AS25:, AS25

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AS25??????,????????????? (AS25???????) 2004?11?
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Project Objectives The purpose of the project
is to develop an integrated approach (IA) for
identifying regional vulnerabilities to climate
variations and change, and for prioritising
adaptation options to deal with climate change
vulnerability. In particular, the project will
addresses the following questions 1) How
vulnerable is Western China to current climate
variations and future climate change in some key
sectors? 2) What can the vulnerabilities of
these key sectors to present climate variations
teach us about future vulnerability? And 3) What
are the desirable adaptation options to deal
effectively with future climate changes?
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Project Update

• AS25 was endorsed by Chinese GEF Office in Aug.
  2003
• Held the first team, Steering Committee and
  Expert Committee meeting on 25 Nov. 2003
• Climate scenario design has been proceeded
  according to the proposed schedule (data are
  required now)
• Other research activities on vulnerability and
  adaptation assessment are now under way in Heihe
  Region
• In view of the exceptional circumstances, a
  request of extension to the end of 2005 was put
  to AIACC and was approved
• A special arrangement for Yin (Co-PI) to work in
  China during the FY2004/05 to achieve completion
  of the project has been approved by senior
  management of EC.

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Updated Achievements

• Participating in training workshops sponsored by
  AIACC on scenarios, vulnerability and adaptation
  assessment in the summer of 2002
• Participating in AIACC workshops in Nairobi,
  Bangkok and Manila in Feb. 2002, March 2003 and
  Nov. 2004 respectively
• Undertaken a training workshop in Lanzhou (shared
  with a CIDA project) and a team meeting in
  Nanjing in summer of 2002
• Identified regional concerns in resource
  management and climate stresses
• Trained young scientists and graduate students to
  design and apply IA methods in a real world
  context and
• Holding a meeting in Lanzhou in October 2004 to
  review current status of research activities on
  vulnerability and adaptation assessment, and to
  discuss methodological issues.

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Updated Achievementscont.

• Publications
• Yin, Y.Y. and Wang, Guixin, 2004. Global Climate
  Change Impact Methods and Applications. High
  Education Press, Beijing, China (in Chinese).
• Chapter 22 Integrated Assessments of
  Vulnerabilities and Adaptation to Climate
  Variability and Change in the Western Region of
  China. In SCOPE/START Book Changes in the
  Human-Monsoon system of East Asia in the Context
  of Global Change (accepted).
• Yin, Y.Y. 2004. Methods to link climate impacts
  and regional sustainability J. of Environmental
  Informatics 2(1) 1-10.
• Kang, Ersi et al., 2004. Energy and water
  balance simulation for soil-vegetation-atmospheric
  system in Heihe mountainous area of Hexi
  corridor Science in China Series D Earth
  Sciences 34(6) 544-551.
• Xu, Z.M. et al., 2004. Adaptive capacity of
  water systems in China ????

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Updated Achievementscont.

• AS25 Project Website
• We have set up a web page of AS25 project at
• http//210.28.133.139/AIACC/website/index.htm
• The following are English language links
• International Institute for Earth System
  Sciences, Nanjing University (ESSI)
• Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)
• Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and
  Engineering Research Institute (CAREERI)
• Chinese Meteorological Association (CMA)
• University of British Colombia
• Environment Canada - Adaptation and Impacts
  Research Group (AIRG)
• University of California, Berkeley
• University of Michigan
• Michigan State University
• University of Regina
• Assessments of Impact and Adaptation to Climate
  Change (AIACC)
• International START Secretariat
• United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)

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• Present findings at the AIACC Synthesis
  Conference in March 2005, Italy.

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Methods
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Determinants of Resource Vulnerability
Table 1 Potential determinants (climate and other
variables with the forcing) and resource
vulnerability indicators in Heihe River region
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AHP(?Saaty??)????

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Project Identify desirable adaptation options
which could be used to reduce climate change
vulnerability in the Georgia Basin
Principal Investigator Yongyuan Yin
Inventory of climate change impacts and
adaptation options for key sectors
RANKING 1. Government Relief 2. Farm-level
Adjustment 3. Research Education 4. Water
Management
Prioritized ranking of options, indicating
overall preference
AHP multi-criteria evaluation of options by
stakeholders using survey
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• Young scientists were trained at a workshop
  (shared with the CIDA Carbon Sequestration
  project) to apply computer based models to assess
  climate change impacts and to evaluate adaptation
  options.
• The workshop also involved multi-stakeholder and
  experts to present their concerns and suggestions
  on climate and resource related issues.
• Many farmers were interviewed individually and
  asked to complete a survey in a one-on-one
  interview or in a small group workshop-type
  setting in Heihe region during summer of 2002.

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• ????????????COP????AIACC?AS25???????????(??Dr.
  Neil Leary,AIACC?????,???).

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• The research project and participation of this
  workshop have been made possible through the
  financial support of the AIACC, Adaptation and
  Impacts Research Group/Environment Canada, and
  Sustainable Development Research
  Institute/University of British Columbia.
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