Title: Welcome
1Welcome to the 2008 ALL CANDY EXPO
Sponsored by
2US Immediate Consumption Snacking Trends
Jill Manchester Vice President, Immediate
Consumption Kraft Foods, Inc.
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by
3Consumer Snacking Trends
4(No Transcript)
5Important lifestyle trends are drivingImmediate
Consumption Snacking Trends
- Growing sense of time pressure among consumers
- Increased stress level
- More time spend in transit
- Shifting work patterns
- Shorter lunch breaks
- Growth in single person households
- Spending less time preparing eating foods at
home
Growing need for MORE CONVENIENCE
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, 2007
6Changing mealtime attitudes and fragmentation are
driving Immediate Consumption Snacking
Changing mealtime occasions
Evolving the definition and the role of SNACKING
Datamonitor, New Trends in Snacking Drinking
On-The-Go, December 2005
7This eating behavior is being supported by
expertsand the mass media
8Immediate Consumption is predicted to increase in
the U.S.
U.S. On-The-Go Eating Drinking Occasions Per
person number of eating/drinking occasions per
year
11.2 Chg.
5.3 Chg.
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, August 2007
9While men are more regular IC consumers, women
are forecasted to grow their IC consumption
incidence at a higher rate
U.S. On-The-Go Eating Occasions Per person number
of eating occasions per year
3.2 Chg.
7.5 Chg.
Datamonitor, The Future of On-The-Go Eating
Drinking Patterns, August 2007
10Competition for Consumer share of stomach for
snacking is growing
Consumer Identified Snacking Outlets
11QSR SNACK traffic is up 5 and growing twice as
fast as overall QSR traffic
Quick Service Restaurants Snack Traffic Trends
(000s)
Source The NPD Group/CREST
12Key Messages
- Lifestyle trends driving mealtime fragmentation
- Growing On the Go Snacking Consumption
- On the Go Snacking Predicted to keep growing
strong - Competition is intensifying - everyone wants
their fair share of the snacking trend - What can we do differently to capture
this growth opportunity?
13Snacking Industry Trends
14The Snacking Universe is big and growing
U.S. Snack Marketplace 76 billion CAGR (03-06)
3.0
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
15Salty Snacks
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 3.6 2 Yr CAGR 3.5
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
16Cookies
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 1.1 2 Yr CAGR 1.4
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
17Crackers
52 wks thru Apr 08 Apr
07
Change 2.9 2 Yr CAGR 3.8
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
18Nuts
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 4.9 2 Yr CAGR 3.4
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
19Bars
52 wks thru Apr 08
Apr 07
Change 11.0 2 Yr CAGR 8.7
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
20Meat Snacks
52 wks thru Apr 08 Apr
07
Change -3.7 2 Yr CAGR .2
Nielsen 3 outlet WM Syndicated Summary 52 w/e
4/19/08
21U.S. Confectionery Category Trends
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by
22Key Messages
- The confection category is highly attractive
- Largest snacking category
- Strong growth performance
- Nearly all households purchase confection
- Short purchase cycle
- Category is highly impulsive and decision are
made quickly - Chocolate and gum segments are driving overall
category growth - Opportunities exist to simplify the shopping
experience
23Confection is the largestsnack category in the US
U.S. Snack Marketplace 76 billion CAGR (03-06)
3.0
Segments Chocolate Sugar Confection Refreshment -
Gum - Mint
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
24and is purchased everywhere
Confectionery CategoryRetail Take-Away by COT
Annual 2007
Source Data Monitor 2006 U.S. all channels
25CMG growth is strong
CMG Category FDMxC Retail Take-Away Trends (B)
4-YR CAGR 3.2
Source IRI/Nielsen
26with high HH penetration
Latest 52 Week Household Penetration
Source Nielsen HH Panel
27and short purchase cycle
Latest 52 Week Purchase Cycle (in Days)
Source Nielsen HH Panel
28Category is highly Impulsive
Percent of Purchase Decision Made In-Store
50 CMG purchased off displays is impulsive
75
60
Brand Decision Not Made
Did not Plan to Buy Category
Source SmartRevenue
29 THE CANDY SHOPPER
- Confections is one of the most unshoppable
categories - Shoppers shop by usage occasion first then pack
type, with menu of acceptable brands - Shopper spend less than 60 seconds in the
confection aisle - Most purchase decisions are made in store (60)
- Nearly ΒΌ of shoppers walk away without purchasing
as they cannot find what they are looking for
30The consumer decision follows a defined path
- Chocolate
- Sugar Confectionery
- Refreshment
Segment
- Gift Fine Chocolate
- Candy Dish
- Etc.
Usage
- Laydown Bag
- Standup Bag
- Etc.
Packtype
Brand
- Hersheys
- Snickers
- Reeses
- Butterfinger
- Etc.
Item Purchase Decision
Source CLASS Study Needscope Churchill Group
Sorensen
31With high loyalty to segment and occasion
Attribute loyalty consumers substituting to
stay within attribute
Source Sorensen
32Aisle segmentation and order simplifies shopping
experience
Candy Aisle
Gift Fine Chocolate
Candy Dish
Movie Snack Candy
Fruity Chewy
Gum Mints
Front of the store
Non-chocolate
Chocolate
Routine trip (quick grab)
More careful shopping
Everyday Products
Specialty Products
Source SmartRevenue, Focus Groups
33Hershey, Masterfoods, and Wrigley are Key
Category Players
Annual 2007 Manufacturer Share FDMxC
Source IRI/Nielsen
34Chocolate Dominates the Category
FDMxC Segment Shares Annual 2007
Source IRI/Nielsen
35driving growth along with gum
Confectionery CategoryRetail Take-Away by COT
FY 2007 vs. FY 2003
11.6B
10.2B
4-YR CAGR 3.4 6.9 1.7
(2.8)
Source IRI/Nielsen
36- Segment Overview
- Chocolate
37Majority of sales are from everyday
Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
3.4 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
38Instant Consumables and Packaged are the leading
Pack-Types
Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
39Big Brands dominate
Chocolate Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
500M
Source IRI/Nielsen
40Premium growth rateexceeds Mainstream or Trade
Up
Chocolate Category by Segment (bn)Retail
Take-Away by COT FY 2007 vs. FY 2003
6.7B
5.4B
3-YR CAGR 5.1 28.2
2.6
Source IRI/Nielsen
41- Segment Overview
- Non-Chocolate
42Hard and Chewy Candy are maintaining category
strength
Non Chocolate SegmentsRetail Take-Away Trends
1.7 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen FDMxC Annual Data
Source IRI/Nielsen
43Chewy is the largest segment and growing rapidly
NChoc SegmentCategory Take-Away by Type
NChoc SegmentCategory GROWTH by Type
Source IRI/Nielsen
44Packaged Candy dominatesthe Non-Chocolate Segment
Non-Chocolate SegmentRetail Take-Away by
Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
45Big Brands dominate
Non-Chocolate Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
100M
Source IRI/Nielsen
46 47Sugar-Free Gum and Functional Gum are driving
growth
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
6.9 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
48Mint is the largest flavor segment,but Fruit is
driving growth
Gum SegmentChange by Flavor 4YR CAGR
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Flavor
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
49Sugar Free is big and getting bigger,driving
growth
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Type
Gum SegmentChange by Type 4YR CAGR
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
50Single Packs continue todominate the Gum Segment
Gum SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
51Big Brands also dominate the Gum Segment
Gum Segment Top 10 Franchises (Ms)
200M
Source IRI/Nielsen
52 53Sugar-Free mints are over half of the category
but stalling
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away Trends
-2.8 CAGR
Source IRI/Nielsen
54Mint is the largest flavor segment,but it is not
driving growth
Mint SegmentChange by Flavor 4YR CAGR
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away by Flavor
17
Source IRI/Nielsen
55Dispenser Packs are thepreferred Mint Pack-Type
Mint SegmentRetail Take-Away by Pack-type
Source IRI/Nielsen
56The top 5 Mint Franchises Represent 75 of
Segment Volume
Mint Segment Top 5 Franchises (Ms)
100M
Source IRI/Nielsen
57Summary
- Develop usage occasion segmented aisle set to
make it easier for shoppers - Drive chocolate segment through focus on big
brand programming and select premium offerings - Capitalize on gum innovation and consumer
movement to added benefits like sugar free and
functional benefits, such as whitening - Fuel more profitable growth in non-chocolate
segment through best brand and pack type
selection - Reinvigorate mint growth with a new wave of
innovation focused on delivering functional needs
58Thank You
59US Immediate Consumption Snacking Trends
Jill Manchester Vice President, Immediate
Consumption Kraft Foods, Inc.
Carolyn HendriksmaSr. Director, U.S. Insights
Advanced Analytics The Hershey Company
Sponsored by