Title: Research on Air Pollution and Socioeconomic Conditions: Status and Future
1Research on Air Pollution and Socioeconomic
Conditions Status and Future
- Marie ONeill (Boston, MA, USA)
- Alfesio Braga (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
- Luis Cifuentes (Santiago, Chile)
- September 23, 2003 Perth, Australia
2Outline of our Remarks
- Problem
- Methodologies
- Results
- Goals and guiding questions
3THE PROBLEM
Why are we interested in studying air pollution
and socioeconomic conditions?
- Widespread exposure
- Serious and costly consequences
- Moral dimension
- Policy focus, funding opportunities
4Widespread Exposures
THE PROBLEM
- Socioeconomic Conditions
- 3 billion live in poverty (World Bank, 2003),
mostly - in developing countries
- Socioeconomic gradients (inequalities) exist
- everywhere
- Air Pollution
- 1.5 billion live in polluted cities (WHO, 2000)
- By 2025, 65 of worlds people to live in cities
(Ibid) - 40 of kids in developing world cities (Davis
Saldiva, 1999) - High indoor and outdoor exposures from biomass
fuel (Smith et al, 2000 Arbex et al, 2000)
5Serious and Costly Consequences
THE PROBLEM
- Socioeconomic inequalities (individual and
societal) - Gradients observed for
- infant/adult mortality
- infectious/chronic disease
- psychiatric disorders
- (Haan et al, 1987 Krieger et al, 1997
- Marmot, 2001, Kawachi et al 1997)
6Serious and Costly Consequences
THE PROBLEM
- Air pollution
- Increased mortality, hospital admissions
- Reduced life expectancy, asthma
- Adverse birth outcomes (fetal deaths, defects,
prematurity, low birth weight, etc) - Many effects appear to be without threshold
- (Pereira et al, 1998 Brunekreef and Holgate,
2002 Clancy et al, 2002 McConnell et al, 2002
Ritz et al, 2002 Schwartz Zanobetti, 2000)
7Moral Dimensions
THE PROBLEM
- Environmental justice concerns
- Right to clean environment
- Higher exposures documented among lower
socioeconomic groups (Bullard and Wright, 1993) - Environmental exposures may partly explain
observed health outcome gradients by SEP (Evans
and Kantrowitz, 2002) - But, even if exposures are NOT higher, special
responsiblility to protect people already
disadvantaged
8Policy Focus, Demanding Actions
THE PROBLEM
- Interaction becoming a policy concern
- Air pollution and poverty both priority areas for
public health intervention - Ezzati M, Lopez AD, Rodgers A, Vander Hoorn S,
Murray CJ, Comparative Risk Assessment
Collaborating Group. Selected major risk factors
and global and regional burden of
disease.comment. Lancet. 20023601347-60.
9Other reasons
- Funding sources (e.g., NIH, HEI) interested in
social disparities research
10Methodologies
11Socioeconomic factors in air pollution
epidemiology
- Can be associated with both air pollution
exposure and health, and confound effect
estimates in cross-sectional/cohort studies - Air pollution exposures may affect people
diffferently depending on socioeconomic position
(effect modifiers)
12Confounder
A third factor (C) associated with exposure
(E) and with disease (D), independent of
exposure If not controlled for in analysis,
can result in biased estimate of true association
Observed truth
13Effect modifier
- Third factor for which, within different levels,
the association between exposure and disease
differs - AGE O3 effect on pulmonary function could be
among children than adults - A factor can be both a confounder and an effect
modifier, either, or neither - Our main interest is effect modifiers
14Socioeconomic Level and Air Pollution Exposure
- Exposures can be distributed differentially by
socioeconomic position - proximity to roadways
- particle/NO2 exposure,
- O3 exposure (scavenging)
- settlement patterns
- center city vs. Suburbs
- topography/meteorology
- indoor and occupational exposures
- Literature is sparse location dependent
15Socioeconomic Level and Air Pollution Exposure in
São Paulo, Brazil
16- South, East and North borders
- Air Pollution distribution
17Districts X Origin-Destination Zones
18Socioeconomic level and air pollution exposure in
Chile
19PM2.5 and educational level are correlated in
Santiago, Chile
Mean Educational level by municipality
20Hypothesis
Being in lower socioeconomic position is related
to and/or confers increased susceptibility to air
pollution health effects
21Terminology
- Socioeconomic position
- Rank of a persons relative social and economic
level in a stratified society - Other terms
- Socioeconomic status (Weber)
- Social class (Marx)
- Deprivation (commonly used in U.K.)
22Distribution of susceptibility factors may differ
by socio-economic position
- Medical conditions (diabetes, CVD, asthma)
- Age structure of population
- Life choices smoking, diet, exercise
- Life course experiences hygiene hypothesis in
asthma - early infection and exposure to endotoxins is
protective -
23Low socioeconomic level may confer susceptibility
- Less nutritious diet (fewer anti-oxidants)
- More infections (crowding, sanitation)
- Higher exposure of environmental pollutants from
multiple sources - Occupation
- Location of residence
- Transportation habits
- Indoor pollution sources/activities
24Potential Pathways for Socioeconomic Position to
Increase Susceptibility Exposure
Low Educational Attainment
Low wage job (potential occupational exposures)
Residence in low-income neighborhood
- Higher levels of indoor pollutants (e.g., NO2
from gas stove) - Proximity to outdoor pollutant sources (e.g.
diesel exhaust) - Few nearby supermarkets wtih fresh
fruits/vegetables - Crowded living conditions (higher infection
level) - Low quality health care (access limited,
prevention lacking) - Violence/insecurity (in home or neighborhood)
leading to stress
25Measuring socioeconomic position
- Individual level
- education, occupation, income
- Population/geographic level
- Composition ( people w/ college degree)
- Contextual features of the community or society
(parks, availability of food stores, crime rate,
social support networks)
26Individual level indicator
50 year old males with Ph.D.
Small health effect
Air pollution exposure
50 year old males with 8th grade education
Big health effect
27Geographic/population level (compositional)
50 year old males living in county where 90 of
people have 12 years education
Small health effect
Air pollution exposure
50 year old males living in county where 40 of
people have 12 years education
Big health effect
28Studying group and individual socioeconomic level
together
- Could evaluate relative importance of
individuals education and the people in
persons neighborhood/county with a given
education level, on air pollution effect
(multilevel model) - International studies have shown negative effect
of income inequality in society on health,
independently of individuals income
29RESULTS
30ResultsEffect modification by socioeconomic
position A few illustrative examples
- Health outcome mortality
- Exposure Airborne particles
- Geographic Brazil, United States (U.S.)
- Individual (education) Netherlands, U.S.
31Geographic effect modification
- In press (JECH) study
- Sao Paulo, Brazil (Martins et al)
- Time series PM10 and daily mortality
- Hypothesis PM10/mortality associations will be
higher in districts or counties ranked lower by
geographic socioeconomic variables
32Socieconomic Variables (Census data and
Origin-Destination Survey in area)
- São Paulo, Brazil
- education
- income
- percent people in slums
33Modeling approach
- Exposure Daily PM10 from city monitors
- Poisson regressions, outcome is daily deaths at
each region - Control for long-term mortality trends with
nonlinear terms for day of study, temperature,
other mortality predictors - logE(daily deaths) a (b1PM10)
(b2ns(time)) ...) - exp (10b1) mortality rate ratio (RR)
associated with of 10 mg/m3 PM10, controlling
for other predictors
34Results
- Higher associations seen in
districts with - lower income, education
and more slums
35(No Transcript)
36Results from 20 U.S. cities
- No substantial differences in the
PM10/mortality association by socio-economic
indicators measured at county level ( poverty,
attained education, others) - Samet JM, Dominici F, Curriero FC, Coursac
I, Zeger SL. Fine particulate air pollution and
mortality in 20 U.S. cities, 1987-1994. New
England Journal of Medicine 20003431742-9
37Concerns regarding geographic indicators
- Resolution
- Size of counties or districts may be too great
heterogeneity within them - Interpretation
- Contextual/compositional variables do not
measure individual characteristics (ecologic
fallacy) - Not lesser than individual-level variables,
such as medical conditions but of intrinsic
interest as the effect of neighborhood or
community characteristics on health
38Individual level effect modification Education
- Two cohort studies of air pollution and mortality
- Traffic pollution in the Netherlands
- PM10 in the United States
39The Netherlands
- 5,000 elderly people 1986-1994
- Long term black smoke (BS) exposure
- Mortality rate ratios and 95 confidence intervals
- Hoek G, Brunekreef B, Goldbohm S, Fischer P,
van den Brandt PA. Association between mortality
and indicators of traffic-related air pollution
in the Netherlands a cohort study. The Lancet
2002360 1203-09
40 United States
- American Cancer Society 500,000 adults,
1982-1998 - Education level Less than high school (HS), HS,
HS - All-cause, lung cancer, and cardiopulmonary
mortality - Relative risks expressed per 24.5 ug/m3 in
fine particles -
- Health Effects Institute. Reanalysis of the
Harvard Six Cities Study and the American Cancer
Society Study of Particulate Air Pollution and
Mortality (A special report of the Institute's
Particle Epidemiology Reanalysis Project).
Cambridge, MA Health Effects Institute, 2000.
41(No Transcript)
42Concerns regarding individual indicators (esp.,
education)
- May be recorded inaccurately
- May not reflect socioeconomic situation
- e.g., person with no public health insurance may
pay private insurance - People without traditional education can have
high socioeconomic level - Example Bill Gates (Harvard dropout)
43Conclusions
- Growing recognition that socioeconomic and
environmental conditions both affect human health - Understanding their interaction requires
increasingly sophisticated methods - Collaboration with social epidemiologists,
sociologists and others will enhance progress
44Goals for workshop participants
- Better understand methodological approaches and
challenges - Learn more about combining social and
environmental epidemiology methods - Develop new ideas for research proposals and
funding opportunities - Meet potential collaborators and make new friends!
45Guiding Questions for Afternoon
- Health outcomes
- Metholodogies
- Geographical Areas
- Pollutant sources and pollutants
- Interest by communities/policy makers
- New questions? (audience generated)
46Afternoon format
- 4 working groups of 25 people
- 4 Moderators and 4 Scribes
- Maybe a Rapporteur?
- Goal Each group addresses 2-3 of the guiding
questions - Produce statements on what we know, gaps,
recommendations, comments
47Expected Workshop Outcomes
- Workshop summary report
- Identify follow-on activities
- Working groups
- Research proposals
- Funding opportunities
- Research agenda with priorities