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THE CANDY SHOPPER. Confections is one of the most unshoppable' categories ... Packaged Candy dominates. the Non-Chocolate Segment. Non-Chocolate Segment ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Welcome


1
Welcome to the 2008 ALL CANDY EXPO
Sponsored by
2
US Immediate Consumption Snacking Trends
Jill Manchester Vice President, Immediate
Consumption Kraft Foods, Inc.
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by
3
Consumer Snacking Trends
4
(No Transcript)
5
Important lifestyle trends are drivingImmediate
Consumption Snacking Trends
  • Growing sense of time pressure among consumers
  • Increased stress level
  • More time spend in transit
  • Shifting work patterns
  • Shorter lunch breaks
  • Growth in single person households
  • Spending less time preparing eating foods at
    home

Growing need for MORE CONVENIENCE
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, 2007
6
Changing mealtime attitudes and fragmentation are
driving Immediate Consumption Snacking
Changing mealtime occasions
Evolving the definition and the role of SNACKING
Datamonitor, New Trends in Snacking Drinking
On-The-Go, December 2005
7
This eating behavior is being supported by
expertsand the mass media
8
Immediate Consumption is predicted to increase in
the U.S.
U.S. On-The-Go Eating Drinking Occasions Per
person number of eating/drinking occasions per
year
11.2 Chg.
5.3 Chg.
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, August 2007
9
While men are more regular IC consumers, women
are forecasted to grow their IC consumption
incidence at a higher rate
U.S. On-The-Go Eating Occasions Per person number
of eating occasions per year
3.2 Chg.
7.5 Chg.
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, August 2007
10
Competition for Consumer share of stomach for
snacking is growing
Consumer Identified Snacking Outlets
11
QSR SNACK traffic is up 5 and growing twice as
fast as overall QSR traffic
Quick Service Restaurants Snack Traffic Trends
(000s)
Source The NPD Group/CREST
12
Key Messages
  • Lifestyle trends driving mealtime fragmentation
  • Growing On the Go Snacking Consumption
  • On the Go Snacking Predicted to keep growing
    strong
  • Competition is intensifying - everyone wants
    their fair share of the snacking trend
  • What can we do differently to capture
    this growth opportunity?

13
Snacking Industry Trends
14
The Snacking Universe is big and growing
U.S. Snack Marketplace 76 billion CAGR (03-06)
3.0
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
15
Salty Snacks
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 3.6 2 Yr CAGR 3.5
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
16
Cookies
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 1.1 2 Yr CAGR 1.4
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
17
Crackers
52 wks thru Apr 08 Apr
07
Change 2.9 2 Yr CAGR 3.8
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
18
Nuts
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 4.9 2 Yr CAGR 3.4
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
19
Bars
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 11.0 2 Yr CAGR 8.7
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
20
Meat Snacks
52 wks thru Apr 08 Apr
07
Change -3.7 2 Yr CAGR .2
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
21
U.S. Confectionery Category Trends
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by
22
Key Messages
  • The confection category is highly attractive
  • Largest snacking category
  • Strong growth performance
  • Nearly all households purchase confection
  • Short purchase cycle
  • Category is highly impulsive and decision are
    made quickly
  • Chocolate and gum segments are driving overall
    category growth
  • Opportunities exist to simplify the shopping
    experience

23
Confection is the largestsnack category in the US
U.S. Snack Marketplace 76 billion CAGR (03-06)
3.0
Segments Chocolate Sugar Confection Refreshment -
Gum - Mint
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
24
and is purchased everywhere
Confectionery CategoryRetail Take-Away by COT
Annual 2007
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
25
CMG growth is strong
CMG Category FDMxC Retail Take-Away Trends (B)
4-YR CAGR 3.2
Source IRI/Nielsen
26
with high HH penetration
Latest 52 Week Household Penetration
Source Nielsen HH Panel
27
and short purchase cycle
Latest 52 Week Purchase Cycle (in Days)
Source Nielsen HH Panel
28
Category is highly Impulsive
Percent of Purchase Decision Made In-Store
50 CMG purchased off displays is impulsive
75
60
Brand Decision Not Made
Did not Plan to Buy Category
Source SmartRevenue
29

THE CANDY SHOPPER
  • Confections is one of the most unshoppable
    categories
  • Shoppers shop by usage occasion first then pack
    type, with menu of acceptable brands
  • Shopper spend less than 60 seconds in the
    confection aisle
  • Most purchase decisions are made in store (60)
  • Nearly ΒΌ of shoppers walk away without purchasing
    as they cannot find what they are looking for

30
The consumer decision follows a defined path
  • Chocolate
  • Sugar Confectionery
  • Refreshment

Segment
  • Gift Fine Chocolate
  • Candy Dish
  • Etc.

Usage
  • Laydown Bag
  • Standup Bag
  • Etc.

Packtype
Brand
  • Hersheys
  • Snickers
  • Reeses
  • Butterfinger
  • Etc.

Item Purchase Decision
Source CLASS Study Needscope Churchill Group
Sorensen
31
With high loyalty to segment and occasion
Attribute loyalty consumers substituting to
stay within attribute
Source Sorensen
32
Aisle segmentation and order simplifies shopping
experience
Candy Aisle
Gift Fine Chocolate
Candy Dish
Movie Snack Candy
Fruity Chewy
Gum Mints
Front of the store
Non-chocolate
Chocolate
Routine trip (quick grab)
More careful shopping
Everyday Products
Specialty Products
Source SmartRevenue, Focus Groups
33
Hershey, Masterfoods, and Wrigley are Key
Category Players
Annual 2007 Manufacturer Share FDMxC
Source IRI/Nielsen
34
Chocolate Dominates the Category
FDMxC Segment Shares Annual 2007
Source IRI/Nielsen
35
driving growth along with gum
Confectionery CategoryRetail Take-Away by COT
FY 2007 vs. FY 2003
11.6B
10.2B
4-YR CAGR 3.4 6.9 1.7
(2.8)
Source IRI/Nielsen
36
  • Segment Overview
  • Chocolate

37
Majority of sales are from everyday
Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
3.4 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
38
Instant Consumables and Packaged are the leading
Pack-Types
Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
39
Big Brands dominate
Chocolate Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
500M
Source IRI/Nielsen
40
Premium growth rateexceeds Mainstream or Trade
Up
Chocolate Category by Segment (bn)Retail
Take-Away by COT FY 2007 vs. FY 2003
6.7B
5.4B
3-YR CAGR 5.1 28.2
2.6
Source IRI/Nielsen
41
  • Segment Overview
  • Non-Chocolate

42
Hard and Chewy Candy are maintaining category
strength
Non Chocolate SegmentsRetail Take-Away Trends
1.7 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen FDMxC Annual Data
Source IRI/Nielsen
43
Chewy is the largest segment and growing rapidly
NChoc SegmentCategory Take-Away by Type
NChoc SegmentCategory GROWTH by Type
Source IRI/Nielsen
44
Packaged Candy dominatesthe Non-Chocolate Segment
Non-Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away by
Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
45
Big Brands dominate
Non-Chocolate Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
100M
Source IRI/Nielsen
46
  • Segment Overview
  • Gum

47
Sugar-Free Gum and Functional Gum are driving
growth
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
6.9 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
48
Mint is the largest flavor segment,but Fruit is
driving growth
Gum SegmentChange by Flavor 4YR CAGR
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Flavor
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
49
Sugar Free is big and getting bigger,driving
growth
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Type
Gum SegmentChange by Type 4YR CAGR
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
50
Single Packs continue todominate the Gum Segment
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
51
Big Brands also dominate the Gum Segment
Gum Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
200M
Source IRI/Nielsen
52
  • Segment Overview
  • Mints

53
Sugar-Free mints are over half of the category
but stalling
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
-2.8 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
54
Mint is the largest flavor segment,but it is not
driving growth
Mint SegmentChange by Flavor 4YR CAGR
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away by Flavor
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
55
Dispenser Packs are thepreferred Mint Pack-Type
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
56
The top 5 Mint Franchises Represent 75 of
Segment Volume
Mint Segment Top 5 Franchises (Ms)
100M
Source IRI/Nielsen
57
Summary
  • Develop usage occasion segmented aisle set to
    make it easier for shoppers
  • Drive chocolate segment through focus on big
    brand programming and select premium offerings
  • Capitalize on gum innovation and consumer
    movement to added benefits like sugar free and
    functional benefits, such as whitening
  • Fuel more profitable growth in non-chocolate
    segment through best brand and pack type
    selection
  • Reinvigorate mint growth with a new wave of
    innovation focused on delivering functional needs

58
Thank You
59
US Immediate Consumption Snacking Trends
Jill Manchester Vice President, Immediate
Consumption Kraft Foods, Inc.
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by
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