Title: Marine biology and geochemistry in Earth System Models
1Marine biology and geochemistry in Earth System
Models Andrew Watson School of Environmental
Science University of East Anglia Norwich NR4
7TJ UK
2Major effects of marine biology on the Earth
system.
- Biological pump for atmospheric CO2
- - sets natural atmospheric CO2 on time scales 102
105 years. - Sulphur gas impact on cloud albedo via CCN
production. - Production of sediments carbonate sink and
organic carbon sink. - Major influence on atmospheric CO2 and O2 over
millions of years.
3Why do you need biology and geochemistry in earth
system models?
- Studies of the long-term habitability of the
earth - Faint young sun
- major glaciations
- Sudden warmings
- Response to major impact events
4(No Transcript)
5The Dim young sun evolution of atmosphere and
solar output
time
6Long term (gt105 year) concentrations of
atmospheric CO2, O2, CH4 etc are set by
biota-geochemical interactions.
7Major glaciations
- Some (or all?) may be related to changes in
greenhouse gases, driven by biological change.
8A Neoproterozoic Snowball Earth?
9Why do you need marine biology and geochemistry
in earth system models?
- Studies of the long-term habitability of the earth
- The Quaternary climate the classic Earth system
problem. - CO2 changes are largely ocean-driven.
- Cannot be correctly modelled without
representation of - short-term processes (e.g. air-sea exchange
- Long-term processes (sedimentary accumulation and
dissolution).
10Vostok core proxies
CO2 controlled by ocean chemistry,
biology,circulation?
Deuterium in ice proxy for local temperature
Methanesourced from wetlands?
Atmospheric dust signal leads other indicators
Sea-salt sodium proxy for wind strength?
Atmospheric d18O proxy for biosphere productivity
?
The driver? Summertime insolation, N. hemisphere
Source Petit, J.R. et al., 1999. Nature, 399
429-436.
11Why do you need marine biology and geochemistry
in earth system models?
- Studies of the long-term habitability of the
earth
- The Quaternary climate the classic Earth system
problem.
- Short term (100 year) feedbacks on global
change
12Possible Marine biological effects on carbon
uptake, next 100 years.
Process Effect on CO2 uptake
- Iron fertilisation or change in atmospheric iron
supply. - NO3 fertilisation
- pH change mediates against calcite-precipitating
organisms - Reduction in overturning circulation interaction
with nutrient utilisation - Other unforeseen ecosystem changes
?
13Modelling the marine ecosystem in ESMs
- Complex ecosystem too costly (and not enough
knowledge) to model at species level. - Simple models, NPZD single nutrient, primary
producer, consumer. - More complex, functional groups of
phytoplankton, size classes of zooplankton.
14Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
15Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need lower Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
16Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
17Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
18Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
19Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
20Biogeochemical functional groups
- Nutrients
- NO3, PO4, Si, Fe
- Phytoplankton Fix carbon
- Diatoms large, need Fe, NO3, Si.
- Non-Diatoms small, need Fe, NO3
- Coccolithophores produce CaCO3
- Phaeocystis produce DMS
- Others
- Zooplankton
- Mesozooplankton Eat everything, produce large
sinking flux - Microzooplankton Eat small phytoplankton,
produce small sinking flux - Bacteria
- Viruses
21Nitrate concentrations in surface water the
HNLC regions
Annual mean surface nitrate, ?mol kg-1
22Annual average chlorophyll
23In all the HNLC regions, iron release experiments
have now shown that diatom blooms are stimulated
by addition of iron. These depress surface CO2
and nutrients. Why? Large cells such as diatoms
have small surface-to-volume ratio. Their growth
is limited at low Fe concentrations by rate of
diffusive transport of Fe into the cell.
24Effect of iron on HNLC ecosystems
25Two-component plankton biogeochemistry BIOGEM
(Ridgwell)
aeolian
dust
deposition
e
temperature
insolation
dissolution
atmospher
un-off
non-diatom
diatom
r
productivity
productivity
ocean
surface
continental
scavenging
ior
inter
dissolution
ocean
sedimentation
sedimentary
diagenesis
sediments
burial
KEY
C
dust
Fe
CaCO
Si
PO
3
4
26PISCES model (Bopp et al., 2003).
27Dust/marine biology/CO2 climate feedback in the
earth system.
28(No Transcript)
29(No Transcript)
30f1 temperature ? dust
Data from the Vostok ice core.
31f2 dust ? atmospheric CO2
Bopp et al
Ridgwell
- Marine biological effect results of two
different models and a hypothetical response
32f3 atmospheric CO2 ? temperature.
- Use climate sensitivities for glacial
interglacial cycle from models, 2ºC antarctic
temperature change for 200-280 ppm CO2 change.
33?
34Conclusions
- Simple marine biology sub-models for earth system
models now exist. - First order effects on climate dynamics over
periods gt 102 years. - Magnitude of effects uncertain.
- To do list
35(No Transcript)