Causal analysis

1
Causal analysis

• Conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs

2
This session

• Framework next
• Methodology causal analysis (conflict, HRBA,
  gender, etc.)
• Identifications of issues
• Applying the methodology Corruption
• Group case studies for CCA
• Tomorrow causal gaps group work
• Conclusion

3
Methodology

• Causal, conflict, gender, HRBA, MDGs analysis
• Identify the problems/issues
• Understand WHY the problems are occurring causes
• Rank the causes (immediate, structural)
• Make linkages across problems causes
• Assess on-going responses gaps
• Identify action to address problem
• In the context of a CCA the causal analysis
  complemented by
• role analysis - who must do something about it
• analysis of what capacities are needed to take
  action
• analysis of UN comparative advantages

4
The conflict, gender, HRBA, MDG lens

• Look at the identified problems thinking
• Has has the issue contributed to creating
  national/local level conflict or to undermining
  peace consolidation? How? Are women particularly
  affected?
• also look at
• The impact of conflict on the situation? On the
  relevant MDGs?

5
Causal tree with a conflict, gender, HRB lens
Problem
Immediate causes
Structural causes
6
Using a conflict, gender, etc. lens

• Identify
• actions that, whilst addressing the identified
  sector problem, will contribute to reducing
  conflict risks (e.g. conflict sensitive actions)
  key stakeholders
• Guide in assessing
• If how on-going responses are addressing the
  problem related causes (inc. linkages to
  conflict), the gaps

7
A critical last question

• Thinking about actions, ask
• What, where, how can action produce the greatest
  transformation results in terms of addressing
  the structural immediate state peace building
  challenges?