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Research Methods in Psychology Behavioral Medicine Psy 314

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1. The discoverer pitches the claim directly to the media. ... The Claim: Chamomile Can Soothe a Colicky Baby. 26. Randomized Clinical Trial ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Research Methods in Psychology Behavioral Medicine Psy 314


1
Research Methods in PsychologyBehavioral
Medicine Psy 314
  • William P. Wattles, Ph.D..
  • Francis Marion University

2
Empirical
  • a. Relying on or derived from observation or
    experiment empirical results that supported the
    hypothesis.
  • b. Verifiable or provable by means of observation
    or experiment empirical laws.

3
Faith Healing gone bad
  • NYT 8/29 8-year old died of prayer service
    intended to save him.

4
Good science versus bad science
  • Alternative explanations.

5
Seven Signs of Voodoo Science
  • 1. The discoverer pitches the claim directly to
    the media.
  • 2. The discoverer says a powerful establishment
    is suppressing his work.
  • 3. The effect is at the very limit of detection.
  • 4. Evidence for the discovery is anecdotal.

6
Seven Signs of Voodoo Science
  • 5. The discoverer says a belief is credible
    because it has endured for centuries.
  • 6. The discoverer has worked in isolation.
  • 7. New laws of nature are proposed to explain the
    observation.

7
The Case Study
  • A. Widely used, easy to implement.
  • B. Allows for a thorough analysis of the
    subject. Useful when phenomena is rare or new
  • C. Provides a description
  • D. May disconfirm uniform assumptions
  • E. Useful for hypothesis generation.

8
Disadvantages of case study
  • a. Can confuse the individual and the disorder.
  • b. Cannot generalize from this idiographic
    (individual) data or to nomothetic ( general)

9
Idiographic vs. Nomothetic data
  • Idiographic refers to the individual.
  • Nomothetic - Of or relating to the study or
    discovery of general scientific laws.
  • When we use nomothetic data we gain and. We lose
    specificity to the individual but we gain in that
    we can now generalize to others.

10
Correlation
  • Observation only
  • Relationship one tends to follow the other
  • text correlation indicates how similar the
    scores are.
  • In general when one increases the other increases
    and vice versa.

11
Correlation
  • The relationship between two variables X and Y.
  • In general, are changes in X associated with
    Changes in Y?
  • If so we say that X and Y covary.
  • We can observe correlation by looking at a
    scatter plot.

12
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13
Type of correlation
  • Positive correlation. The two change in a similar
    direction. Individuals below average on X tend
    to be below average on Y and vice versa.
  • Negative correlation the two change in the
    opposite direction. Individuals who are above
    average on X tend to be below average on Y and
    vice versa.

14
Examples
  • Positive correlations Hours spent studying and
    g.p.a. height and weight, exam 1 score and exam
    2 score, Obesity and type2 diabetes,
    hypertension, asthma
  • Negative correlations temperature and heating
    bills hours spent watching TV and g.p.a. SAT
    median and taking the test.

15
Correlation Coefficient
  • One number that tells us about the strength and
    direction of the relationship between X and Y.
  • Has a value from -1.0 (perfect negative
    correlation) to 1.0 (perfect positive
    correlation)
  • Perfect correlations do not occur in nature

16
Strength of Correlation
  • Weak .10, .20, .30
  • Moderate .40,.50, .60
  • Strong .70, .80, .90
  • No correlation 0.0

17
Advantages of Correlation
  • Relatively simple to do.
  • Involves observation not manipulation

18
Disadvantages of Correlation
  • CORRELATION DOES NOT IMPLY CAUSATION

19
Correlation
  • Measures of health for nations correlate with the
    number of televisions.

20
  • Obesity increased with popularity of low-fat
    diet.
  • More Driving
  • Less walking
  • Larger portions
  • More computes

21
EXPERIMENT
  • Experimenter Control (manipulation)
  • Independent variable
  • Dependent variable
  • Two or more groups
  • experimental group
  • control group
  • Random assignment

22
Independent Variable
  • Under control of the experimenter
  • Used to explain changes in the dependent variable
  • Example Type of instruction
  • Should include a control group

23
Dependent Variable
  • Not under control by the experimenter
  • Presumed to be caused or affected by the
    independent variable
  • Example grade on final exam

24
Random Assignment
  • Essential aspect of experiment
  • Allows us to control for all potential confounds
  • Each subject has an equal chance of being in each
    group.
  • Intact groups not random
  • Replication to deal with chance variation

25
EXPERIMENT
  • Double-blind
  • to avoid social expectations
  • to avoid demand characteristics
  • External validity-extent to which we can
    generalize
  • Analogue-animals, cold water immersion as stress

26
Example of Experiment
  • New York Times 9/1/2009
  • The Claim Chamomile Can Soothe a Colicky Baby.

27
Randomized Clinical Trial
  • Independent Variable
  • Treatment group
  • Chamomile tea
  • Control Group
  • Other tea
  • Dependent Variable
  • Presence of colic

28
Randomized Clinical Trial
  • Results
  • Treatment group 57 percent better
  • Control group 26 percent better

29
Advantage of Experiment
  • Can talk about one variable causing another.

30
Dose Response Relationship
  • A direct, consistent association between an
    independent variable, such as a behavior, and a
    dependent variable, such as a disease.

31
Studies over time
  • Cross-sectional studies-conducted during only one
    point in time.
  • Longitudinal studies follow participants over an
    extend time period.

32
Reliability
  • Does the test measure consistently?
  • text The degree to which test scores are free
    from errors of measurement
  • Reliability is necessary but not sufficient

33
Measurement Error
  • Measurement error is always present
  • Anything affecting the test score that does not
    relate to the issue of interest.
  • response tendency
  • social desirability
  • text Variation in scores not due to changes in
    the targeted characteristic.

34
Validity
  • Does the test measure what it is supposed to
    measure?

35
Concurrent Validity
  • A type of criterion validity
  • Concurrent means at the same time
  • Correlate results of one measure with another
    variable
  • measured at the same time.
  • expected to be related
  • Example stress profile correlated to medical
    history.

36
Predictive Validity
  • Another type of Criterion validity
  • Can the test predict something it should be able
    to predict?
  • Example, stress profile did not predict symptoms,
    physician visits or self-perceptions of health

37
Anti-doping agency seeks test
  • A pretty good test is better than no test.
  • Bad science
  • Positive results from six race specimens must be
    unreliable because he gave six others that tested
    negative.
  • there are certainly false positives.
  • After exercise 5 were false positives

38
Test Accuracy
39
New York Times
  • The article relates to health psychology in that
    it shows an example of error of measurement.
  • Music in the recovery room has a direct
    connection to health psychology because its a
    cognitive distraction it takes the patients
    mind and attention away from the current
    situation and possible pain.

40
New York Times
  • This is an example of positive correlation. The
    higher (heavier) the woman, the higher (deadlier)
    the cancer
  • This article relates to Health Psychology
    because it explains the correlation between the
    occurance of strokes and the time of day.

41
New York Times
  • The article talks about how people's mind and
    behaviors try to compensate for the idea that
    there is supposedly less nicotine in light
    products.
  • High officials emphasizing the importance of
    primary prevention can create a healthier society.

42
Epidemiology
  • Branch of medicine that investigates the
    frequency and distribution of disease and related
    factors.
  • Important in SARS epidemic

43
Epidemiology
  • Prevalence-the proportion of the population that
    has a particular disease at a specific time.
  • Incidence-measures the frequency of new cases of
    the disease.

44
Epidemiology
  • Determine the etiology or origins of a specific
    disease. To develop and test hypotheses.
  • Discovering who is more likely to have a disease
    is useful in determining its cause. SARS as an
    example
  • Discovering risk factors such as dirty water or
    smoking.

45
Epidemiology
  • Mortality- Death rate
  • Morbidity-The rate of incidence of a disease.

46
Epidemiology
  • A risk factor is any characteristic or condition
    that occurs with greater frequency in people with
    a disease than it does in people free from the
    disease.

47
Epidemiology
  • Presence of a risk factor increases the
    likelihood of developing the illness.

48
Epidemiology
  • Relative versus absolute risk.Relative
    Considered in comparison with something else
  • Relative risk the ratio of incidence or
    prevalence in the exposed group to that of the
    unexposed group
  • Absolute risk-The persons chances of developing a
    disease.

49
  • Test A
  • If around 1,000 people have this test every 2
    years, 1 person will be saved from dying from
    this cancer every 10 years.
  •  
  • Test B
  • If you have this test every 2 years, it will
    reduce your chance of dying from this cancer from
    around 3 in 1, 000 to 2 in 1,000 over the next 10
    years.
  •  
  • Test C
  • If you have this test every 2 years , it will
    reduce your chance of dying from this cancer by
    around one third over the next 10 years.

50
Relative Risk
  • If you have this test every 2 years , it will
    reduce your chance of dying from this cancer by
    around one third over the next 10 years.

51
Absolute risk
  • If you have this test every 2 years, it will
    reduce your chance of dying from this cancer from
    around 3 in 1, 000 to 2 in 1,000 over the next 10
    years.

52
Number needed to treat
  • If around 1,000 people have this test every 2
    years, 1 person will be saved from dying from
    this cancer every 10 years.

53
Absolute Risk vs. Relative Risk
  • Example New York Times Nov. 08

54

Relative Risk 4/850
Absolute risk 8 reduced to 4 A decrease of 4
points or 4 people per hundred
55
Quality of care data
  • NYT 9/3/04
  • More than 98 percent of hospitals in the United
    States are reporting quality-of-care data for
    treating heart attack, heart failure and
    pneumonia, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid
    Services said yesterday.

56
Clinton heart bypass
  • During Heart bypass surgery blood vessels are
    taken from elsewhere in the body, often the leg,
    and sewn in to create detours around coronary
    artery blockages
  • 516,000 were performed in 2001

57
Quality of care data
  • Clinton hospital 3.93 deaths per hundred versus
    2.18 for coronary bypass overall in NY.
  • Correlational data but they control for 45 risk
    factors.

58
Over interpreting data
  • Side air bags Reduce the risk of dying in half
  • 157/100,000 with side air bags
  • 248/100,000 without side air bags

59
The End
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