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Kenneth L. Beckman

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The cushion gas requirement for a depleted field generally averages around fifty percent. ... 'sticker price' is substantially more than cost-plus arrangements. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Kenneth L. Beckman


1
Natural Gas Storage Planning, Feasibility, and
Implementation
Presented by Kenneth L. Beckman International
Gas Consulting Society of Petroleum Engineers
(SPE) Pontiac, IL March 5, 2009
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  • Storage Planning Questions
  • Who?
  • Whos doing storage planning? Do current storage
    planners differ from those who planned storage
    development in the past?
  • How?
  • How do they plan for storage now? Do they use
    different tools?
  • What?
  • What types of storage are being planned?
  • When?
  • Macro view Is more/less storage being planned
    than in the past? Micro view Has the timing of
    storage planning and implementation changed?
  • Why?
  • Why plan for any more storage?

8
  • Who Plans Storage Past
  • For the majority of the industrys history,
    underground gas storage in the U.S. has been
    planned and developed by transmission pipelines
    or Local Distribution Companies (LDCs) as part of
    their utility function.
  • The storage developed by these entities was a
    cost-of-service function that was bundled in the
    rates and fees reviewed and authorized by their
    jurisdictional agencies.
  • With little or no financial incentive to minimize
    planning and construction time, storage
    development under these entities was methodical
    and measured.

9
  • Who Plans Storage Current
  • During the past 15 years, third-party developers
    have become the leaders of storage development.
  • Storage rates have migrated from cost-of-service
    to market-based rates.
  • With market-based rates, the storage developer
    assumes all of the risk of obtaining an
    acceptable storage fee for their service and rate
    of return for the project.
  • Consequently, the storage developer attempts to
    minimize the time and costs from concept
    inception to the storage in-service date.
  • However, the storage developer must make sure
    that all of the underlying assumptions of the
    project, ie capital expenditures, market demand,
    geo-technical promise, regulatory process, etc.,
    are positive since the developer is assuming all
    of the projects viability risk.

10
  • How to Plan Storage
  • As in the past, storage is planned to meet an
    anticipated demand and storage development still
    takes a substantial amount of time from project
    conception to the first in-service date.
  • The tools for planning storage have gone, and
    continue to go, through major enhancements.
    Originally, storage planning utilized pencil,
    paper, and calculators to chart the costs and
    progress of the permitting and construction of a
    storage project.
  • With the advent of the personal computer, the
    planning functions migrated to an electronic
    format using generalized spreadsheets and
    timeline software.
  • Currently, the planning functions are most often
    incorporated into specialize modules and computer
    programs that are designed solely for project
    planning. This allows for much more detailed
    planning, tracking of activities and costs,
    enhanced control, and reporting of the project.

11
  • Storage Planning Considerations
  • For a storage development to be successful, the
    developer must plan and implement the activities
    associated with the following categories
  • CommercialDemand and rates
  • Geo-technicalReservoir or salt capability
  • FinancialCredit-worthy customers as well as
    strong equity
  • RegulatoryOversight acceptance
  • TechnicalConstruction risk

12
  • Types of Storage Being Planned
  • Because of limitations in geology and technology,
    there still are only a few general categories of
    natural gas storage
  • Underground Gas Storage (UGS)
  • Depleted Reservoirs
  • Aquifers
  • Caverns
  • Surface Storage
  • LNG
  • Propane
  • Propane-Air

13
Storage Facility Types Defined (Pt 1)
Depleted Reservoirs Depleted oil and gas fields
are the most prevalent storage medium.
Structural fields have created a hydrocarbon
containment through mechanical deformation,
whether by the folding or faulting of rock
formations. Stratigraphic fields create
containment by material changes in successive
layers. Reef fields have been created within
preserved coral reefs from ancient seas. The
cushion gas requirement for a depleted field
generally averages around fifty
percent. Aquifers Aquifers are porous and
permeable water-bearing rock formations offering
either structural or stratigraphic trapping
mechanisms. Aquifer storage is the second most
prevalent type of storage, with some very large
fields located in the upper midwestern U.S.
Their primary drawback for use as a natural gas
storage facility is the cushion gas requirement,
which can be as high as eighty percent of the
total gas volume. In addition, long development
times, typically about five years, are generally
required in order to test and characterize the
trap for suitability for storage. Aquifer
storage is typically slightly more expensive than
depleted reservoir storage to develop and use,
due to the higher base gas and operating cost
requirements.
14
Storage Facility Types Defined (Pt 2)
Caverns Caverns are mined or leached hollow
spaces underground, and include salt, either in
bedded salt formations or in salt domes, or
mechanically competent rock caverns, including
one former coal mine. Caverns are excellent for
cycling applications since they operate as
pressure vessels. Cushion gas requirements are
generally lowest for these facilities, averaging
about thirty-three percent of the total gas
volume. In addition, the physical development
time for these facilities is typically one to two
years. The primary disadvantage is the higher
cost, both for development and to use. Higher
user costs can be mitigated by using the caverns
flexibility for multiple cycles. Surface
Facilities Surface storage facilities include
LNG, Propane, and Propane-air. The capacity is
typically sufficient for five to fifteen days of
needle-peak shaving. The advantage is the
on-site availability of the natural gas. The
disadvantages are the high cost to develop. In
addition, these facilities have limited capacity,
ranging anywhere from 0.5 to 2.0 Bcf.
15
  • Types of Storage Being Planned
  • In the past, utilities and LDCs were most often
    satisfying seasonal storage demand.
    Consequently, single-cycle depleted reservoirs
    and aquifer storage were the vast majority of
    storage facility designs.
  • As storage development has migrated to
    independent or third-party developers and
    market-based rate systems, and with the advent of
    the NYMEX Gas Futures trading market, the
    emphasis has shifted from the seasonal storage to
    the high deliverability storage facilities (read
    multi-cycle).
  • Currently, the demand is for multi-cycle storage
    facilities with the ability to capture daily, if
    not hourly, price arbitrage. Consequently, new
    storage development is focused either on cavern
    storage or reservoir with significant compression
    investment and multiple horizontal wells.

16
  • When To Plan For Storage The Planning Schedule
  • Pre-public Activity
  • Geological/Technical Analysis
  • Feasibility Study
  • Market Study
  • Public Activity
  • Commercial Assess Market Demand by conducting an
    Open Season
  • Local Support Development
  • Environmental
  • Regulatory file the necessary applications with
    the appropriate jurisdictional agencies
  • Financing
  • Construction

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  • Storage Development Minimizing the Cost
  • Internalizing specific procedures, processes, and
    development tasks, such as procurement
    responsibilities, can reduce the cost of
    contractors.
  • Risk Cost. Higher risk equates to higher
    costs. By assuming more of the project risk, a
    developer can mitigate their third-party costs.
    With Lump Sum/Turnkey/EPC contracts sticker
    price is substantially more than cost-plus
    arrangements.
  • Long lag times between the bid deadline and the
    commencement of construction increases
    uncertainty and risk, which translates to higher
    costs to offset the risk. Efficient project
    management decreases overall construction time
    and lowers risk and costs.

19
  • Geological Engineering Cost Issues
  • Avoid the Penny Wise-Pound Foolish syndrome
    concerning engineering costs. The more
    engineering data obtained early in the
    development, the better the project planning
    phase and the less risk later in the project.
  • Avoid untested/experimental/cutting edge
    technologies if possible. Tried-and-true
    methods, although not as flashy or as newsworthy,
    are easier to plan, cost, and implement.
  • Location and geological opportunity can enhance
    each other. Smaller reservoirs that can be
    cycled at or near multiple transmission pipelines
    are more desirable.
  • Avoid locations that are public-sensitive and
    that will present a NIMBY challenge, such as
    trying to build a storage facility under a Sierra
    Club regional office. These sites will entail
    longer legal procedures, higher costs, and face
    the increased probability of a failed development.

20
  • Conclusions
  • Storage development will benefit from reduced
    steel costs, declining rig rates, reduced base
    gas cost, and potentially similar saving in other
    project capital costs.
  • Assuming storage rates remain constant (i.e.
    volatility remains constant) storage development
    should again be a profitable undertaking for all
    types of developer.
  • Vendor and developer collaboration will reduce
    cost uncertainty, but the key issues remain
    detailed planning and early engineering to
    minimize change orders.
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