Engr' Dr' M' AKRAM SHEIKH HI

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(No Transcript)
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Presentation to the Prime Minister of Pakistan
onPakistans Progress on Attaining
MDGsIssues and Challenges

• By
• Engr. Dr. M. AKRAM SHEIKH (HI)
• DEPUTY CHAIRMAN
• PLANNING COMMISSION
• March 30, 2007

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Pakistan MDG Report 2006

• In the last few years, the Planning Commission in
  line with the GOP policy has undergone a paradigm
  shift in its approach to Planning and policy
  formulation. The shift is toward formulating
  people-centric plans and policies that benefit
  the common people at the micro spatial level
• The national vision is to increase the
  productivity of the economy by transforming it
  into knowledge-based economy via improvements in
  education, skills and spread of technical and
  higher education.
• MDGs capture the essence of MTDF (2005-2010) and
  Vision 2030

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MDG Goals Targets
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Status of Indicators W.R.T. Millennium
Development Goals 30.6.2006
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Some Comments on Status of Indicators

• We are lagging in 12 of the 34 indicators
• Better monitoring has now become available, to
  reflect the impact of people-centric investment
  policies
• The following slides reflect position on Poverty
  Head Count, Pro-poor Public Expenditures School
  Enrolments, Health Status and Demographic
  Transition

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Goal 1Eradicate Extreme Poverty Hunger
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Percentage Points Gained by Poor in Access to
Social Services/Basic Facilities between 2001-02
and 2004-05
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Some Comments on Pro-poor Expenditures

• Momentum of 6-8 percent pro-poor growth achieved
• Poor-poor actual expenditures exceeded projected
  expenditures by Rs. 50 billion during the last
  year
• Pro-poor expenditures during the last 4 years
  have grown _at_ 27 per annum and are now 5.6 of
  GDP

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Technological InfrastructureStrategic Thrust
Enrolment of Children Aged 5-9 2005-2030
Full enrolment,
 Note HV LV Ch 5-9 refers to rapid and slow
fertility decline respectively. HV LV pri enr
refers to rapid and slow increase in enrollment
of children 5-9 respectively.
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Technological Infrastructure Strategic Thrust
Enrolment of Children Aged 10-14 2005-2030
Full enrolment,
 Note HV LV Ch 10-14 refers to rapid and slow
fertility decline respectively. HV LV Sec. Enr.
refers to rapid and slow increase in enrollment
of children 5-9 respectively.
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Technological Infrastructure Strategic Thrust
Higher enrolments higher quality
Ref MTDF 205-10
How do we pay for all this? The Tradition of
Waqf?
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Share of Technical to Total Education Allocation
Total Allocation Rs Billion
Source Five Year Plans / MTDF Planning
Commission
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Technological Infrastructure Strategic
ThrustPSDP Allocation for the Knowledge Economy
2005-10
Source MTDF Planning Commission 2005-10
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Some Comments on Education Expenditures

• Public expenditures on Education have doubled
  during the last 4 years and have grown _at_ 21 p.a.
  
• Proposed to raise allocation to 4 of GDP of
  which one-third will be spent on raising literacy
  and expending elementary education

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Improvement in Health Indicators
(Percentage)
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Some Comments on Health Expenditures

• Public expenditures on Health have grown _at_ 19.5
  p.a. during the last 4 years
• National health Programs in TB, Malaria and
  HIV/AIDs are implementing many activities through
  Civil Society Organizations, NGOs and private
  sector
• In HIV/AIDs 5 Anti-Retrovial Therapy Centers have
  been setup which are planned to be expanded
• In maternal health, project for Community
  Midwifes and Neonatal Health has been approved
  recently

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Demographic Transition Strategic Thrust
2005 2030
In 2030 population can vary between 230-260
million people. (60 urban) Aging is catching up
to levels in China, Japan and most of the
developed world. Pakistan is on a favorable
portion of the Demographic transition until 2030,
with an influx of some 50-60 million people in
the economically active workforce Pakistan
must capitalize on this by human resource
development
China
Per cent
Per cent
Pakistan
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Bottom Five Districts in 2005
(Based on CWIQ 2004 - 05)
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Bottom Five Districts in 2005
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Role of NCHD vis-a-vis MDGs

• Universal Primary Education (MDG 2)
• Net enrollment ratio of children ages 5-7 years
  increased from 54 to 80 in 48 districts of
  Pakistan. This intervention will cover all
  districts of Pakistan by the end of year 2007
• 4.8 million children ages 5-7 years additionally
  enrolled by NCHD in Pakistan
• 19,350 additional Community based schools
  established by NCHD during the last 4 years to
  address issues of access
• 41,022 Adult Literacy Centers have been completed
  in 114 districts of Pakistan Over 100,000 centers
  will be completed every year for next 5 Years
• More than 85 of the people made literate are
  females Primary Health Care (MDG 5)

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Role of NCHD vis-a-vis MDGs

• Primary Health Care (MDG 5)
• ORS coverage 5.46 m women trained
• Household level basic health interventions
• NCHD can play a significant role in Districts
  where MDG-related performance is still deficient

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Future Directions

• Thrust of MDGs to be a part and parcel of Vision
  2030 with emphases on growth and enhanced
  pro-poor allocations
• New initiative in Social Protection policy
  proposed stressing improvement and expansion of
  conditional cash transfers to the poor and
  vulnerable. Beneficiaries to be increased from 2
  m to 3.2 m in next 5 years
• Greater focus required on Districts which are
  poorly performing vis-a-vis MDG indicators
• Need to develop linkage between poverty
  alleviation through community participation and
  micro-credit, especially for basic skills,
  literacy and primary health coverage

Contd.
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Future Directions

• The enhanced role of the Social Sector Committee
  of the Cabinet under the chairmanship of the
  Honorable Prime Minister for regular monitoring
  and policy guidelines
• Tribute to the work of CRPRID as a centre to
  monitor the MDGs

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• Thank You