Title: Mendelian Genetics in Populations II
1Mendelian Genetics in Populations II
- Migration, Genetic Drift, and Nonrandom Mating
2Chance events can alter allele and genotype
frequencies (Fig. 6.10a)
In the sampling of egg and sperm to make
zygotes, there were 14 A1 and 6 A2 alleles. So
the allele frequencies changed to 0.7 for A1 and
0.3 for A2 Note these alleles are not affected
by natural selection neutral alleles
3Range of possible outcomes when 20 gametes are
sampled from a population with allele frequencies
of p 0.6 and q 0.4 (Fig. 6.11)
4Genetic drift is evolution that happens by chance
- The figure on the previous slide demonstrates
that - Allele frequencies are more likely to change than
stay the same across generations - Small per generation changes in allele frequency
are more likely than large changes - If the initial frequency of an allele is gt 0.5,
it is more likely to increase in frequency that
decrease in the next generation
5Computer simulations of random genetic drift
- Random sample of 20 gametes from a population
with p(A1) 0.6 and q(A2) 0.4 - Using Populus 5.3
- http//www.cbs.umn.edu/populus/Download/download.h
tml
6Evolutionary effects of genetic drift 1
- Genetic drift results in the eventual fixation of
one allele, and the loss of all other alleles
(provided no other forces are acting neutral
alleles) - As one allele drifts toward fixation, the
heterozygosity of the population declines - The probability of eventual fixation of a neutral
allele is equal to its current frequency in the
population (Note in a diploid population of size
N, a new mutation will have a frequency of 1/2N) - Larger populations require more time for fixation
- Drift also operates on alleles that are affected
by selection (more on that later)
7Genetic drift and heterozygosity (Fig. 6.15)
8Genetic drift in experimental lab populations107
populations of size N 16, initial allele
frequencies 0.5, incomplete dominance
9Loss of heterozygosity in a laboratory population
- Dashed line is the theoretical prediction for
population size N 16 - Solid gray line is theoretical prediction for N
9 - The effective population size was smaller than
the actual population size - See previous slide for additional experimental
details
Heterozygosity
Generation
10Population size and genetic diversity in natural
populations (Fig. 6.19a,b)
Polymorphism proportion of loci for which the
frequency of the most common allele is lt
0.99 Allelic richness average number of
alleles per locus
11Genetic variation in Ozark glade populations of
collared lizard (Fig.
- The colors in the pie chart at left represent 7
different multilocus genotypes based on malate
dehydrogenase (MDH) genotypes, mtDNA haplotypes,
and ribosomal DNA (rDNA) genotypes. - Populations in different glades are represented
by colored circles on the maps - A solid-color circle indicates that only one
multilocus genotype is present in that population.
12Founder effects and bottlenecks are special cases
of genetic drift
- Founder effects occur when a new population is
started with a small number of migrants from
another (usually larger) population - Bottlenecks occur when a large population is
reduced to a small size - In both cases drift is strong because of small
population size, which may persist for a number
of generations
13How founder effects and bottlenecks change the
genetic composition of populations
- Reduce genetic variation through loss of low
frequency alleles - Increase the frequency of some very rare
(probably harmful) alleles that happen to be
present in founders or survivors of bottlenecks - Lead to inbreeding, which increases the chance
that recessive mutations will be homozygous
14The founder effect in an island-hopping birdthe
silvereye, Zosterops lateralis (Fig. 6.13)
- Progressive founder events reduce genetic
diversity as measured by the average number of
alleles at six microsatellite loci
15A founder effect in a human population
achromatopsia in the Pingelapese people of the
Eastern Caroline Islands
- The current population of about 3,000 people on
the Pingelap Atoll are descended from 20
survivors of a typhoon in about 1775 - The frequency of achromatopsia (complete
colorblindness, extreme sensitivity to light, and
poor visual accuity), a homozygous recessive
disorder, is about 1 in 20 (compared to less than
1 in 20,000 in most populations) - At least one of the survivors of the typhoon
carried at least one copy of the defective
allele, which means that among the survivors the
frequency of the defective allele was at least
2.5 - The frequency of the defective allele has since
increased to gt 20 under the influence of drift
16Migration and genetic drift
- Migration of individuals (movement from one
population to another) retards the rate of drift
within each population - If migration among populations is high enough,
the several populations become, in effect, one
larger population in which drift is slower - In general, 2 or more migrants into a population
per generation is enough gene flow to make
several populations behave like one larger
population
17Selection and genetic drift 1
- Genetic drift also affects the frequencies of
alleles that are under selection - Suppose the fitnesses (relative survivorships) of
genotypes at a locus are as follows - According to what we have learned, if A2 is a new
mutation, directional selection should result in
the fixation of allele A2 because A2A2
homozygotes have the highest survivorship that
is, the Pr(fix A2) 1.0 - However in a finite population of size N, its
not so simple - If the quantity 4Ns is greater than about 2, then
Pr(fix A2) 2s, which will be much less than 1.0
for realistic selection coefficients - If the quantity 4Ns is less than about 1, then
Pr(fix A2) 1/2N, which is the probability of
fixation of a new neutral mutation by drift, and
will also be less than 1.0 - Either way, most beneficial mutations are lost
from populations because of random genetic drift!
And its even worse if A2 is recessive!
18Selection and genetic drift 2
- Lets look at some numbers
- Suppose N 200, and s 0.01 (i.e., a 1
selective advantage to A2 when heterozygous) - Then 4Ns 8, which is large, and the
probability of eventual fixation of A2 if it is a
new mutation 2s 0.02 - On the other hand
- Suppose N 5, and s 0.01
- Then 4Ns 0.2, which is small, and the
probability of eventual fixation of A2 is 1/2N
0.1 - In this particular example, then, our new
favorable mutation, A2, is more likely to become
fixed in a small population, where its initial
frequency is higher, than in a large population,
where its initial frequency is lower.
19The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution 1
- It is important to distinguish between evolution
of proteins (i.e., amino acid sequences) and
evolution of nucleotide sequences - It is reasonable to assume that much nucleotide
sequence evolution is selectively neutral or
nearly so pseudogenes, introns and other
non-translated regions synonymous substitutions - On the other hand, we might expect many amino
acid substitutions to be under selection - The long-standing argument between neutralists
and selectionists is really about whether most
protein evolution ( amino acid substitutions
non-synonymous nucleotide substitutions) is
neutral, or is adaptive and driven by natural
selection
20The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution 2
- Neutralists do not claim that most mutations are
neutral - However, they do argue that most of the protein
variation that we see within populations has no
fitness consequences (i.e. alleles are neutral),
and that most of the evolutionary change in
proteins that we see between related taxa is due
to drift acting on selectively neutral alleles.
According to neutralists, positive selection (
adaptation) plays little or no role in evolution
at the molecular level - For neutralists, as well as selectionists, most
mutations are harmful and are removed from
populations by the action of natural selection
21Neutral theory predicts a molecular clock
- Let the neutral mutation rate be µ( proportion
of new mutant copies of a gene per generation,
e.g., 1 in a million) - In a diploid population of size N, there will be
2Nµ new mutations at a gene per generation - Since these mutations are neutral, the
probability of eventual fixation of any one
mutation is 1/2N, and its probability of loss is
1 - (1/2N) which will be very close to 1.0 for
reasonably large populations - Most new neutral mutations will be lost by drift
within a few generations, but occasionally a new
mutation will increase infrequency under drift
and replace previously existing alleles this is
known as an allelic substitution
22Mutation and allelic substitution over time (Fig.
6.20)
23The average rate of allelic substitution, which
is the rate of neutral evolution, is equal to the
neutral mutation rate
- The average number of allelic fixations per
generation is equal to the number of new
mutations per generation x the probability that
any one mutation eventually becomes fixed 2Nµ x
1/2N µ - So, the predicted average amount of time between
allelic substitutions is 1/µ generations this is
the molecular clock
24Molecular divergence among three related taxa
A
B
C
t
Time since most recent common ancestor
2t
- Neutral theory predicts
- The amount of molecular difference between A and
C will be the same as the amount of difference
between B and C, since the amount of evolutionary
time is the same in both comparisons - The amount of molecular difference between A and
C (or B and C) will be twice the amount of
difference between A and B, since the common
ancestor of A and B lived half as long ago as the
common ancestor of A and C (or B and C)
25Synonymous and non-synonymous base substitutions
(Fig. 6.21)
26Molecular evolution in influenza viruses is
consistent with neural theory (Fig. 6.21c)
27 A paradox and an inconsistency
- The paradox is that under neutral theory, in
which allelic substitutions are due only to drift
(rather than directional selection) the rate of
evolution does not depend upon population size
but only the mutation rate to neutral alleles - The inconsistency is that the theory predicts a
clock that ticks in generation time, yet much
of the evidence for a molecular clock is based on
clock time
28Nearly neutral theory 1
- Neutralists have addressed the problem of time
scale with what is known as nearly neutral theory - The idea is that many slightly deleterious
mutations will be effectively neutral, depending
on population size - In general, as we saw above, drift will govern
the fate of alleles if the quantity 4Ns is
small, where N is effective population size and
s is the coefficient that describes the action of
natural selection on the heterozygote
29Nearly neutral theory 2
- Imagine a species in which effective population
size, N, is 500. If the selection coefficient,
s, against a mutant heterozygote is 0.0005, then
4Ns 1.0, which qualifies as small, and the
mutation is effectively neutral - On the other hand, the same selection coefficient
in a population of 5,000 would mean that 4Ns
10.0, which would be large and would mean that
natual selection would act against the mutation
(that is, the mutation is harmful not neutral) - If species with long generation times tend to
have small population sizes, then the mutation
rate to effectively neutral mutations will be
greater in species with longer generations, and
this higher mutation rate per generation will
compensate for the longer generation time - The net result is that the molecular clock will
tend to tick at the same speed in clock time for
all species
30Population size, generation time, and nearly
neutral mutations (Fig. 22)
31Synonymous and non-synonymous substitutions and
the molecular clock 1
- Evolution of synonymous nucleotide substitutions
generally supports a molecular clock (this is not
controversial) - In some cases, non-synonymous substitutions also
appear to be clock-like (e.g., the influenza
virus data in Fig. 6.21)
32Synonymous and non-synonymous substitutions and
the molecular clock 2
- Data from many genes indicates that the rate of
evolution of synonymous substitutions is higher
(often much higher) than the rate of evolution of
non-synonymous substitutions (see Table 6.1 in
your text) - This observation is consistent with the
expectation that most amino acid changes will be
deleterious and, therefore, that the neutral
mutation rate will be lower for non-synonymous
substitutions (as would be predicted by both
neutralists and selectionists)
33Molecular evolution in influenza viruses is
consistent with neural theory (Fig. 6.21c)
34Evidence for molecular evolution by positive
selection
- Neutral theory states that if we compare protein
coding sequences (exons) between species, there
will be more nucleotide substitutions at
synonymous than non-synonymous sites (because the
neutral mutation rate is lower at non-synonymous
sites) dN/dS lt 1.0 - On the other hand, if much evolution involves
positive selection on alleles that increase
fitness, then evolution at non-synonymous sites
may be faster than at synonymous sites (because
positive selection will substitute alleles faster
than drift) dN/dS gt 1.0
35Positive selection on the BRCA1 gene in humans
and chimpanzees (Fig. 6.23)Ratio of replacement
to silent mutations that is greater than 1.0 on
branches leading to humans and chimps is evidence
for positive selection
36Molecular evolution summary
- Neutral theory appears describe much evolution at
the nucleotide level in untranslated parts of the
genome and at synonymous sites - However, for many, but not all proteins, there is
evidence that evolution has been driven by
positive selection on non-synonymous
substitutions - recently duplicated genes that have attained new
functions, disease-resistance loci (e.g., genes
that code for antibody proteins), genes involved
in interactions between egg and sperm at
fertilization, genes that code for certain
enzymes (e.g., alcohol dehydrogenase)
37Nonrandom mating
- Most commonly, nonrandom mating takes the form of
inbreeding, or mating with relatives - Inbreeding can be systematic, such as by
self-fertilization in hermaphroditic plants and
animals (this is the most extreme form of
inbreeding) - Inbreeding can be accidental, as when mating
occurs between related individuals in finite,
especially small, populations - In either case, the genetic effect of inbreeding
is to reduce heterozygosity below Hardy-Weinberg
expectation (2pq), and to increase homozygosity - One way of defining the inbreeding coefficient
- F (HH-W - Hobserved) / HH-W
38Inbreeding increases homozygosity the example
of selfing (Fig. 6.25a)
39Inbreeding increases homozygosity the example
of selfing (Fig. 6.25b)
40The effects of inbreeding
- Because inbreeding increases homozygosity, it
makes it more likely that deleterious recessive
alleles in a population will be expressed - This increases the effectiveness of selection
against harmful recessives - However, in species that do not normally inbreed,
it also leads to inbreeding depression
41Inbreeding depression in humans (Fig. 6.28)
- Children of first cousins have higher mortality
rates than children of unrelated parents (by
about 4 percentage points)
42Inbreeding depression in great tits (Fig. 6.30)
- F 1/4 is the inbreeding coefficient of children
of brother-sister matings - F 1/16 is the inbreeding coefficient of children
of 1st cousins
43Synergism between small population size, drift
and inbreeding 1
- Drift is especially strong in small populations
- Drift reduces genetic variation ( increased
homozygosity) - It is possible for deleterious alleles to
increase in frequency under drift (think about
bottlenecks and achromatopsia in Pingelapese
islanders) - In small populations, inbreeding (mating between
relatives) is unavoidable (remember the
Pingelapese who are all descended from 20
survivors of a typhoon) This is true even if the
population is mating at random
44Synergism between small population size, drift
and inbreeding 2
- So, small population size results in loss of
genetic variation, chance increases in the
frequency of harmful alleles, and inbreeding - Inbreeding results in inbreeding depression,
which further reduces population size, which
further enhances the effect of drift, and also
results in more inbreeding, which results in more
inbreeding depression, which results in further
reductions in population size, etc., etc., etc. - This has been referred to as the extinction
vortex