Joint Research Centre

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Joint Research Centre
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Institute for the Protection and Security of the
Citizen

• The JRC is one of the Directorates General of the
  European Commission. Has
• 2,750 staff, of which 30 temporary
• It consists of 7 Institutes that carry out
  research and provide technical know-how and
  advice to support European Union (EU) policies
• Your guest today is he Institute for the
  Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC)

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Institute for the Protection and Security of the
Citizen

• IPSC work
• Emphasis on Security and Anti-fraud. Deals with
  Cybersecurity, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear
  Safeguards, Risk Management, Statistics and
  Econometrics for agriculture, competitiveness,
  Lisbon process, antifraud.

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Unit of Econometrics, and Applied Statistics for
Antifraud
The workshop is organised by the Unit of
Econometrics and Applied Statistics
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• Activities of the Unit
• Macroeconomic modelling, (esp. estimation, QUEST
  II)
• Short- term economic analysis, with focus on
  output gap and NAIRU analysis with ECFIN
• Statistical indicators, of the knowledge based
  economy, of internal market, and of firms'
  readiness to take up e-business
• Financial econometrics (CAD, CS)
• Sensitivity analysis, a research focus
• Agent expectations from survey data with DG ECFIN
  Extended Impact Assessment (EIA) of 7th
  Framework Programme for RD
• Statistics for anti-fraud
• Research on lifelong learning based on indicators
  and benchmarks' with DG EAC

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Sensitivity analysis after E. E. Leamer
ltltI have proposed a form of organised sensitivity
analysis that I call global sensitivity
analysis in which a neighborhood of alternative
assumptions is selected and the corresponding
interval of inferences is identified. Conclusions
are judged to be sturdy only if the neighborhood
of assumptions is wide enough to be credible and
the corresponding interval of inferences is
narrow enough to be useful.gtgt Edward E. Leamer,
1990 See http//sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.i
nt/ for all references quoted in this talk.
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Sources A compilation of practices (2000), a
primer (2005). A third book, for students, is
being written again for Wiley. SIMLAB can be
freely downloaded from the web.
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Sensitivity analysis can be used to gauge what
difference a policy (or a treatment) makes given
the uncertainties.
An application to policy
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BASED ON INDICATORS and BENCHMARKS
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Council conclusions of 24 May 2005 on new
indicators in education and trainingthe
establishment of the research unit on lifelong
learning at the Joint Research Centre in Ispra
can significantly increase the Commissions
research capacity in terms of the development of
new indicators

• Joint collaboration between DG EAC and JRC.
• Will be at full capacity with 12 researchers
  currently 7 engaged, 4 being recruited.

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• Current areas of work
• Professional development of teachers and
  trainers, learning to learn, active citizenship,
  school management, vocational education and
  training, investment efficiency
• What CRELL does
• Research scientific publishing
• External collaboration (Canadian Council on
  Learning INVALSI EVAL Council of Europe
  CCEAM CRISP OECD EUROSTAT EENEE Cedefop)
• Network building and dissemination of knowledge
  (seminars and conferences summer schools)

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Contacts

• Co-coordinator Sarah Moore ltsarah.moore_at_jrc.itgt
• Website http//farmweb.jrc.cec.eu.int/crell/