FDRs 100 Days

1
FDRs 100 Days
2
Annual Success Rate
First year of new administration
3
Honeymoon, 1961-2001

• Success in Congress, first 100 days
• Baseline 37
• Inaugural year adds 13
• Unified government adds 26
• Pre-1974 Presidency adds 14
• Public approval adds 1 to success rate for every
  increase of 5 in approval ratings

4
Pivotal Politics
Liberal
Conservative
F
M
V
P
Filibuster pivot
Veto pivot
President
Median voter
5
Pivotal Politics
2/3 legislators
1/3 legislators
Liberal
Conservative
F
M
V
P
Filibuster pivot
Veto pivot
President
Median voter
6
Pivotal Politics
3/5 legislators
2/5 legislators
Liberal
Conservative
F
M
V
P
Filibuster pivot
Veto pivot
President
Median voter
7
Pivotal Politics
Liberal
Conservative
F
M
V
P
SQ
8
Pivotal Politics
Conservative
Liberal
F
M
V
P
SQ
B
9
Pivotal Politics
Conservative
Liberal
F
M
V
P
SQ
B
10
NeustadtPresidential power is the power to
persuade!
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Neustadts Model
Pre-presidential requisites
On the job performance
Aim
Effective Public Policy
A sense of direction A feel for, love of, and
sensitivity to power High self-esteem,
self-confidence Secure experienced politician
with a sense of perspective
Astute use of formal powers and other strategic
vantage points Washington professional
reputation Public prestige or popularity
Shrewdness in persuading, bargaining, educating
and mapping backwards on his policy aims
12
Executive Proclamations
13
Orders Proclamations
14
Executive Orders
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Executive Orders
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Orders by Subject, 1945-1989
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National Security Directives