Enhance operational characteristics, Minimize
  maintenance periods
• Stranded cost
• SF interim Storage, HLW disposal, New plant
• Fuel Recycle Plant
• Stranded cost
• MOX utilization plans agreement

Do we have to have New Nuclear plant? Fuel
recycle?
How to avoid RISKS!?
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Difficulties (3) Distrusts

• Regulatory Body lt--gt Industries
• Politics (Liberalization? Energy Security?)
• Reasonable Regulation
• Utilities lt-- Local Habitants
• Technologies
• Moral
• NIMBY
• Security Safety

Nuclear Technologies Designing must be correct
.... But how about actual works?
Rationalization Consensus
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Without actions ....

• Nuclear Technologies

• Shortage of Skilled Engineers
• Loss of Knowledge Experience

• Management Risks

• Avoid New construction --gt Overage?
• Avoid SF recycle --gt SF storage? (direct?
  middle-term?)
• Fossil fuel --gt Kyoto Protocol Penalty ?
• Renewable --gt Economic? Ecological? Available?

• Distrusts

• Excessive regulation --gt Cost augmentation?
• --gt Violation of rules?
• Habitants distrust --gt Delay/End of Nuclear
  programs?

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What is needed ?

• Nuclear Technologies

• Atomic Power is Integrated Technology
• Technologically Correct but ...
• Strategic RD program
• Knowledge Experience Transfer/Exchange

• Management Risks

• Clarification of Strategy Responsibility
• Responsibility of Utilities/Industries/Government
  
• Who will Hedge Risks?

• Distrusts

• Consensus
• National Consensus Why Nuclear?
• Security Safety

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YG implication ?

• What is needed ?
• Draw up Our Nuclear Vision

• What we can do ?
• Clarify actual Requirements
• Find attractive Programs
• Create way to realize Our Vision

• And Consensus !
• Dialogues