Title: Nanotechnology http://nano.xerox.com/nano
1Nanotechnologyhttp//nano.xerox.com/nano
- Ralph C. Merkle
- Xerox PARC
- www.merkle.com
2Seehttp//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/talksfor an
index of talks
3Sixth Foresight Conference on Molecular
NanotechnologyNovember 12-15Santa Clara,
CAwww.foresight.org/Conferences
4Manufactured products are made from atoms. The
properties of those products depend on how those
atoms are arranged.
5It matters how atoms are arranged
- Coal
- Sand
- Dirt, water and air
- Diamonds
- Computer chips
- Grass
6Todays manufacturing methods move atoms in great
thundering statistical herds
- Casting
- Grinding
- Welding
- Sintering
- Lithography
7The principles of physics, as far as I can see,
do not speak against the possibility of
maneuvering things atom by atom. It is not
anattempt to violate any laws it is something,
in principle, that can be done but in practice,
it has not been done because we are toobig.
Richard Feynman, 1959
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/feynman.html
8Most interesting structures that are at least
substantial local minima on a potential energy
surface can probably be made one way or another.
Richard Smalley Nobel
Laureate in Chemistry, 1996
9Nanotechnology(a.k.a. molecular manufacturing)
- Fabricate most structures that are specified with
molecular detail and which are consistent with
physical law - Get essentially every atom in the right place
- Inexpensive manufacturing costs (10-50
cents/kilogram)
http//nano.xerox.com/nano
10Terminological caution
- The word nanotechnology has become very
popular. It can be used indiscriminately to
refer to almost any research area where some
dimension is less than a micron (1,000
nanometers) in size. - Example sub-micron lithography
11Possible arrangements of atoms
What we can make today (not to scale)
.
12The goal of molecular nanotechnology a healthy
bite.
.
13Molecular Manufacturing
We dont have molecular manufacturing today. We
must develop fundamentally new capabilities.
.
What we can make today (not to scale)
14- ... the innovator has for enemies all those who
have done well under the old conditions, and
lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under
the new. This coolness arises ... from the
incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in
new things until they have had a long experience
of them. - from The Prince, by Niccolo Machiavelli
15Well start a major project to develop
nanotechnology when we answer yes to three
questions
- Is it feasible?
- Is it valuable?
- Can we do things today to speed its development?
16Products
Products
Core molecular manufacturing capabilities
Products
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Today
Products
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Overview of the development of molecular
nanotechnology
Products
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Products
17Two more fundamental ideas
- Self replication (for low cost)
- Programmable positional control (to make
molecular parts go where we want them to go)
18Von Neumann architecture for a self replicating
system
Universal Computer
Universal Constructor
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/vonNeumann.html
19Drexlers architecture for an assembler
Molecular computer
Molecular constructor
Positional device
Tip chemistry
20Illustration of an assembler
http//www.foresight.org/UTF/Unbound_LBW/chapt_6.h
tml
21- The theoretical concept of machine duplication is
well developed. There are several alternative
strategies by which machine self-replication can
be carried out in a practical engineering setting.
Advanced Automation for Space Missions Proceedings
of the 1980 NASA/ASEE Summer Study
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/selfRepNASA.html
22A C program that prints out an exact copy of
itself
- main()char q34, n10,a"main() char
q34,n10,acsc printf(a,q,a,q,n)c"printf
(a,q,a,q,n)
For more information, see the Recursion
Theorem http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/selfRep.ht
ml
23Complexity of self replicating systems (bits)
C program 808 Von Neumann's universal
constructor 500,000 Internet worm (Robert Morris,
Jr., 1988) 500,000 Mycoplasma capricolum 1,600,0
00 E. Coli 9,278,442 Drexler's
assembler 100,000,000 Human 6,400,000,000
NASA Lunar Manufacturing Facility over
100,000,000,000
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/selfRep.html
24How cheap?
- Potatoes, lumber, wheat and other agricultural
products are examples of products made using a
self replicating manufacturing base. Costs of
roughly a dollar per pound are common. - Molecular manufacturing will make almost any
product for a dollar per pound or less,
independent of complexity. (Design costs,
licensing costs, etc. not included)
25How strong?
- Diamond has a strength-to-weight ratio over 50
times that of steel or aluminium alloy - Structural (load bearing) mass can be reduced by
about this factor - When combined with reduced cost, this will have a
major impact on aerospace applications
26How long?
- The scientifically correct answer is I
dont know - Trends in computer hardware suggest early in the
next century perhaps in the 2010 to 2020 time
frame - Of course, how long it takes depends on what we do
27Developmental pathways
- Scanning probe microscopy
- Self assembly
- Hybrid approaches
28Moving molecules with an SPM (Gimzewski et al.)
http//www.zurich.ibm.com/News/Molecule/
29Self assembled DNA octahedron(Seeman)
http//seemanlab4.chem.nyu.edu/nano-oct.html
30DNA on an SPM tip(Lee et al.)
http//stm2.nrl.navy.mil/1994scie/1994scie.html
31Buckytubes(Tough, well defined)
32Bucky tube glued to SPM tip(Dai et al.)
http//cnst.rice.edu/TIPS_rev.htm
33Building the tools to build the tools
- Direct manufacture of a diamondoid assembler
using existing techniques appears difficult
(stronger statements have been made). - We should be able to build intermediate systems
able to build better systems able to build
diamondoid assemblers.
34Diamond Physical Properties
- Property Diamonds value Comments
- Chemical reactivity Extremely low
- Hardness (kg/mm2) 9000 CBN 4500 SiC 4000
- Thermal conductivity (W/cm-K) 20 Ag 4.3 Cu
4.0 - Tensile strength (pascals) 3.5 x 109
(natural) 1011 (theoretical) - Compressive strength (pascals) 1011 (natural) 5 x
1011 (theoretical) - Band gap (ev) 5.5 Si 1.1 GaAs 1.4
- Resistivity (W-cm) 1016 (natural)
- Density (gm/cm3) 3.51
- Thermal Expansion Coeff (K-1) 0.8 x 10-6 SiO2
0.5 x 10-6 - Refractive index 2.41 _at_ 590 nm Glass 1.4 - 1.8
- Coeff. of Friction 0.05 (dry) Teflon 0.05
- Source Crystallume
35A hydrocarbon bearing
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/bearingProof.html
36A planetary gear
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/gearAndCasing.html
37A proposal for a molecular positional device
38Molecular tools
- Today, we make things at the molecular scale by
stirring together molecular parts and cleverly
arranging things so they spontaneously go
somewhere useful. - In the future, well have molecular hands that
will let us put molecular parts exactly where we
want them, vastly increasing the range of
molecular structures that we can build.
39Synthesis of diamond todaydiamond CVD
- Carbon methane (ethane, acetylene...)
- Hydrogen H2
- Add energy, producing CH3, H, etc.
- Growth of a diamond film.
The right chemistry, but little control over the
site of reactions or exactly what is synthesized.
40A hydrogen abstraction tool
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/Habs/Habs.html
41Some other molecular tools
42A synthetic strategy for the synthesis of
diamondoid structures
- Positional control (6 degrees of freedom)
- Highly reactive compounds (radicals, carbenes,
etc) - Inert environment (vacuum, noble gas) to
eliminate side reactions
43The impact of molecular manufacturingdepends on
whats being manufactured
- Computers
- Space Exploration
- Medicine
- Military
- Energy, Transportation, etc.
44How powerful?
- In the future well pack more computing power
into a sugar cube than the sum total of all the
computer power that exists in the world today - Well be able to store more than 1021 bits in the
same volume - Or more than a billion Pentiums operating in
parallel
45Space
- Launch vehicle structural mass will be reduced by
about a factor of 50 - Cost per pound for that structural mass will be
under a dollar - Which will reduce the cost to low earth orbit by
a factor of better than 1,000 - http//science.nas.nasa.gov/Groups/Nanotechnology/
publications/1997/applications/
46It costs less to launch less
- Light weight computers and sensors will reduce
total payload mass for the same functionality - Recycling of waste will reduce payload mass,
particularly for long flights and permanent
facilities (space stations, colonies)
47- Disease and illness are caused largely by damage
at the molecular and cellular level -
- Todays surgical tools are huge and imprecise
in comparison - http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/
nanotechAndMedicine.html
48- In the future, we will have fleets of surgical
tools that are molecular both in size and
precision. -
- We will also have computers that are much
smaller than a single cell with which to guide
these tools.
49A revolution in medicine
- Today, loss of cell function results in cellular
deterioration - function must be preserved
- With future cell repair systems, passive
structures can be repaired. Cell function can be
restored provided cell structure can be inferred - structure must be preserved
50Cryonics
37º C
37º C
Freeze
Revive
-196º C (77 Kelvins)
Temperature
Time
( 50 to 150 years)
51Clinical trialsto evaluate cryonics
- Select N subjects
- Freeze them
- Wait 100 years
- See if the medical technology of 2100 can indeed
revive them - But what do we tell those who dont expect to
live long enough to see the results?
52Todays choicewould you rather join
- The control group
- (no action required)?
- Or the experimental group
- (contact Alcor www.alcor.org)?
53- Military applications of molecular manufacturing
have even greater potential than nuclear weapons
to radically change the balance of power. - Admiral David E. Jeremiah, USN (Ret)
- Former Vice Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff
- November 9, 1995
http//nano.xerox.com/nanotech/nano4/jeremiahPaper
.html
54Nanotechnology and energy
- The sunshine reaching the earth has almost 40,000
times more power than total world usage. - Molecular manufacturing will produce efficient,
rugged solar cells and batteries at low cost. - Power costs will drop dramatically
55Nanotechnology and the environment
- Manufacturing plants pollute because they use
crude and imprecise methods. - Molecular manufacturing is precise it will
produce only what it has been designed to
produce. - An abundant source of carbon is the excess CO2 in
the air
56- The best way
- to predict the future
- is to invent it.
- Alan Kay