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Time value of money calculations quantify an intuitive idea:

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Title: Time value of money calculations quantify an intuitive idea:


1
Time Value of Money
  • Time value of money calculations quantify an
    intuitive idea
  • It is better to receive a sum money of money now
    than the same sum of money later.
  • It is better to pay a sum of money later than the
    same sum of money now.

2
Time Value of Money
  • The mathematics
  • A present amount (P) growing at r per period for
    n periods will grow to a future amount (F) given
    by the following formula
  • F P (1 r)n

3
Time Value of Money
  • The notation
  • The term in brackets is the future value factor
    and is available in tables, financial
    calculators, and Excel functions.
  • FV, n, r (1 r)n

4
Time Value of Money
  • Suppose you have 10,000 to invest for five years
    and will earn 10 per period.
  • The initial amount is known as the present value
  • The amount the investment will accumulate to is
    known as the future value

5
Time Value of Money
  • When the present value is known, we can calculate
    the future value.
  • Example how much will the investment be worth in
    five years?
  • FV 10,000 FV, n5, r10
  • 10,000 1.6105 16,105

6
Time Value of Money
7
Time Value of Money
  • Periodic payments of a constant amount are known
    as annuities
  • Example suppose you invest 10,000 per year for
    three years to earn 10 per year.

8
Time Value of Money
  • The future value of the investment will depend on
    whether the payments are made at the beginning or
    end of the year.
  • An annuity with end of period payments is known
    as an annuity in arrears (or an ordinary
    annuity).
  • An annuity with beginning of period payments is
    known as an annuity in advance.

9
Time Value of Money
  • For an ordinary annuity
  • F 10,000 FV, n2, r10
  • 10,000 FV, n1, r10
  • 10,000 FV, n0, r10
  • (10,000 1.2100) (10,000 1.1000)
    (10,000 1.0000) 33,100

10
Time Value of Money
  • Future value factors are available for annuities.
    The problem can be expressed as
  • F 10,000 FVA, n3, r10
  • 10,000 3.3100
  • 33,100

11
Time Value of Money
  • End of period payments

12
Time Value of Money
  • For an annuity in advance
  • F 10,000 FV, n3, r10
  • 10,000 FV, n2, r10
  • 10,000 FV, n1, r10
  • (10,000 1.3310) (10,000 1.2100)
    (10,000 1.1000) 36,410

13
Time Value of Money
  • To find the future value of an annuity in advance
    using tables for annuities in arrears
  • Look up the factor for (n1) periods and subtract
    1. For the previous example
  • F 10,000 (FVA, n4, r10) 1
  • 10,000 4.6410 1
  • 36,410

14
Time Value of Money
  • Beginning of period payments

15
Time Value of Money
  • When the future value is known, we can solve for
    the present value.
  • The mathematics
  • P F / (1r)n
  • The notation
  • P F PV, n, r

16
Time Value of Money
  • Example how much do we have to invest today at
    10 in order to have 16,105 in 5 years?
  • PV 16,105 PV, n5, r10
  • 16,105 .6209 10,000

17
Time Value of Money
  • We often need to calculate the present value of
    an annuity
  • Example you will need to spend 10,000 per year
    for three years. How much must you deposit into a
    fund earning interest at 10 to provide for these
    future expenditures?

18
Time Value of Money
  • For an ordinary annuity (end of period payments
  • P 10,000 PV, n1, r10
  • 10,000 PV, n2, r10
  • 10,000 PV, n3, r10
  • (10,000 .9091) (10,000 .8264)
    (10,000 .7513) 24,869

19
Time Value of Money
  • End of period payments would require an initial
    deposit of 24,869.

20
Time Value of Money
  • For an annuity in advance
  • P 10,000 PV, n0, r10
  • 10,000 PV, n1, r10
  • 10,000 PV, n2, r10
  • (10,000 1.0000) (10,000 .9091)
    (10,000 .8264) 27,355

21
Time Value of Money
  • Beginning of period payments would require an
    initial deposit of 27,355

22
Time Value of Money
  • To find the present value of an annuity in
    advance using tables for annuities in arrears
  • Look up the factor for (n-1) periods and add 1.
    For the previous example
  • P 10,000 (PVA, n2, r10) 1
  • 10,000 1.7355 1
  • 27,355

23
Time Value of Money
  • Time value of money calculations are based on the
    mathematics of compound growth.
  • The present value and future value are just the
    values of the cash flows at the beginning and
    end of the period of growth, respectively.

24
Time Value of Money
  • Solving time value of money problems
  • Identify timing and amount of cash inflows and
    outflows, e.g., investment and returns, borrowing
    and repayment.
  • Select a convenient point in time and set the
    value of the inflows equal to the value of the
    outflows.
  • Solve for the unknown.

25
Exercise 1a
  • The estimated current annual cost of attending
    TCU as an undergraduate student is, according to
    the TCU website, 37,380. Suppose you are the
    proud parent of a newborn daughter who will
    attend TCU in 18 years and the annual cost of
    attending TCU increases by 8 per year.

26
Exercise 1a
  • What will the annual cost amount to when your
    daughter is ready to start her freshman year at
    TCU?

27
Exercise 1a
  • F 37,380 FV, n18, r8
  • 37,380 3.9960 149,371
  • Answer it will cost 149,371 for your daughters
    freshman year at TCU if the cost increases 8 per
    year.

28
Exercise 1b
  • Suppose you can write a check today and deposit
    it into a savings account earning 6 per year to
    fully pay for your daughters freshman year of
    college. What is the amount of the check you need
    to write?

29
Exercise 1b
  • P 149,371 PV, n18, r6
  • 149,371 .3503 52,331
  • Answer 52,331 deposited in an account earning
    6 per year will pay for the expected cost of
    your daughters freshman year at TCU.

30
Exercise 1c
  • Suppose instead that you will make equal annual
    deposits each year on your daughters birthday
    into the savings account. You want the balance in
    the account to equal the expected cost of your
    daughters freshman year at TCU. If the fund
    earns 6 per year, what is the amount of the
    equal annual deposits?

31
Exercise 1c
  • Solved as a PV problem
  • 52,331 A PVA, n18, r6
  • A 10.8276
  • A 52,324/10.8276 4,833

32
Exercise 1c
  • Solved as a FV problem
  • 149,371 A FVA, n18, r6
  • A 30.9057
  • A 149,371/30.9057 4,833
  • Answer 4,833 per year deposited into an account
    earning 6 will pay for your daughters freshman
    year at TCU.

33
Exercise 1c
34
Exercise 2
  • You have your eye on a new BMW coupe that costs
    50,000. Suppose you put 10,000 down and finance
    the rest at an annual rate of 12 (1 per month).
    Calculate the monthly payment on a 4-year and
    5-year loan.

35
Exercise 2
  • 48 month loan
  • 40,000 A PVA, n48, r1
  • A 37.9740
  • A 40,000/37.9740 1,053.35
  • On a 48 month loan, the monthly payment will be
    1,053.35.

36
Exercise 2
  • 60 month loan
  • 40,000 A PVA, n60, r1
  • A 44.9550
  • A 40,000/44.9550 889.78
  • On a 60 month loan, the monthly payment will be
    889.78.

37
Exercise 3a
  • You have the opportunity to invest in a security
    that will pay the following future cash flows
    2,500 every six months for 5 years and 100,000
    at the end of 5 years. You are willing to invest
    provided that you will earn a 6 annual return,
    compounded semi-annually (3 every six months).

38
Exercise 3a
  • What is the maximum amount you would be willing
    to pay for this security?

39
Exercise 3a
  • P 2,500 PVA, n10, r3 100,000 PV,
    n10, r3
  • P (2,500 8.5302) (100,000 .7441)
  • 95,734.90
  • Answer investing 95,734.90 in this security
    would produce a return of 6.

40
Exercise 3b
  • Suppose instead that you are willing to invest
    provided that you will earn a 4 annual return,
    compounded semi-annually (2 every six months).
    What is the maximum amount you would be willing
    to pay for this security?

41
Exercise 3b
  • P 2,500 PVA, n10, r2 100,000 PV,
    n10, r2
  • P (2,500 8.9826) (100,000 .8203)
  • 104,491.29
  • Investing 104,491.29 in this security would
    produce a 4 annual return.

42
Exercise 4
  • An investment opportunity offers the following
    future cash flows 5,000 at the end of year 1,
    12,000 at the end of year 2, and 8,000 at the
    end of year 3. The cost of this opportunity,
    payable today is 20,000. Your company has more
    than 20,000 to invest but management insists on
    earning at least an 8 return on its investment.
    Should you take this opportunity?

43
Exercise 4
  • If PV _at_ 8 is greater than 20,000, this project
    will earn more than an 8 return.
  • P 5,000 PV, n1, r8
  • 12,000 PV, n2, r8
  • 8,000 PV, n3, r8
  • P (5,000 .9259) (12,000 .8573) (8,000
    .7938) 21,268
  • Since the PV of the future cash flows at 8 will
    exceed the cost of the investment, this
    investment will earn more than the required 8
    return.

44
Exercise 5
  • TXU management estimates that it will cost 1
    billion to decommission the Comanche Peak nuclear
    power plant at the end of its useful life (36
    years). The Nuclear Regulatory Commission
    requires that TXU establish a fund to pay for the
    decommissioning. What is the required payment if
    TXU deposits an equal annual amount into a fund
    earning 4 at the end of each year?

45
Exercise 5
  • 1,000 million A FVA, n36 r4
  • A 77.5983
  • A 1,000 million/77.5983 12.9 million
  • Answer an annual deposit of 12.9 million into
    the decommissioning fund will pay for the
    expected cost of decommissioning Comanche Peak.
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