Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence to Improve Ukraine’s Retail Market Outlook: Ken Research

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Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence to Improve Ukraine’s Retail Market Outlook: Ken Research

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The retail industry is one of the most dynamic and prosperous industries of Ukraine, contributing 16% to the country’s GDP and ranking third in terms of total foreign investment inflows. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence to Improve Ukraine’s Retail Market Outlook: Ken Research


1
Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence
to Improve Ukraines Retail Market Outlook Ken
Research
2
  • Key Topics Covered in the Report
  • Detailed profile of the Retail Market in Ukraine
  • Consumer demographics, trends and behaviours
  • Historic and forecast retail sales value growth
    in Ukrainian Retail Market
  • Competitive landscape of Ukraines Retail Market
  • Analysis of key distribution channels of
    Ukraines Retail Market
  • Emergence of online retailing in Ukraines Retail
    Market
  • Detailed analysis of changing retail dynamics
    across various product segments

3
Ken Research announced its latest publication on,
The Future of Retailing in Ukraine to 2020
Comprehensive data overview of the market, with
retail sales value and forecasts to 2020, offer
insights on the category and channel trends
within the Ukrainian Retail market.The report
further covers the overall retail sales of
products through four channel groups (Value
Retailers, General Retailers, Specialist
Retailers and Online) which includes 17
individual channels, such as Hypermarkets,
supermarkets and hard-discounters Home
improvement and gardening supplies retailers
Food and drinks specialists Online Convenience
Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations
Department stores Clothing, footwear,
accessories and luxury goods specialists Other
specialist retailers Electrical and electronics
specialists Home furniture and homewares
retailers Value, variety stores and general
merchandise retailers Music, video, book,
stationery and entertainment software
specialists Cash and carries and warehouse
clubs Other general and non-specialist direct
retailers Drug stores and health and beauty
stores Vending machines Duty free retailersThe
analysis of the aforementioned trends has been
done across nine product groups including
Apparel,Accessories, Luggage and Leather Goods
Books, News and Stationery Electrical and
Electronics Food and Grocery Furniture and
Floor Coverings Health and Beauty Home and
Garden Products Music, Video and Entertainment
Software Sports and Leisure Equipment
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  • Economic Environment of Ukraine
  • The economy of Ukraine is an emerging free
    market. The economy has experienced a consistent
    fall in the GDP for a period of 10 years,
    starting 1991 that is following the collapse of
    the Soviet Union. However, as the Ukrainian
    economy began to recover in 2000, with a rapidly
    growing GDP between 2000 and 2008, the growth was
    ceased by the global financial crisis that
    reached Ukraine as the 2008-2009 Ukrainian
    financial crisis. The economy recovered and
    achieved a positive GDP growth rate in Q1 2010,
    but again in 2013, the economy lapsed into
    another severe recession and since then, the
    Ukrainian economy has been suffering from a
    serious downturn.
  • Stringent and outdated labour market regulations
    and lack of labour force due to emigration and
    aging of population, has depressed investment and
    hurt the productivity of all sectors including
    that of the agricultural sector. Ukraine which
    was once known as the breadbasket of Europe, is
    now only a far off memory, thanks to the lack of
    modernization of the Ukrainian agricultural
    sector. The government procurement procedures in
    in Ukraine is biased towards the domestic
    companies, as a result the investors will not
    purchase the agricultural land. Russia-Ukraine
    conflict continues which affects investment flows
    and trade along with the ever increasing number
    of non-performing loans.

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  • Looking at the key economic snapshot of the
    country, Ukraineis the home to 42.8 million
    people. With a GDP of 370.8 billion and a per
    capita income of 8,668, Czech Republic has a
    global ranking of162ndand a regional ranking of
    44th in Europe. The GDP has a negative growth
    rate of 6.8 and a 5 year compounded annual
    growth rate of -0.2. The country has an
    unemployment and inflation rate of 7.7 and 12.1
    respectively.
  • Brief Overview of the Retail Market in Ukraine
  • The per capita retail sales in Ukraine is
    significantly low, lower than that of Russia and
    Western Europe, despite having the 6th largest
    population in Europe. Political instability,
    tough economic environment and strong currency
    devaluation are all factors contributing to
    reduce the consumers purchasing power in
    Ukraine. As a result, the Ukrainian retail
    markets current situation is not very bright. As
    incomes are falling, people are cutting on their
    expenses, even on the essential of goods. As the
    Ukrainians observe rising prices of products and
    services, they economize their purchases and
    limit them to the most necessary products. As a
    result, the sales volume were highly affected
    which was slightly compensated by the rising
    prices.
  • Apart from the aforementioned factors working to
    contract the sales volumes, the falling
    population owing to the separation of Crimea in
    2014 and inactive purchases from the people
    living in the Eastern regions led to a fall in
    the volume of sales in Ukraine.

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  • Coming to the various channels of distribution,
    convenience stores and discounters remain the
    most popular distribution channels. General
    retailers hold the largest share of retail sales
    in 2015, and will continue to lead the market in
    2020. There has been a tremendous increase in the
    quality trading areas by the rising stock of
    modern shopping centres which in turn has
    attracted many well -known international brands
    to the Ukrainian retail market. Online trading is
    another emerging channel of distribution. The
    total turnover of online trading in Ukraine has
    already exceeded USD 1,000 m, and in 2010 and is
    expected to register the fastest growth during
    the forecast period. Hypermarkets, supermarkets
    and hard-discounters recorded the highest channel
    sales value. In the product category, Furniture
    and floor coverings is expected to grow the
    fastest followed by Music, video and
    entertainment software over the next five years.
  • Major Players in the Ukrainian Retail Market
  • The grocery retailers proved to be more
    competitive than their non-grocery counterparts
    as non- grocery products could be economised in
    the time of economic difficulty. As a result, the
    Ukrainian retail market is led by grocery
    retailers.
  • The major food retailers in Ukraine are Fozzy
    group and ATB market which had a major
    competitive advantage due to their nationwide
    presence. Other major food retailers were Metro
    CashCarry, Auchan, Amstor, EKO market and many
    more.

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  • The Ukrainian food retail market is highly
    fragmented with the top 5 retailers holding only
    15 of the market share in 2010. Share of
    unorganized trade such as open markets is still
    very high, accounting for almost 50 of the total
    food retail sales.
  • The major non grocery retailers operating in the
    Ukrainian retail market are Foxtrot, Comfy,
    Eldorado and some international retailers such as
    Yves Rocher, LOccitane and Lush.
  • Ukraines Retail Market Prospects
  • The retail industry is one of the most dynamic
    and prosperous industries of Ukraine,
    contributing 16 to the countrys GDP and ranking
    third in terms of total foreign investment
    inflows. The growth prospects of the Ukrainian
    retail market is dependent on a number of factors
    such as the economic recovery, speed of dispute
    settlement within the country and Europe, return
    of consumer incomes along with the consumer
    confidence.
  • Some of the key factors expected to drive growth
    of the Ukrainian Retail sector are
  • Rising consumer incomes
  • Stable national currency reduced exchange risks
  • Increasing proportion of young population
  • Availability of quality commercial real estate

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  • However, the retail market in Ukraine is also
    subject to certain challenges such as low
    salaries in some part of the country prevents the
    growth of non-grocery retailing, widespread
    employment in the private farm sector supports
    the continued existence of farmers markets and
    restricts the growth of the retail sector in the
    country.
  • To know more on coverage, click on the link
    below
  • https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
    retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-ukrai
    ne/40170-95.html
  • Related Reports
  • https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
    retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-czech
    -republic/40169-95.html
  • https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
    retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-belgi
    um/21551-95.html

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Contact Ken Research Ankur Gupta, Head
Marketing Communications query_at_kenresearch.com
91-124-4230204
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