Title: Business Plan Tool Kit
1??
- Business Plan ??? ????
- Business Plan ??
- Business Plan ?? ??
- ?? ??? ??
2Business Plan??
- Business Plan ? ??
- ??? ???? ????? ???? ? ??
3Business Plan? ??
????? ?????? ??? ? ???, Business Idea (?? ? ?
?? ????) ? ?? ??? ???? ?? (detailed plan)?? ????
?? ??.
?? Business Plan?? ???? ???? ?? 8?? ??? ?? ????
??? ???? ??? ?. 1) ??/ ??? (Product/
Service) 2) ?? ? ?? (Market and Competition)
3) ??? ( Marketing) 4) Business System 5)
?? ? ?? (Organization and HR) 6) ??? ??
(Opportunities and Risks) 7) ?? ??
(Implementation Schedule) 8) ???? (Financial
Planning)
4??? Business Idea? ???? ? ??
??? ?? ?? (Clear Customer Value)
- ???? ???? ?? KFS(Key Factor for companys
Success)? ??? ??? ???, ??? ?? (Satisfied
Customers)? - (ex) ??? ??? ??? ?? 200? ??? ? ? ??. (X)
- ??? ??? ??? 25 ??? ? ????. (X)
- ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? 25 ??? ??. (O)
- ???? ?? ?? ??? ??. (value proposition)
- ???? ??? ?? (unique value) ? ????.
Key Question
- ?? ??? ??/???? ????
- ? ??? ??? ??? ???? (??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ???
?? Needs ? ???????) - ??? ?? Idea?? ?? unique ? ?? ?????
5??? Business Idea? ???? ? ?? (??)
??? ??? ?? (Market of adequate size)
- ??? ?? ??/???? ????? ??? ??? ??? (??? ??? ?? ???,
???? ???, ????? ???) - ?? ?????? ??? ??
1
2
??? ????
??? ????
????? ? ???
??? ??
- ????? ??? ?? ?????
- ? ??? ???? ????
- ??? ??? ?? ?? ? ?????
- ?? ??? ??????
- ???? ?? ??? ???? ?????
3
4
6??? Business Idea? ???? ? ?? (??)
??? ?? (Sufficient degree of innovation)
- ?? idea ? ??/???? ?? ? business system ? ???
?? 4 ??? ?? ? ?? - ?? ???? innovation ? ?? ???? ??? ?? ?
1
2
??? ????
??? ????
??? (Microsoft)
??? (Netscape)
??
??/???
????
??? ?? (Dell)
??
????? ? ???
??? ??
??
??
Business System
3
4
Key Question
- ??? ??/?????? ??? ?? ????
- ??? Business System?? ??? ?? ????
7??? Business Idea? ???? ? ?? (??)
?? ??? ? ??? (Feasibility and Profitability)
- ?? ??? (?? ??, ??/??? ?? ?)? ???
- ???? ???? ??? ?? (??? Cash Flow ?)
1
2
??? ????
??? ????
Key Question
- ??? ?? ?? Idea ? ??? ??? ?? ??? ????
- ? ?? ???? ?? Idea ? ???? ?? ???
- ??? ???? ?? ??? Gross Margin ?? ?? ?????
- ??? ???? ?? ????? ??? ??? ?? ????? ??? ??????
- ???? Cash Flow? ?
????? ? ???
??? ??
3
4
8??
- Business Plan ??? ????
- Business Plan ??
- Business Plan ?? ??
- ?? ??? ??
9 Business Plan ?? ??
- Business Plan ??? ???
- ?? Business Plan? ???? ? ??
- Business Plan? ????
- ?? (Summary)
- ??/??? (Product/ Service)
- ?? ? ?? (Market and Competition)
- ??? (Marketing)
- Business System
- ?? ? ?? (Organization and HR)
- ??? ?? (Opportunities and Risks)
- ?? ?? (Implementation Schedule)
- ?? ?? (Financial Planning)
10 Business Plan ??? ???
Writing a business plan forces you into
disciplined thinking, if you do an intellectually
honest job. An idea may sound great, but when
you put down all the details and numbers it may
fall apart.
Business Plan ? ?? ???? ???(start-up, venture
company )?? ?? ?????? Venture Capitalist??? ???
???? ?? ???? ???. ???, ??? ?????? ????? ??
project ? ?? ?? ?? ????? ???? ???.
Business Plan ? ?????? ?? ? ?? ??? ??? ??
- ????? ???? ??? ???? ????? ??? ? ? ??
- ??? ??? ??????, ????? ??? ? ?? ??? ???? ?????
- ???? ?? ? ?? ?
- ?? project ??? project ?? ??? ???? ??? ? ?? ??
??? ?? ???
11 ?? Business Plan? ???? ? ??
- ??? (Clarity) Business Plan ? ??(??)? ??? ??? ?
- ??? (Objectivity) ???? Data ? ??? ?? ??? ?
- ??? (Simplicity) ??? ???? ?? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ?
- ??? (Consistency) ??? ???, ??? ???? ??? ?
???? ?? ??
- ? ???, ??? ? ?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ?? ?? ???? ?????
?? ???? ???? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ??? - ???? ??/??? ??/??? ?? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???
??? - ??? ???? ??? ? ? ?? ??? ? ??? ?? ???
- ???? ??, ???? ??? ?? ????? ?? ??? ????? ?? ????
????? ?? ??? - ??? ?? ???? ?? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???? ?? ? ?? ???
??? - ??? ??? ?? ?? Business ? ??? risk ? ????? ????
?? ???? ??? ???? Business ? ??? ???? ??? ??
????? ???
?? Contents
12 ?? (Summary)
?? ??? ????? (decision maker) ?? Business Plan ?
???? ??? ? ????? ???? ?
- ?? ???? ?? ?? 4?? ??? ???? ?
- Business idea ? ???
- ??/???? Customer ?? ?? value
- ??? ?? ? ?? ??
- ??? ?? ???
- ??? Business idea ? ?? ?? ????? ??? ???/?????
????? ?? ?? ?? ??? 510 ?? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?
??? ??? Check? ?
??, ???? ?? ??? ? ??? ?? ??? ?? ????, ????? ????
????. (Describe your business idea as clearly,
compellingly, and concisely as you can)
13 ??/ ???
If you dont know what the customer value is,
the whole thing is a waste of time.
Business Plan ? ????? ??/???? ?? ??? ???? ?? ???
??/???? ??? ??? ???? ??? ???
- ?? ?? (Customer Value)
- ?? ??? ??/???? ???? ?? ???? ? ?? ??? ???? ? ? ???
Business Plan ? ???? - ??/???? ???? ?? ??? ???? ??? ?.
- ??? ???? ??? ??/???? ?? ?? ? ??? ?? ?? ??? ?
- ??/??? ???? ??
- ??/???? ?? ?? ???? ???? ???? ???
- ??/???? ???? ???? ???? ???? ? ???/ ???(??)/
???(??? ???)/ ???(? ???? ?? ??)/ ?????(???)
?????? ??? ?? ?? ??? ??? ?.
14Check List (??/???)
No
Yes
?? ?? (Customer Value)
- ???? ????? ??/???? ??? ???????
- ???? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? (?? ??? ?? ???) ???
???????
- ?? ???? ?? ??? ??? ???????
- ??? ? ??/???? ??? ??????? (??? ?? ??? ??/????
?? ??? ?? Value? ???? ???????)
- ?????? ?? ??/???? ??? ?, ??? ??/???? ?? ?? ? ???
??? ???????
- Pilot Test ?? Survey? ?? ???? ??/???? ?? ????
??? ? ?? ???? (?? ?? ????? ??? ?? ????
???????)
??/??? ???? ??
- ??? ?? ??/???? ?? ?? ??? ??, ??, ?? ?? ????
???????
- ??? ????? ????? ????? ???????
- ???/?? ????? ????? ????? ???????
- ???/??? ??? ????? ????? ????? ???????
- ???/????? ????? ????? ????? ???????
15?? ? ?? (Market and Competition)
If there is no competition, there is probably no
market.
- ????? ?? (Market size and growth)
- ????? ??? ??? ??? ? ???? ?? ???? ???
- ????? ??? ?, ?? ? ??, ??? ?? ??? ????? ?
- ??? ??? ?? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ?????
???? ? (ex. ??, ??? ?? ?) - ??????? ?? ???
????? ??? ??? ?? ??
?? ????? ?? ?? (Hypothesis) ??
????? ??? fact ?? (????, ??? ?? ?)
??? ??? ???? ???? ??
16?? ? ?? (Market and Competition) (??)
- ???? ??? ????
- ??? ??? ??? ???? (Build on solid foundation) ? ?
?? ?? ??? ????, ??? ? ?? ??? ?? (???? data) ? ???
? - ????? ???? (Think logically) ???? ??? ????? ??,
??? ???? ???? ?? ?? (assumption) ? ????? ? ? - ??? ???? (Compare your sources) ?? ?? ??? ???
(???, ??, ??? ?? ?)? ???? ???? ??? ? - ???? ?? (Be creative) ? ? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????
??? ???? ??? ? - ?????? ???? (Check for plausibility) ? ???? ???
???? ??? ??? ?
17?? ? ?? (Market and Competition) (??)
- ?? ??? (Market Segmentation)
- - ??? ????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ???? ??? ? ?
- - ??? ????? ??? ?? ??? ?? ? ???, ?? 3 ??? ????
? - 1) ? ???? ??? ?? ? ? ???? ??? ? ??? ?
(Measurability) - 2) ? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? ? ??? ?
(Homogenous-within) - 3) ? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ? ??? ?
??? ??????? ????? ??
- ??? ?? ??, ??/?? (????), ?? ?
- ????? ?? ??, ??, ??, ??, ??, ???? ?
- ?? ??? ?? ?? ????, ???, ?????, ?? ???, ??? ?????
?? ? - ????? ?? ??? ??? (??, ??, ??) ?
??? ??????? ????? ??
- ????? ?? ????, ????, ?? ?
- ??? ?? ??? ?? (? digital, analog) ?
- ?? ??? ?? ?? ??? ??/??? ??, ???? ?
- ??? ?? ??? ???, ???? ?
18?? ? ?? (Market and Competition) (??)
- ?? (Competition)
- ??? ???? ?? ?? value, ?? ??, ???, ??, ????, cost
??, ???, ???? ???? ??? ? - ???? ??? ??? ??/??? ?
- ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?
- ???? ?? ??? ?? ?? intangible asset ? ??? ??? ?
- ???? ??? market ?? positioning ? ????
- positioning ??? ??/???? ?? ?? ????? ??
(position) ? ?? ???? ??? ??? ????? ? (ex. ???
????, ????? ????) - positioning ? ?? ??? Map (??)
?
?
?
??
?? ????
???
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
?
??
????
???
19?? ? ?? (Market and Competition) (??)
Check List (?? ? ??)
No
Yes
????? ??
- ????? ???? trend ? ???? ???
- ?????? ???? ?? ???? ??? ????? ???? ???
- ?? ????? ?? ???? ??? ???? ???
- ????? ???? ?? ???? ??? ???? ???
?? ???
- ?????? ??? ??? ? ??? ???? ???
- ????? ?? (???, ??, ??? ?) ? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??
???? ???
- ????? ???? ??????, ???? ??? ???? ???
- ? ??????? ?? ???? ???? ???
??
- ??? ??/???? ???? ?? ???? ???? ???? ???
- ???? ???? ???? ???? ??? ??????
- ???? ?? ??? ?? ?? ???? (??, Intangible) ?? ????,
?? ??? ? ???? ?? ??? ???
20??? (Marketing)
Marketing is far too important to be left to the
marketing department.
???? business launching?? ?? ??? ??? marketing ?
?, 4Ps (Product, Price, Place, Promotion) ? ??
??? ??? ????? ?. (Product ? ??/??? ?? ??)
- Price (??)
- ?? ??? ????? ??/???? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ??? ??
??? (??? cost ? ????? ???? ??? ????? ??? ??? ????
??? ??? ???) - ??? ???? ??/???? ???? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???. ?
??, ??? ???? ??? ?? ????? ??? ? ? ??. - ????? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?? ???, ?? ?? ???? ???
?? ??? ???? ?????? (Penetration Strategy) ? ?????
???? ?????? (Skimming Strategy) ?? ???
????? ??
- ????/???? ?? ??/???? ?? ?? ??, ?? ??? ?? ? ??.
??, ??/???? ?? ?? ???? ??? ? ?? - ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ????? ????? ??? ??? ??? ? ??
??????? ??
- ??? ??? ??? ??? ? ?? (ex. Netscape, Explorer)
- ??? ?????? ?? ??, ??? ???? ?? ?? ? ??
- ???? ????? ??? ? ??
21??? (Marketing) (??)
Place (????)
- ??/???? ??? ???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ????? ????
??? ??? ???? ????? ?. - ?? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??, ??/???? ??, ??? ???? ????,
??? ???? ??, ??? ?? ??? ?? ??, ??? ??, ????,
???/?? ?? ??. - ??, ??? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ??? ???? ??? ???? ???.
?????? ????? ???? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??. - 1) ??? (Third-party Retailers) ?????? ???? ???
???? ?? - 2) ??? (Outside Agent) ?? ??? ???? (???? ?????
??) ??? (commission)? ???? ??? - 3) ?????? (Franching) ????? ?? ??????? ????
??/???? ???? ?? (ex. McDonalds,
Seven-eleven) - 4) ??? (Wholesalers) ????? ???? ???? ?? ???
- 5) ??? (Stores) ??? ?? ????? ???? ??
- 6) ?? (Own sales staff) ?? ??? ??? ?? ??? ????
?? - 7) Direct Mail ??? ?? ?? ????? ??? ???? ??
- 8) Call Center ??? ?? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??
- 9) Internet Internet ? ?? ?? ??
22??? (Marketing) (??)
- Promotion (?? ??)
- ??? ??/???? ?? ?? ???? ??? ???? ??? ??
(attention) ? ??, ???, ????, ??? ?? ?? ??? ??? - ?? ??? marketing communication ?? ??? ? ???,
??? ??? ???? ??? ??/???? ???? ??? ??, ?? ?? ??
????? ? ? ??? Need ? ?????? ?? ????? ???? ?? - ???? ??? ?? ??
- 1) ???? ?? ( Classic Advertising) ??, ??, TV,
??? - 2) Direct Marketing ?? ??? ?? mail, ??
marketing, internet - 3) PR (Public Relations) ??, ??, ???? ?? ?? ?
- 4) ???,??? (Exhibitions)
- 5) ?? ?? (Customer Visits)
- Promotion?? ??? ?? Promotion ? ????? ?? ????? ?
??? ??? ??/??? focusing? ??? ??? ?? ? ??? ??
23??? (Marketing) (??)
Check List (???)
No
Yes
?? (Price)
- ????? ??? ????? ???? ???? ???
- ??/??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ??? ????
??? ???? ???? ???
- ?? ??? cost ? ????? ???? ??? ???? ???
???? (Place)
- ??/???? ???? ?????? ???? ??? ??????
- ????? ??? ??? ???? ??????
?? (Promotion)
- ?? ???? ?? ???????? ???? ???? ???
- ????? ??/???? ??? ?? ? ??? ??????
- ??? ???? ????? ??? ?? (??, ?? ?) ? ??? ???
??????
- ??/???? ??? Launching ??? ??? ?? ? ??? ???? ???
24Business System
Business System ?? ??/???? ??/???? ????? ?? ?????
???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ???.
Business System??? Value Chain, Make or Buy ??,
??? ??? ?? ? ? ?? ??? ????? ?.
- Value Chain
- ??/???? ????? ??? ???? ?? ??? ?? (????? ???? ???
????) - Process ? ?? ??? Value ??? ?? activity ??? ???
- ex) RD? Marketing? ?? activity? ??
25Business System (??)
- ???? ?? ?? ?? (Make or Buy)
- ? Value Chain ? Process ?? Core Skill? ??
- ?? Process ? ???? ??? ???? Outsourcing ? ?????
??? ??? (strategic significance), ???
(suitability), ????? (availability) ???? ?? - Outsourcing? ??, ??? vendor ?? ????? ???? ?????
???
- ??? ???
- Business System ? ?? ?? ??? ? ??? ??? ?? ???? ?
???? ? ???? ??? - ??? ??? ????
- ? Win-Win ?? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??? ? ? ???? ???
- ? ?? ?? ??? Business System ? ???? ???? ?? (???
?? ?? ?? ?) ? ??? ???? ??? ??? - ??? ??
- ? ???? ?? (non-binding partnership) ?? ??? ????
????? ??? ? ?? ?? - ? ??? ?? (close partnership) ? ??? ?? ?????? ??
?? ??, ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ? ?? ?? - ?? ?? ?? ??? ??? ?? ? ? ??? ??? ???
- ?? ?? ?? ?? ????? ???? ???
26Business System (??)
Check List (Business System)
No
Yes
Value Chain
- ?? Value Chain ? ?? ?? ???? ???
- Value Chain ? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ???? ??????
- Value Chain ? cost ? ????? ???? ???
Make or Buy
- ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? outsourcing ? ??? ??????
- ??? ???, ???, ????? ???? ???? ??????
- Outsourcing ? ??? ??? ??, ????? ???? ???? ???
??
- ?? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????? ???
- ??? ? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ??????
27 ?? ? ?? (Organization and HR)
- ??
- ???? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? (??? ??)
- ?? Incubating ????? TFT(Task Force Team) ???
????, ??? ???? ???? ??? Business Unit ? ??? - ? ?? ??? Mission ? ??? ???? ???
- ??
- ??? Leader ? Team ??? ???? Skill, ??, ?? ?? ???
??? - Leader/Team ?? ???? ?? ??? ?? KPI(Key Performance
Index)? ??? - Leader/Team ?? ?? ?? (reward) ??? ???
- ?????? ?????/??? ????? ???
28 ?? ? ?? (Organization and HR) (??)
Check List (?? ? ??)
No
Yes
? ?
- ???? ???? ??? ???? ??????
- ? ???? mission ? ??? ???? ??????
- ??? ???? ???? ??? ???? ???? ???
? ?
- ? ?? ??? leader ?? ???? skill, ??, ?? ?? ??????
- ? ?? ??? ?? ????? ???? skill, ??, ?? ?? ??????
- Leader/Team ?? ?? or ???? ?????? ???? ??? ??
??????
- Leader/Team ?? ?? ????? ?? KPI ? ??????
- KPI(Key Performance Index) ? Mission ? ??? ? ???
??? ???
- Leader/Team ?? ?? ?? (reward) ??? ???? ???
29 ??? ?? (Opportunities and Risks)
One of the greatest myths about entrepreneurs is
that they are all risk seekers. All sane people
want to avoid risk.
- ????? ??? ??? ??? ???? risk ? ???? ? ??? ?????
??? - ?? ??
- ????? ?? ???? risk ? ??, ??, ?? ?? ???? ???
- ??? risk ???? ??? (impact) ? ????? ???
- Risk ? Hedge ??? Manage ? ? ?? ??? ???
- ????
- ???? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??, ??, ?? ?? ???? ???? ???
??? ??? - ??? option ? ??? ????? ???
- Option ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ???
30 ??? ?? (Opportunities and Risks) (??)
Check List (??? ??)
No
Yes
?? ??
- ?? ????? ?? ??, ??, ???? risk ? ??? ??????
- ??, ??, ???? risk ? ????? ???? ???
- Risk ? hedge ? ? ?? ??? ??? ??????
?? ??
- ???? ??? ?? ??, ??, ???? ???? ??? ??? ??????
- ??, ??, ???? option ? ??? ????? ??????
- Option ? ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ??? ??????
31 ?? ?? (Implementation Schedule)
??? ?? 5?? ??? ?????? Project ???? ?? ??? ????
??? ??? ? ??? ?? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ? ??
risk ? ??? ? ??
- ?? ?? ??? ?? (Drawing up your implementation
schedule) - 1) ?? ?? ?? ?? ???? ?? Chart ? ?? ?? ??
- 2) ?? ??? (Milestone) ?? ??? ???? ?? event ? ??
- 3) ???? ??? ???? ? ??? ??
32 ?? ?? (Implementation Schedule) (??)
2000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2001
2002
2003
Task
- ??(Development)
- Software ??
- Hardware Set-up
- Test
- Marketing
- Customer Relationship??
- ??
- ????
- ??/??
- TFT ??/??
- ?? ??/??
- Milestone
??? ??
????
????
????
????
????
33 ?? ?? (Implementation Schedule) (??)
Check List (?? ??)
No
Yes
?? Chart ?? ??
- ?? Chart ???? ????? ??????
- Business Plan ? ?? ?? (??, ??, ?? ?) ? ???? ???
?? ??? (Milestone)
- ????? ?? ??? (milestone) ? ???? ???
- Milestone ? ?? ?? ??? ???? ???
???? ? ????
- ?????? ???? ??? ? ???? ???
34 ?? ?? (Financial Planning)
Planning substitutes chaos for mistakes.
- ????? ?? 5?? ??? ??? ???? ? (Minimum Requirement)
- 1) ????? (Cash Flow Statement), ????? (Income
Statement), ????? (Balance Sheet) - 2) ????? ?? 5? ??, ??? ????? ???? ?? ???? 1? ??
- 3) ?? 2??? ??? ???? (?? ?? ???), ??? ????
- 4) ?? ??? ???? ??(assumption)? ???? ? (?? ??? ??
????? ??? ???? ??? ?) - 5) ??? ?? ?? (NPV, IRR, Payback ??) ? ?? ?? ???
?? ??? ?? (Sensitivity Analysis)
35 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
- ?????
- ?????? ? ??? ??? ??? ??? ? ? ???? ???? ???, ?????
??? ? ? ?? ??? ??? ? ?? - ?????? ??? ??? ??? ???, ??? ??? ?? ???? ????
???. (??? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ??? ????? ????
?? ???? ???. unleveraged basis)
Year 1 5 ?
??? ????
A. ??? (Revenue) B. ???? (Cost)
- ?? x ?? ??? ??? ?? ?? ??
- ???? ???? ????? ?? ??
C. ????? (Gross Profit, A-B) D. ?? ? ????? (SGA)
- ?????? (?????/???) ??
- ???/??? ? ?????/ ?????? ???? ????
E. ????? ???? (EBIDTA, C-D) F. ????
(Depreciation)
G. ???? (EBIT,E-F) H. ?? (Tax)
- ?????? ????? ??? ?? ??, ????/???? ????
I. ?????? (NOPLAT, G-H)
36 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
- ????? (Cash Flow Statement)
- ?????? ????? ??? ????? ???? ??? ??? ???? ?????
??? ?? - ?????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ???
??? ????
Year 1 5 ?
A. ?????? A.1. ?????? A.2. ????? A.3.
????? ??/(??) A.4. ????? ??/(??) A.5. ???
??/(??) A.6. ?????? ??/(??) B. ??????
- ?????? ??????? ??
- ?????? ????? ??
- ???? x ????? ??? ?? ??
- ???? x ????? ??? ?? ??
- ???? x ????? ??? ?? ??
- ?? ? ?????? ??? ?? ??
- ??? ??? ???? (?? ??/???? ??? ???? ??)? ?? ????
??? ??
C. ? ???? (A - B) D. ?? ????
37 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
- ????? (Balance Sheet)
- ?????? ????? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??
- ?????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ??? (?????? ??? ?? ??
?????/??????? ????? ???? ????? ?)
??? ????
Year 1 5 ?
A. ???? A.1. ????? A.2. ???? A.3. ?? ????
- ?????? ????? ??? ??
- ?????? ??????? ??
- ?????? ?? ???? ??? ??
- ?????? ?? ????? ??
- ?????? ?????? ??
B. ???? B.1. ???? B.2. ???? ???
C. ??? (AB) D. ???? D.1. ?????
E. ?? E.1. ?????? E.2. ?? ??????
- ?????? ?? ?? ??
- ?????? ?? ????? ??
F. ?? ? ?? (D E)
38 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
- ??? ?? ??
- ?????? ??? ?? ?? ??? ??? ???(NPV Net Present
Value), ????? (IRR Internal Rate of Return),
???? (Payback Period) ??? ??? - ????? ??? ??? ??? ??? ??
Year 1
Year 4
Year 5
Perpetuity
Total
Year 2
Year 3
A. ????? (from ?????)
B. ????? ?? (from ?????)
C. ???? ????? ??? ???? ??
D. Perpetuity ????? ???? (EBITDA) x Multiple
(??? ??? ??? ??)
E. ???(i) ??? ???? a (??? ?? risk ??) ? ????
???
1/(1i)
1/(1i)4
1/(1i)5
1/(1i)5
1/(1i)²
1/(1i)³
F. ????
G. NPV (SA x F D x F)
H. IRR A D ? Zero? ? ?? ???
? Perpetuity ??? ???? ???? ?? ?? ??? ?? ????/
????
39 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
- ??? ??
- ??? ??? ??? ?? ??/??(key driver)? ?? ?, ??? ???
??? ??? ???? ??????, ??? ??? risk ??? ???? ?????
???? ? risk factor? ????? ?? - ??? ??? ?? ???? key driver? ???, ??, ??? ??.
- Key Driver ?? ??? ? ????? ?? ???
Key Driver
-20
Base
-10
10
20
??? ?? ??? ???? ???
NPV ? IRR ??? ???
NPV ? IRR ??? ???
40 ?? ?? (Financial Planning) (??)
Check List (?? ??)
No
Yes
??
- ??? ???? ? 3?? ?????, ?????, ?????? ???? ?? ? ???
- ?? ??? cost ? ????? ???? ??? ???? ???
?????
- ?????? ???? ?? ????? ???? ???
- ?????? ???? ???? ????? ??????
?????
- ?????? ???? ?? ????? ???? ???
- ?????? ???? ???? ????? ??????
?????
- ?????? ???? ?? ????? ???? ???
- ?????? ?????/?????? ???? ???
??? ?? ? ??? ??
- ??? ??? ???? ?? ????? ???? ???
- Perpetuity ? ????? ? ?, ???? ??????
- NPV, IRR, Payback Period ? ??? ???? ??????
- ???? (key driver) ? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??????
41??
- Business Plan ??? ????
- Business Plan ??
- Business Plan ?? ??
- ?? ??? ??
42 ?? ??? ??
???? ???? Business Plan? ?? ?? ?, ???? ??? ???
????? ???.
- ???? - ?? / ?????? / ?? / ??? / ???
- ????
- - ????, ???(?) ?? ?? / ??? / ???? / ????(??, ??,
?? ?) - ????
- - ?? ?? ?? / ???? / ?? / ???? / ????
- ????
- - ?? ?? ?? ? ?? ???? ?? ??
- ????
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