P1246990945flTbJ

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Fifth framework programme of the European
Community for research, technological development
and demonstration activities (1998-2002)
Energy, Environment and Sustainable
Development Key Actions The city of tomorrow and
cultural heritage
ISHTAR PROJECT CONCLUSIONS AND EXPLOITATION
PERSPECTIVES

• AGOSTINI , M. LELLI, E. NEGRENTI (ENEA)

Rome Final Conference 17 18 March 2005
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THE ORIGINAL PROMISES SCIENTIFIC AND
TECHNOLOGICAL OBJECTIVES

• Integration of a relevant number of existing and
  newly developed software tools
• Evolution of modelling techniques in crucial
  environmental areas citizens behaviour, vehicle
  emissions, road safety, exposure and health
  effects
• Creation of integrated modules within the overall
  Suite (transport module, direct impacts module,
  dispersion module, overall evaluation module)
• Keeping Space and Time total flexibility (from 1
  road in 1 hour to a network in 1 year)

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Final Assessment

• Has ISHTAR Project achieved all the key expected
  results ?

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WP1 Policies effects on citizens behaviour

• WP leader ISIS (Italy)
• Results a Software tool, the CTM (Cellular
  Transport Methodology)
• Task Simulation of the effects of policies and
  measures on citizens behaviour in terms of
  modification of the mobility patterns
• Main output

• Predicted new Origin Destination matrices
  representing the modified behaviour of the
  population related to the implementation of the
  postulated measure

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WP2 Integrated Transport Analysis Module

• WP leader STRATEC (B)
• Role of WP2 on the basis of the modified O-D
  matrices provided by WP1, to describe at best the
  movements distribution within the city network
  (calculation of flows of vehicle, speed)
• Results
• VISUPOLIS (by PTV) born from the merging of
  VISUM (strategic model) with METROPOLIS (dynamic
  model) will be integrated within the ISHTAR Suite
  (good simulation of congestion and demand
  distribution at peak hours) and applied in Paris
  case study
• Other traffic models (e.g. TRANSCAD in Rome and
  Athens) will be used as input providers to the
  suite without a strict software integration

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WP3 Integrated Transport Direct Impacts
(pollutant emissions, noise, accidents)

• WP Leader ENEA
• Results The direct impacts model integrated
  within the suite is TEE-2004 (Transport Energy
  and Environment), developed by ENEA and ASTRAN.
  This code has been further developed and adapted
  for the ISHTAR project starting from the TEE2002
  version
• Specific achievements in ISHTAR are

• Refinement of the vehicle kinematics description
• Inclusion of new models for

• the estimation of cold start emission
  distribution,
• parking process
• emissions of new categories of pollutants
• noise emissions (acoustic power)
• accident occurrence (with and without pedestrians)

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WP4 Pollutants Dispersion

• WP4 leader Graz University
• Task to calculate pollutant concentration in a
  grid of cells of a few hundreds of meter size
• Results tool provided by ARIA Technologies (F)

• ARIA IMPACTS
• Gaussian model
• gaseous pollutants and particulate matter
• no chemical reactions
• canyon model recently introduced

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WP4 Noise propagation Module

• Results the selected and integrated Noise model
  is SOUNDPLAN
• By Bernt Braunstein GmbH (DE)
• Commercial tool adapted to the ISHTAR suite
• Provides noise levels (Lden) in the receptor
  points placed at ground level and centres of
  building facades
• Can provide also the exposure of population to
  noise
• Requires detailed 3D description of buildings

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WP5 Models suite application and demonstration
with 7 case studies

• WP5 leader TUG
• ATHENS-ATTIKI new motorway from city to airport
  
• BOLOGNA Infrastructure in Imola
• BRUSSELS selective traffic banning from city
  centre
• GRAZ new tunnel in city (focus on noise)
• GRENOBLE new Public Transport lanes
• PARIS Car Free Day
• ROME Selective Banning in HEAVEN area

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WP6 Population Exposure and Health Impact Module

• Leader World Health Organisation
• Software tools produced TEX and HIT

• TEX (Transport Exposure) EXPOSURE MODULE

• GIS application (under Arc View by ESRI)
• disaggregated exposure to air pollutants
• Static exposure in residential areas and dynamic
  exposure in traffic links

• HIT Health Impacts of Transport

• assessment of health impacts related to noise and
  air pollution
• Traffic Accidents split in slight, severe, fatal
• Use of dose-response curves
• Morbidity, mortality effects

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WP7 Air Pollution Damage of Monuments

• WP7 leader ENEA
• Results a new Software developed by ENEA and
  PHAOS (GR)
• Calculation of

• the crust formation
• the loss of material
• the cost of maintenance and/or restoration

With the following options
OPTION 1 damage on monument materials without
specifying a monument OPTION 2 damage on
specific monument(s)
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WP8 Software Integration and Interfacing

• WP8 leader INRETS
• Tasks

• Producing the ISHTAR Suite Interface
• Producing the ISHTAR Suite Manager
• Guidelines for realising software connectors
  (of the various tools)
• Management of ISHTAR Suite Data Base
• Connection with a Geographic Information System

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WP8 Software Integration and Interfacing
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Main INPUT data
OUTPUT
The ISHTAR Suite
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WP9 Overall Analysis Modules

• WP leader London Metropolitan University
• Task to quantify or evaluate the benefits of
  postulated policies compared to current status
  and business as usual trends

• Results New software tool realised, based on
  two alternative methodologies
• Cost-Benefit Analysis
• MultiCriteria Analysis

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WP11 Dissemination and Exploitation

• WP Leader ENEA
• Main tasks
• Definition of Networks of potential users
• Participation in Conferences and Special Events
• Dissemination Material annual brochures, Web
  Site, Final Public Reports, CD, CORDIS web site
• Technology Implementation Plan - drafted in Jan
  2003
• Establishment of an exploitation task force
  including partners interested in the marketing of
  the suite

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Conclusions - Project status

• Single tools essentially finalised and working
• Integration work to be refined
• Interface to be improved
• Case studies to be re-run with the integrated
  software suite

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Conclusions - Suite status

• Prototype delivered in March 2005 (end of
  contract)
• Subject to further use by most of the ISHTAR
  cities
• To be used as a beta version by interested
  potential users (please ask for this !!)

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• Which perspectives of near future marketing or
  further Research and Development ?

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Future perspectives

• Marketing the suite and calculation services
  after a pre commercialisation testing phase of 9
  to 12 months (start on April 2006 ?). The
  possible outcomes of the EC Thematic Strategy on
  Urban Environment
• B. Further research and development

• Regional dimension
• Adding more impacts
• on line data monitoring systems
• short term forecasts and adverse events
  management
• Developing environment and health dimension

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A key step Software Agreement Signature

• Planning of Pre commercialisation and Marketing
  phases following project conclusion
• Involves partners and external organisations (BB
  ... PTV .... ESRI.....)
• Anticipates revenues from Suite sale and
  calculation services
• Defines the duty of a warranty period following
  project end
• Implies the activation of an Exploitation Task
  Force including partners wishing to participate
  in the commercialisation
• Major input for the Technology Implementation
  Plan due at project end

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Activities for the pre commercialisation phase

• Further testing of the modules and of the
  integrated suite
• Refinement of the interface and assessment of the
  software connectors vs the data model
• Agreement of an upgrading activity for all
  components
• Agreement and implementation of error management
  standards and of software quality criteria
• Definition of the principles and detailed terms
  for the marketing of the tool and the provision
  of services

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Who will market the suite ?

• A legal entity being one of the partner, or a
  group of sw providers, or a new company e.g being
  a spin-off of a partner
• Example Spin off project denominated Spinta
  (push) involves ENEA, receives funds from the
  Italian government and aims at the exploitation
  of research projects results through the building
  of new enterprises New exploitation company
  in 12 months ?!

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RD in FP6 and ISHTAR follow up

• Interest shown by several partners for an ISHTAR
  future in FP6
• Possibility to cover part of the costs for the
  planned Pre commercialisation
• Possible integration with other complementary FP5
  projects (see initiatives from LUTR cluster)
• CLEAR cluster on AQ Modelling can work as a lab
  of proposals
• Strategic directions more impacts (e.g. on
  water), regional scale, complementary models
  (pedestrians, other emission sources), improved
  exposure model
• Proposition of an Integrated Project expected
  (e.g. EH related)

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Contacts

• ISHTAR Web Site
• www.ishtar-fp5-eu.com
• Emanuele Negrenti
• (Project Coordinator)
• negrenti_at_casaccia.enea.it
• Alessandro Agostini
• (Responsible for Dissemination and Exploitation)
• alessandro.agostini_at_casaccia.enea.it

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ISHTAR

• In the land of Sumer Ishtar was the goddess of
  Love and War !
• The word means Star, very close to the English
  term !
• In the cities of yesterday (e.g. Babylon)
  citizens could reach a balance between
  development and environmental quality
• The city of tomorrow will be a great life
  opportunity
• or a place of increasing conflicts from where to
  leave ?
• The answer depends on the commitment of us all !