Title: Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence to Improve Ukraine’s Retail Market Outlook: Ken Research
1Economic Recovery and Rising Consumer Confidence
to Improve Ukraines Retail Market Outlook Ken
Research
2- Key Topics Covered in the Report
- Detailed profile of the Retail Market in Ukraine
- Consumer demographics, trends and behaviours
- Historic and forecast retail sales value growth
in Ukrainian Retail Market - Competitive landscape of Ukraines Retail Market
- Analysis of key distribution channels of
Ukraines Retail Market - Emergence of online retailing in Ukraines Retail
Market - Detailed analysis of changing retail dynamics
across various product segments
3Ken Research announced its latest publication on,
The Future of Retailing in Ukraine to 2020
Comprehensive data overview of the market, with
retail sales value and forecasts to 2020, offer
insights on the category and channel trends
within the Ukrainian Retail market.The report
further covers the overall retail sales of
products through four channel groups (Value
Retailers, General Retailers, Specialist
Retailers and Online) which includes 17
individual channels, such as Hypermarkets,
supermarkets and hard-discounters Home
improvement and gardening supplies retailers
Food and drinks specialists Online Convenience
Stores (including Independents) and Gas Stations
Department stores Clothing, footwear,
accessories and luxury goods specialists Other
specialist retailers Electrical and electronics
specialists Home furniture and homewares
retailers Value, variety stores and general
merchandise retailers Music, video, book,
stationery and entertainment software
specialists Cash and carries and warehouse
clubs Other general and non-specialist direct
retailers Drug stores and health and beauty
stores Vending machines Duty free retailersThe
analysis of the aforementioned trends has been
done across nine product groups including
Apparel,Accessories, Luggage and Leather Goods
Books, News and Stationery Electrical and
Electronics Food and Grocery Furniture and
Floor Coverings Health and Beauty Home and
Garden Products Music, Video and Entertainment
Software Sports and Leisure Equipment
4- Economic Environment of Ukraine
- The economy of Ukraine is an emerging free
market. The economy has experienced a consistent
fall in the GDP for a period of 10 years,
starting 1991 that is following the collapse of
the Soviet Union. However, as the Ukrainian
economy began to recover in 2000, with a rapidly
growing GDP between 2000 and 2008, the growth was
ceased by the global financial crisis that
reached Ukraine as the 2008-2009 Ukrainian
financial crisis. The economy recovered and
achieved a positive GDP growth rate in Q1 2010,
but again in 2013, the economy lapsed into
another severe recession and since then, the
Ukrainian economy has been suffering from a
serious downturn. - Stringent and outdated labour market regulations
and lack of labour force due to emigration and
aging of population, has depressed investment and
hurt the productivity of all sectors including
that of the agricultural sector. Ukraine which
was once known as the breadbasket of Europe, is
now only a far off memory, thanks to the lack of
modernization of the Ukrainian agricultural
sector. The government procurement procedures in
in Ukraine is biased towards the domestic
companies, as a result the investors will not
purchase the agricultural land. Russia-Ukraine
conflict continues which affects investment flows
and trade along with the ever increasing number
of non-performing loans.
5- Looking at the key economic snapshot of the
country, Ukraineis the home to 42.8 million
people. With a GDP of 370.8 billion and a per
capita income of 8,668, Czech Republic has a
global ranking of162ndand a regional ranking of
44th in Europe. The GDP has a negative growth
rate of 6.8 and a 5 year compounded annual
growth rate of -0.2. The country has an
unemployment and inflation rate of 7.7 and 12.1
respectively. - Brief Overview of the Retail Market in Ukraine
- The per capita retail sales in Ukraine is
significantly low, lower than that of Russia and
Western Europe, despite having the 6th largest
population in Europe. Political instability,
tough economic environment and strong currency
devaluation are all factors contributing to
reduce the consumers purchasing power in
Ukraine. As a result, the Ukrainian retail
markets current situation is not very bright. As
incomes are falling, people are cutting on their
expenses, even on the essential of goods. As the
Ukrainians observe rising prices of products and
services, they economize their purchases and
limit them to the most necessary products. As a
result, the sales volume were highly affected
which was slightly compensated by the rising
prices. - Apart from the aforementioned factors working to
contract the sales volumes, the falling
population owing to the separation of Crimea in
2014 and inactive purchases from the people
living in the Eastern regions led to a fall in
the volume of sales in Ukraine.
6- Coming to the various channels of distribution,
convenience stores and discounters remain the
most popular distribution channels. General
retailers hold the largest share of retail sales
in 2015, and will continue to lead the market in
2020. There has been a tremendous increase in the
quality trading areas by the rising stock of
modern shopping centres which in turn has
attracted many well -known international brands
to the Ukrainian retail market. Online trading is
another emerging channel of distribution. The
total turnover of online trading in Ukraine has
already exceeded USD 1,000 m, and in 2010 and is
expected to register the fastest growth during
the forecast period. Hypermarkets, supermarkets
and hard-discounters recorded the highest channel
sales value. In the product category, Furniture
and floor coverings is expected to grow the
fastest followed by Music, video and
entertainment software over the next five years. - Major Players in the Ukrainian Retail Market
- The grocery retailers proved to be more
competitive than their non-grocery counterparts
as non- grocery products could be economised in
the time of economic difficulty. As a result, the
Ukrainian retail market is led by grocery
retailers. - The major food retailers in Ukraine are Fozzy
group and ATB market which had a major
competitive advantage due to their nationwide
presence. Other major food retailers were Metro
CashCarry, Auchan, Amstor, EKO market and many
more.
7- The Ukrainian food retail market is highly
fragmented with the top 5 retailers holding only
15 of the market share in 2010. Share of
unorganized trade such as open markets is still
very high, accounting for almost 50 of the total
food retail sales. - The major non grocery retailers operating in the
Ukrainian retail market are Foxtrot, Comfy,
Eldorado and some international retailers such as
Yves Rocher, LOccitane and Lush. - Ukraines Retail Market Prospects
- The retail industry is one of the most dynamic
and prosperous industries of Ukraine,
contributing 16 to the countrys GDP and ranking
third in terms of total foreign investment
inflows. The growth prospects of the Ukrainian
retail market is dependent on a number of factors
such as the economic recovery, speed of dispute
settlement within the country and Europe, return
of consumer incomes along with the consumer
confidence. - Some of the key factors expected to drive growth
of the Ukrainian Retail sector are - Rising consumer incomes
- Stable national currency reduced exchange risks
- Increasing proportion of young population
- Availability of quality commercial real estate
8- However, the retail market in Ukraine is also
subject to certain challenges such as low
salaries in some part of the country prevents the
growth of non-grocery retailing, widespread
employment in the private farm sector supports
the continued existence of farmers markets and
restricts the growth of the retail sector in the
country. - To know more on coverage, click on the link
below - https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-ukrai
ne/40170-95.html - Related Reports
- https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-czech
-republic/40169-95.html - https//www.kenresearch.com/consumer-products-and-
retail/wholesale-and-retail/future-retailing-belgi
um/21551-95.html
9Contact Ken Research Ankur Gupta, Head
Marketing Communications query_at_kenresearch.com
91-124-4230204