AB 32 Scoping Plan Update

1
AB 32 Scoping Plan Update

• California Counties
• A State of Progress
• Jeff Weir
• Air Resources Board
• December 3, 2008
• Sacramento, CA

2
Projected Global Warming Impact on California
3
Scoping Plan Status

• Proposed Scoping Plan released in October
• Soliciting stakeholder comments for 2 years to
  help shape Scoping Plan
• Board hearings in November and December
• Must adopt Scoping Plan by January 1, 2009

4
Magnitude of the Challenge
169 MMT CO2e Reduction
1990 Emission Baseline
80 Reduction 341 MMT CO2e
5
Proposed Scoping Plan

• Key elements
• State Government
• Transportation
• Energy
• Industrial sources
• High global warming potential GHG measures
• Recycling/waste, forests, water, agriculture
• Recycling and waste reduction
• Agriculture and forests
• Water efficiency
• Local Government Actions
• Regional Transportation-Related GHG Targets

6
AB 32 Timeline
2010
2011
2012
2020
2008
2009
2007
Identification/ implementation of further
emission reduction strategies
Publish list of early actions
GHG reduction measures operative
Mandatory reporting 1990 Baseline
Publish scoping plan
Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels
Adopt enforceable early action regulations
GHG reduction measures adopted
7
Scoping Plan Local Government Actions and
Regional Targets

• Local Government Actions
• Will provide significant emission reductions
• Impacts many different sectors of emissions
• Not quantified at this time
• Regional Passenger Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Targets
• Reducing GHG from vehicle use
• Legislative direction from SB 375

8
Local Government Actions

• Community energy
• Community waste and recycling
• Community water and wastewater systems
• Community transportation
• Community design

9
All Emissions are Local

• Meeting AB 32 goals means emissions in every
  community being reduced an average of 15 from
  todays levels by 2020.
• Broad partnership needed to reach goal
• State, regional, local, and individual effort

10
Working Together to Reduce GHG Emissions
11
Local Climate Action Plans

• Local Climate Action Plans
• Keep track of emissions
• Take actions to reduce emissions
• Develop tools and support system
• Local Government Protocol
• Draft released in May 2008
• ICLEI Local Governments for Sustainability
• CA Climate Action Registry
• Community-Wide Protocol
• In development stage

12
SupportCalifornia Climate Action Network
13
Transportation GHG Emissions2020
Other Transportation 3
Transportation 36
Electric Power 23
Industrial 18
Others 15
Agriculture Forestry 5
Preliminary ARB GHG Projections for 2020 Other
Transportation trains, planes, ships
14
On-Road Transportation Sources 2020

• Passenger Vehicles
• 160 MMTCO2E
• Heavy-Duty Vehicles
• 50 MMTCO2E

Preliminary ARB GHG Projections for 2020
15
Transportation GHG
Vehicle Technology
Vehicle Use
Fuels
Transp. GHG
GHG Mile
GHG Gallon

VMT
,
,
Transp. Land Use Strategies
AB 1493 Regulation
Low-Carbon Fuel Standard
16
SB 375Landmark Legislation

• In order to reach Californias greenhouse gas
  goals we must rethink how we design our
  communities
• (From Governors Office Fact Sheet on
• SB 375)

17
Bill Basics

• Coordinates California transportation, land use,
  housing and greenhouse gas planning
• Requires ARB to establish regional passenger
  vehicle greenhouse gas reduction targets for 2020
  and 2035
• Requires regional planning efforts to identify
  ways to meet the targets
• Gives builders incentives to provide sustainable
  developments that help plans meet the targets

18
The Approach

• Provides incentives, not penalties
• Requires collaboration
• Encourages information sharing
• Gives regions opportunities to compare low-carbon
  planning alternatives

19
ARB Role

• Appoints the Regional Targets Advisory Committee
• Sets draft and final regional greenhouse gas
  targets for 18 Metropolitan Planning
  Organizations (MPOs)
• Exchanges data and information with MPOs and air
  districts
• Reviews regional plans to confirm that they meet
  targets

20
Statutory Timelines

• Jan 31, 2009 ARB appoints Regional Targets
  Advisory Committee (RTAC)
• Sept 30, 2009 RTAC recommendations due to ARB
• June 30, 2010 ARB deadline to issue draft
  regional GHG emission reduction targets
  for light duty vehicles
• Sept 30, 2010 ARB deadline to adopt final targets
  for 18 regions in State
• Spring 2011 Deadlines begin for regional
  transportation plan updates that address
  SB 375 requirements
• Fall 2012 Statutory deadlines begin for updated
  local General Plan housing elements

21
Long-Range Benefits
Source Median VMT impact values from over 20
modeling studies reviewed by UC Berkeleys
Transportation Sustainability Research Center
22
Making It Real

• Reducing 1 driving round trip per week would
  reduce the average persons trip making by 5.
• Decreasing the average trip length by one-half
  mile would reduce VMT by about 5.

23
Impacts of Growing Smarter
Sacramento Region -- 2050
Source SACOG, Regional Blueprint Program, 2005
24
For More Information

• ARB Climate Change Web Site
• (To stay informed - sign up for list serve)
• www.arb.ca.gov/cc/cc.htm
• Local Government Protocol
• http//www.arb.ca.gov/cc/protocols/localgov/pubs/f
  inal_lgo_protocol_2008-09-25.pdf
• Jeff Weir, 916-445-0098, jweir_at_arb.ca.gov