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Bio-economic modelling (Mali, Costa Rica, China, Ethiopia) ... Mali: Response elasticities of introducing a 1 percent fertilizer subsidy(percentage change) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Huisstijltemplate voor beamerpresentaties


1
CURRENT RESEARCH and EXPERTISE AREASDr. Ruerd
Ruben, Associate ProfessorWageningen University,
The NetherlandsDevelopment Economics Group
2
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • Professional Background
  • Msc Development Economics (Free Univrersity
    Amsterdam) - 1980
  • PhD Development Economics (Free University
    Amsterdam) - 1996
  • Advisor Department Agricultural Economics, UNAN
    Nicaragua - 1981-85
  • Staff Land Reform Programme Nicaragua - 1985-88
  • Director Office for Rural Development Studies,
    Costa Rica - 1989-92
  • Research Programme Sustainable Development,
    Wageningen - 1992-96
  • Research Programme on Bio-economic Modelling -
    1996-2001
  • Wageningen-IFPRI Joint Programme on less-favoured
    areas - 2001

3
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • Research Assignment
  • 1. Farm Household Economics
  • resource use decisions
  • welfare and sustainability implications
  • 2. Market Integration
  • land, labour and finance
  • commodity value chains

4
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • Research Topics
  • Bio-economic modelling (Mali, Costa Rica, China,
    Ethiopia)
  • Climate Change Analysis
  • Off-farm employment and Migration (Honduras,
    India, Burkina Faso)
  • Rural credit, savings and investment behaviour
    (East Africa)
  • Agrarian land markets (Nicaragua)
  • International Supply Chains (fish, vegetables,
    fruit)

5
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • Bio-economic Modelling
  • Linking Farm Household Models with Agroecological
    Models
  • Assessment of current and potential technologies
  • Farm Household, Village and Regional Level
  • Mathematical Programming and Econometric Methods
  • Aggregation routines and Simulation procedures
  • (ex ante) Appraisal of Feasible Policy
    Instrument
  • Trade-offs between FHH Welfare and Nutrient/OM
    Balances
  • Policies for win-win scenarios

6
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
7
  • Mali Response elasticities of introducing a 1
    percent fertilizer subsidy(percentage change)
  • Biophysical Farm household
    Regional development
  • Optimization welfare objectives (market
    clearance)
  • WELFARE INDICATORS
  • per capita income 0.15 0.28 0.08
  • food production 0.10 -0.85 -0.49
  • food consumption - 0.01 -0.04
  • off-farm labour 0.00 -9.62 0.00
  • SUSTAINABILITY INDICATORS
  • organic matter balance 0.68 -0.40 0.63
  • nitrogen balance 0.51 -0.94 0.98
  • phosphate balance 0.07 -0.99 10.79
  • INPUT INTENSITY
  • labour per ha 0.09 0.07 0.07
  • PRODUCTION STRUCTURE
  • livestock (no. TLU) 0.00 -0.10 0.03
  • cotton 0.98 5.98 0.32
  • fallow 0.09 -78.75 0.00
  • cereals -0.35 -0.02 -0.01

8
Research Subjects Expertise Areas

Mali Supply Response Estimates
(Changes in Goals due to a 10 change in
Instrument variables) Revenue C-Balance Cot
ton Price increase 5 -1
Fertilizer Price decrease 2 9
TC decrease 2 5
Credit Supply 3 -2
Head tax -2 0 Land Tax -1
1 Source Kuyvenhoven, Ruben Kruseman
(1999)
9
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • Factor Market Dynamics
  • Off / non-farm Employment
  • labour markets and risk management
  • expenditure effects (migration SWC investment)
  • substitution effects
  • Land markets
  • land lease and transfers
  • land titling and farmers risk attitudes
  • Rural Finance
  • savings and credit
  • insurance

10
Research Subjects Expertise Areas
  • International Value Chains (Farmers
    Supermarkets)
  • Food Safety Attributes (consumer demand)
  • Chain integration (production, processing,
    handling)
  • Contract Conditions
  • Consumer Preferences Chain Organization
  • Taste Governance
    Regimes Production
  • Colour Contracts
    Networks Processing
  • Size for timely
    delivery Packaging
  • Freshness of safe
    products Storage
  • Safety Health Transport
  • Environment Retail

11
Transporting the harvest
  • Thanks for your attention
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