Title: TELEPHONE INTERVIEWING
1TELEPHONE INTERVIEWING
IN THE 2000'S
DR. WALL
2CONCEPTS
- Sampling--takes part of a target population and
uses it to gain knowledge about the population as
a whole - Sample Sizedepends upon the margin of error
expected, variability in the population, and the
sampling methodology - Statisticsare computed after obtaining sample
data and used to estimate population parameters - Errorresults from the sampling process and
depends upon variability in the population and
adequacy of the sampling process. Clients want
small margins of error.
3TELEPHONE IS STILL THE PRIMEMETHOD OF SURVEY
RESEARCH
- Clients believe that calling is better because
ofresponse rates, geographical diversity,
controland other factors.But you must consider
the following for 2002
U.S. Households 108.1 million
100.0 Telephone Households 106.6 million
97.6 Listed Households 71.7
million 67.9
4WHO DOESN'THAVE WIRED TELEPHONES
- POOR
- AGED
- RURAL
- SOUTHERN
- YOUNGER
5TELEPHONE SURVEYISSUES OF THE EARLY 2000s
- INCREASING NUMBERS OF UNLISTED
- NUMBERS
- INCREASING NUMBER OF ELECTRONIC DEVICES
- DECREASING COOPERATION
- DECREASING ABILITY TO CONTACT WILLING ADULTS
- DECREASING ABILITY TO DO PRECISE TARGETING
- GREATER DISPERSION OF GEOGRAPHY
6ELECTRONIC PEEPHOLEPROLIFERATION
- CALLER I.D.
- CALL BLOCKER
- ANONYMOUS CALL REJECTION
- PHONE GUARD
- CALL BLOCKING BLOCKER
7DECLINING COOPERATION
- 1980 41
- 1986 44
- 1990 54
- 2000 58
Failures after callbacks
8GROWING TELEPHONEINTERVIEWING PROBLEMS
- LEGISLATIVE CONCERN ABOUT PRIVACY
- "DON'T CALL ME" LAWS
- PHONE TIE-UPS WITH LEGAL ISSUES
- LACK OF INDUSTRY SELF-REGULATION
9DONT CALL MELEGISLATION
- GENERALLY EXEMPTS SURVEY RESEARCH
- IF DNC HH REMOVED WILL SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT
- SAMPLE INTEGRITY AND CAUSE COVERAGE BIAS
- DNC IDENTIFICATION CAN BE ONLY USED FOR
- SUPPRESSION NOT FLAGGING FOR OTHER PURPOSES
- ILLEGAL TO SELL LIST FOR PURPOSE OTHER THAN
COMPLIANCE - 14 of LISTED HH CURRENTLY APPEAR ON THESE LISTS
(60 MILLION HH (50) ARE ULTIMATELY EXPECTED TO
APPEAR) - DNC HH MAY BE WILLING TO PARTICIPATE IN SURVEY
RESEARCH
10WHO TENDS TO BE ONDONT CALL ME LISTS
- HOUSEHOLDS WITH OLDER PERSONS
- NON-MINORITY HOUSEHOLDS
- HIGHER INCOME HOUSEHOLDS
- BETTER-EDUCATED HOUSEHOLDS
- HOUSEHOLDS WITH PERSONS ONLY SLIGHTLY LESS LIKELY
TO COOPERATE
11WHY PEOPLE REFUSE
12WHO REFUSES
- HIGHER INCOME
- MALE
- NORTHEAST, WEST REGIONS
- SINGLE ADULT HOUSEHOLDS
13UNLISTED NUMBERSARE INCREASING
YEAR
UNLISTED
14BUT THIS VARIES BY STATE
STATE
UNLISTED
15UNLISTED AND WIRELESSHOUSEHOLDS TEND TO BE
- YOUNGER
- MORE MOBILE
- NOT MARRIED
- LOWER INCOME
NLU
16CHARACTERISTICS OFWIRELESS NUMBERS
- NOT HOUSEHOLDS
- NON-GEOGRAPHIC
- MULTIPLE IN HOUSEHOLDS
- DANGEROUS FROM A LEGAL
- PERSPECTIVE
- INCUR ROAMING CHARGES
- LESS RELIABLE
17DIRECTORY USE ISAT BEST PROBLEMATIC
- AVERAGE OVER TWO PER COMMUNITY
- 4,500 DIRECTORIES IN THE U.S.
- 38 FOR THE ATLANTA MSA
- 146 FOR NEW YORK CITY
- NONE FOR WIRELESS TELEPHONE
18THE THREE TYPES OFUNAVAILABLE NUMBERS
- 1. UNLISTED NOT AVAILABLE
- 2. UNLISTED BUT AVAILABLEFROM DIRECTORY
ASSISTANCE - 3. NOT PUBLISHED DUE TOCHANGE, MOBILITY, ETC.
19TECHNOLOGICALGROWTHISSUES
INTEL
Pentium V
- LIFETIME PHONES/NUMBERS
- MULTI-PURPOSE OFFICE DEVICES
- NON-GEOGRAPHIC/MIXED EXCHANGES
- MULTI-PURPOSE CELLULAR PHONES
- SOLELY WIRELESS HOUSEHOLDS/PERSONS
- 80M owners, 180M RDD numbers, 2 solely wireless
20COSTCONTAINMENT
- REVERSE DIRECTORIES
- SPECIALTY DIRECTORIES Surname, Home Value, etc.
- ADVANCE CALLING
- MATCHING FOR ELIMINATION