Energy

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1 Energy
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1 QBtu
40 1000 MW Power Plants
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1970
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75
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www.open.ac.uk
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2012
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CRW Combustible Renewables Waste
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2 Climate Change
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Source US National Ocean and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) / UK Climate Research
Institute
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Source NASA
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(6 degC)
(1.8 degC)
Source UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
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Image by NOAA
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Image by NOAA
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Is There Still Time to Avoid Dangerous
Anthropogenic Interference with Global
Climate? Dr. James E. Hansen Director, NASA
Goddard Institute for Space Studies December 6,
2005
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Warming of more than 10C above todays level
will make the Earth warmer than it has been in a
million years.
Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS
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Business-as-usual, with fossil fuel CO2
emissions continuing to increase will mean an
additional warming of 20C to 30C this century and
will make the Earth a different planet.
Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS
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At 20C to 30C the new equililibrium sea level is
approximately 25 meters (80 feet) higher than
today. Real world data suggest sea level changes
in centuries rather than milenia.
Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS
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Action must be prompt, otherwise CO2- producing
infrastructure will be built within a decade that
will make it impractical to keep further warming
under 10C.
Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS
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I refer especially to the large number of
coal-fired power plants that China, the U.S. and
India are planning to build
Dr. James Hansen, NASA GISS
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New Haven
Montauk
New York City
Long Beach
Atlantic City
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
Wildwood
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New Haven
Montauk
New York City
Long Beach
Sea Level 1M
Atlantic City
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
Wildwood
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New Haven
Montauk
New York City
Long Beach
Sea Level 6M
Atlantic City
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
Wildwood
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Dover
Ocean City
Hampton
Virginia Beach
Norfolk
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Dover
Ocean City
Hampton
Virginia Beach
Sea Level 1M
Norfolk
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Dover
Ocean City
Hampton
Virginia Beach
Sea Level 6M
Norfolk
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Wilmington
Myrtle Beach
Charleston
Mt. Pleasant
Hilton Head
Savannah
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Wilmington
Myrtle Beach
Charleston
Mt. Pleasant
Hilton Head
Sea Level 1M
Savannah
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Wilmington
Myrtle Beach
Charleston
Mt. Pleasant
Hilton Head
Sea Level 6M
Savannah
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Jacksonville
Panama City
Daytona Beach
St. Petersburg
Fort Meyers
Ft. Lauderdale
Miami
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Jacksonville
Panama City
Daytona Beach
St. Petersburg
Fort Meyers
Ft. Lauderdale
Miami
Sea Level 1M
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Jacksonville
Panama City
Daytona Beach
St. Petersburg
Fort Meyers
Ft. Lauderdale
Miami
Sea Level 6M
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Baton Rouge
Lake Charles
Beaumont
New Orleans
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Baton Rouge
Lake Charles
Beaumont
New Orleans
Sea Level 1M
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Baton Rouge
Lake Charles
Beaumont
New Orleans
Sea Level 6M
Weiss and Overpeck, University of Arizona
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Source Energy Information Administration
Statistics (Architecture 2030)
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BUILDINGS 48
TRANSPORTATION 27
INDUSTRY 25
Source Energy Information Administration
Statistics (Architecture 2030)
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Source Energy Information Administration
Statistics (Architecture 2030)
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Source Energy Information Administration
Statistics (Architecture 2030)
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20,000,000 new mini-power plants over the
next 20 years
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Today, architecture, planning and building
design must rapidly transform.
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Image by Department of the Interior
1.75 billion sq. ft.
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5 billion sq. ft.
Image by NOAA
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5 billion sq. ft.
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B SF
new
2035
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2030 0Challenge
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1. New building project, development and major
renovation meet a fossil fuel energy-consumptio
n performance standard of 50 of the regional
(or country) average for that building type.  
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2. That at a minimum an equal amount of
existing building area be renovated to use 50
of the fossil fuel energy they currently
consume.
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3. New Buildings - 50 2010 60 2015 70 2020
80 2025 90 2030 - Carbon Neutral (no fossil
fuel energy to operate)
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How can we meet the 2030 0Challenge?
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1. design innovation passive solar
heating passive cooling daylighting
siting building shape, color and
orientation fenestration location, size and
shape shading natural ventilation materials /
properties building type / density / smart
growth pedestrian and transit oriented
development landscaping / microclimate
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2. add technology solar hot water solar
photovoltaics wind microturbines geothermal
biomass moveable insulation mechanized
shading high efficiency systems
appliances energy management systems
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3. Purchase green renewable energy or
certified green renewable energy credits (1/5
max.) wind solar geothermal biomass
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Mazria Inc.
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Mazria Inc.
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Mazria Inc.
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Mazria Inc.
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Mazria Inc.
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Craig Cambell
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AIA ADOPTS THE 2030 CHALLENGE
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US Conference of Mayors Adopts the 2030
Challenge
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Professional Schools 0Challenge
THE 2010 IMPERATIVE
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1. Beginning in 2007 all projects be designed
to engage the environment in a way that
dramatically reduces or eliminates the need for
fossil fuels
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2. By 2010 Achieve complete ecological
literacy in professional design education
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• 3. By 2010
• Achieve a carbon neutral design school campus
• implement sustainable design strategies
• generate on-site renewable power
• purchase renewable energy and/or renewable
  energy credits
• (RECs / Green Tags)

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