Title: Jess Rodrguez Martnez and Jos M' Rodrguez
1Effects of Changes in Irrigation Practices and
Aquifer Development on Ground-Water Discharge to
the Jobos Bay National Estuarine Research
Reserve, South Central, Puerto Rico.
- Jesús Rodríguez Martínez and José M. Rodríguez
2Purpose and Objectives
- Develop a digital gw model of the aquifer
- Calibrate the model by simulating the effects
(heads) of gw withdrawals between 1986 and 2004 - gw discharge rate to the Jobos
estuary (mangrove - area)
- use the calibrated model to anticipate the
effect of various scenariosgw withdrawals and
implementation of artificial recharge on gw flow
to the Jobos Bay and the potentiometric surface.
3Location of ground-water flow area and extent of
fan-delta plain in Southern Coastal Plain of
Puerto Rico
4Aerial extent of sugar-cane cultivation in the
study area as inferred from the distribution of
flood-irrigation areas (Torres-González and
Gómez-Gómez, 1987 Quiñones-Aponte and
Gómez-Gómez, 1987)
5Distribution of active agricultural areas mostly
under irrigation with micro drip methods and
center-pivot overhead sprinklers
6Irrigation water deliveries from Canal de
Patillas and rainfall from, 1985 to 2004.
7Surficial geology of the study area.
8Sand and gravel percentage in the fan-delta
aquifer in the vicinity of Salinas and Bahía de
Jobos.
9Generalized distribution of hydraulic
conductivity in the fan-delta aquifer between the
Río Jueyes and Río Guamaní
10Regional direction of ground-water flow in the
study area in April 1986, with average rainfall
and when flood irrigation was still prevalent.
11Regional direction of ground-water flow in the
study area during July 2002, with average
rainfall and when irrigation with micro drip
methods and center-pivot overhead sprinklers was
prevalent
12Regional direction of ground-water flow in the
study area during May 2004, with above average
rainfall and when irrigation with micro-drip and
center-pivot overhead sprinklers was prevalent.
13Estimated spatial distribution of the base of the
fan-delta aquifer in the study area.
14Approximated altitude of the top of the permeable
aquifer deposits (equivalent to the base of
semi-confining clay and silt deposits).
15Location of continuous resistivity surveys and
corresponding resistivity sections.
16Fence diagrams showing the spatial variation in
thickness of undifferentiated gravel and sand
units of the fan-delta deposits in the study area.
17Finite-difference grid and boundary conditions
for layers 1 through 5.
18Horizontal hydraulic conductivity values assigned
to each of the 5 model layers
19Recharge rates assigned to model cells in layer 1
or 2 for the steady-state simulation (1986)
20Storage values assigned to the 5-layer model
21Sensitivity analysis for the steady-state
simulation (condition for 1986)
22Simulated potentiometric surface for model layers
1, 2 and 3 with posted residuals during 1986 for
the steady-state simulation.
23Observed and simulated water levels during
1986-2004 at selected wells in the study area
(transient simulation)
24Classical sensitivity analysis based on transient
simulation using the residual standard deviation
from water level hydrographs
25Calibrated transient model simulated water budget
for annual stress periods 1986 through 2004
26Flux to mangroves as obtained by the transient
calibration simulation 1986-2004
27Various management alternatives
- 1. GW flux after 10 years of average recharge and
2004 pumpage with injection wells to the north of
JBNERR - 2. GW flux after 10 years of average recharge and
2004 pumpage with artificial recharge applied
over an area north of JBNERR - 3. GW flux after 10 years of average recharge and
cease of gw withdrawal from all wells north of
JBNERR - 4. GW flux after 10 years of average recharge
and a 50 reduction in 2004 pumpage from
agricultural wells - 5. GW flux after 10 years of average recharge
with artificial recharge applied over an area of
about 590 acres north of JBNERR and a 50
reduction in 2004 pumpage from agricultural wells
28Various management strategies and resulting
fluxes to mangrove area of Jobos Bay
29Three of the simplifications involved in this
modeling effort are
- 1. simplified homogenous hydraulic conductivity
zones - 2. use of the fresh/saltwater interface as a
no-flow boundary for a constant density model,
Rather than using a variable density model code - 3. use of non-varying general head boundaries
along the coast - The greatest source of errors in the model
calibration are a result of the lack of metered
ground-water withdrawals, especially from wells,
and the lack of continuous streamflow gaging
stations on streams that lose flow to the Salinas
fan-delta aquifer or the canals
30Questions