The WMO Role in Climate Programs, activities and projects

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The WMO Role in Climate Programs, activities and
projects

• Omar BADDOUR
• Chief, World Climate Data and Monitoring Program
  (WCDMP)
• World Climate Program (WCP) Department
• WMO, GENVEVA
• Obaddour_at_wmo.int

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Frame Work for WMO Climate activities
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An integrated approach to human development
Climate change
Hazard mitigation
Risk Management
Sustainable Development Poverty
eradication Global Security
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WMO Scientific and international research
Programmes Advancing the knowledge of natural
hazards and their changing patterns
Northern AtlanticOscillation
La Niña
Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Adaptation
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WMO Programmes
World Weather Watch
WMO Space Programme Natural Disaster Prevention
and Mitigation
Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme
Hydrology and Water Resources Programme
Applications of Meteorology Programme
World Climate Programme
Education and Training Programme Technical
Cooperation Programme Regional Programme
WMO/OMM
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WMO Commissions

• CBS
• CAS
• CCl ? (WCP Department)
• CAgm ? (WCP Department)
• JCOMM
• CAEM
• Chy

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The World Climate Programme (WCP)

• An authoritative international scientific voice
  on the Earths Climate System and on Climate
  Change.
• The WCP helps countries collect and use climate
  information and knowledge to benefit their
  national economies and improve human well-being.

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WORLD CLIMATE PROGRAMME STRUCTURE
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The World Climate Data and Monitoring
Program WCDMP
Climate Data Aspect
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OPAG 1 Climate Data and Data Management
Chair Raino Heino (Finland) Co-chair Peter
Ambenje (Kenya)
1.1 ET for Climate Data Management including
Metadata Radim Tolasz (Czech Republic)
1.2 ET on Observing Requirements and Standards
for Climate William Wright (Australia)
1.3 ET on Rescue, Preservation and Digitization
of Climate Records Thomas Ross (USA)
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Climate Data management
THE AIM

• ? Managing Climate records using modern data
  management systems
• ? Ensuring easy access, and Data Import-export,
• ? Providing quality control function

THE CHALLENGE
Bridging IT gap in developing Countries, LCDs and
SIDS A capacity building package includes
Four weeks training Provision of CDMS
Provision of computer ready to operate
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? Allowing quick climate products and services
for users
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Data rescue, preservation and digitization
Rescue historical data records at risk of
degradation and make them available in digital
form for climate studies and climate change
detection
A worldwide effort through WMO-WCDMP and the
implementation by NMHS with International and
Regional collaboration of In
AmericasNOAA-NCDC(USA), In Europe France ,
Belgium, In Oceania Australia, New Zeeland,
In Africa ACMAD, ICPAC, AGRHYMET
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The World Climate Data and Monitoring
Program WCDMP
Climate Monitoring Aspect
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OPAG 2 Monitoring and Analysis of Climate
Variability and Change
Chair Thomas Peterson (USA) Co-chair Manola
Brunet India (Spain)
2.1 ET Joint CCl/Clivar/JCOMM on climate change
detection and indices CCl Albert KleinTank
(Netherlands) CLIVARFrancis Zwiers (Canada)
2.2 ET Climate Monitoring including the use of
satellite and marine data and products Zhang,
Zuqiang (China)
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Expert Team 2.1 Joint CCl/Clivar/JCOMM on
climate change detection and indices

• Priorities include
• Provide International coordination and help
  organize collaboration on climate change
  detection and indices
• Develop indices and indicators of climate
  variability and change from the surface and
  subsurface ocean to the stratosphere
• Coordinate with other commissions, programs and
  international working bodies relevant to climate
  variability and climate change detection
• Explore, document and make recommendations for
  adressing capacity building

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Monitoring and Analysis of Climate Variability
and Changes
The WMO authoritative statement on the state of
the climate An insight into the global and
regional Variability, Trend of change and Extreme
climate events around the world
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WCDMP Climate System Monitoring (CSM)

• 1. WMO Statement on the Status of the Global
  Climate in 2005 (WSSGC) published in all WMO
  official languages by adding Chinese and Arabic
  in translation
• 2. CCl-XIV recommended that the WMO Global
  Climate System Review should be replaced by the
  annual State of the Climate article published
  in BAMS since there is no need for duplication of
  the same content and that . WMO contributed to
  the issue of 2005 BAMS . article by selecting
  authors from various region and its dissemination
  and translation into other languages ( ongoing)
• 3. WCDMP will work on issuing every five years
  a summary of the state of the global climate
  system based on the annual BAMS article to
  replace the previous 5 year Global Climate System
  Review . This will enable monitor a multiyear
  climate variability . 

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WORLD CLIMATE PROGRAMME STRUCTURE
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The Regional Climate Outlook Forum Process
The Forum Proper (1 wk)
The Pre-Forum (4-6 wks)
Guidance
Verification
Ensemble Product
Seasonal Forecast Experiments (Hind-cast)
Initial Predictors
Climate Forecasters

• Latest information on the climate system
• Global SST anomaly
• El Nino Prediction Model
• etc

Dissemination NMHSs, etc.
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CLIPS - RCOFs

• Regular Forums in some regions where NMHSs meet
  to develop regional consensus on SIPs.

• More than 35 forums held throughout the world.

Regional CLIPS Focal Points for South American
and Caribbean Countries, Lima, Peru, 08-19 August
2005.
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CLIPS - RCOFs
Asia
Central America
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El Niño and La Niña

• ET3.3 project activities 2005-2009
• a common language for El Niño and La Niña (for
  ENSO definitions, forecasts, communiqués and
  early watches/warnings) for use by WMO Member
  States around the world, Global Producing Centres
  (GPCs), research institutes, end users and the
  public in general. ? The global survey on
  definitions of El Niño and La Niña in use
  operationally revealed interest in the MEI
  (Multivariate ENSO Index) MEI is based on the six
  main observed variables over the tropical
  Pacific sea-level pressure (P), zonal (U) and
  meridional (V) components of the surface wind,
  sea surface temperature (S), surface air
  temperature (A), and total cloudiness fraction of
  the sky (C).
• Version 0 of an Atlas of regional ENSO impacts
  using published and solicited information
  (survey)
• to include atmospheric temperature,
  precipitation, extreme weather events and
  possibly jet streams, storm tracks, sea surface
  temperature, mixed-layer depth, currents impacts
  on biological communities (fish, birds, etc), and
  socio-economic sectors (health, tourism, energy,
  cities, agriculture, water.) with DPM and other
  partners

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Multivariate ENSO Index

• Negative values of the MEI represent the cold
  ENSO phase (La Niña) positive MEI values
  represent the warm ENSO phase (El Niño) (Wolter
  and Timlin, 1993, 1998)
• http//www.cdc.noaa.gov/people/klaus.wolter/MEI/

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WMO Programmes
World Weather Watch
WMO Space Programme Natural Disaster Prevention
and Mitigation
Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme
Hydrology and Water Resources Programme
Applications of Meteorology Programme
World Climate Programme
Education and Training Programme Technical
Cooperation Programme Regional Programme
WMO/OMM
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Global incidence of natural disasters 1991-2002
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Clear Strategic Priorities in Support of Members
Needs in Disaster Risk Reduction
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Climate Watch implementation Project
WCDMP-WCASP-DPM
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Implementation of Climate Watch System

• Climate Watch a warning advisory for a
  climate related hazard which is likely to happen
  considering climate monitoring output and climate
  anomalies forecast

WCP feature article
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AIM Help NMHS developing Countries , LCD and SIDS
to Implement a Climate watch system to contribute
in preventing climate related hazards floods,
windstorms,droughts, Heat waves, Land slides,
Cover All WMO regions
Periode 2008-2011
Budget 800.000 USD
Donors and partners are all welcome to
contribute !
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WCDMP projected activities
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Guidelines reports and publications Posted on
the New CCl the new CCl webpage

• -    Guidelines for managing changes in climate
  observation programs, Roger B. Street
• -    Guidelines on Climate Data Management
  Version 5.0, October 2005, Neil Plummer
• -    Guidance on Metadata and Homogenization,
  Enric Aguilar
• -    Guidelines for plant phenological
  observations, Elisabeth Koch
• -    Automated Versus Manual Surface
  Meteorological Observations Decision Factors,
  
• Darryl Lynch
• -    Automation Considerations, Darryl Lynch
• -    Extensible Markup Language (XML) Essentials
  for Climatologists,Alexander V. Besprozvannykh
• -    CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change
  Detection Monitoring and Indices (ETCCDMI) First
  Team Meeting Report, CCl/CLIVAR report
• -    CCl/CLIVAR workshop to develop priority
  climate indices, Bulletin of the American
  Meteorological Society, October 2003
• -    Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based
  indices of temperature extremes, Journal of
  Climate, Xuebin Zhang
• -    Recent changes in climate extremes in the
  Caribbean region, Thomas C. Peterson
• -    Comparison of Modeled and Observed Trends in
  Indices of Daily Climate Extremes Journal of
  Climate, 2003, Vol 16,Dmitry Kiktev
• -    Trends in Indices of Daily Temperature and
  Precipitation Extremes in Europe, 1946-99, AMS,
  2003, A. M. G. Klein Tank
• -    Detecting climate change, WMO Bulletin, July
  2003, Francis Zwiers
• -    Climate Change Indices, WMO Bulletin Vol 54,
  No. 2, April 2005, Thomas C. Peterson

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THANK YOU