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... bond yield using following approximation formula (or using financial calculator) ... Yield (from a financial calculator) = 11.94% After-tax: 11.94% (1 TC) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: chapter outline


1
chapter outline
  • Chapter 14 Cost of Capital
  • Read Chapter 14 (except section 14.6)
  • 1. Definition and overview
  • 2. The Cost of Equity
  • 2.1 Dividend growth model approach
  • 2.2 The SML approach
  • 3. The Cost of Debt and Preferred Stock
  • 4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • 5. Some fine-tuning

2
1. Definition and overview
  • Key Issues
  • What do we mean by cost of capital?
  • How can we estimate cost of capital?
  • Cost of capital, appropriate discount rate,
    required rate of return
  • ? minimum rate of return that a firm (or
    investors) requires on firms project
  • Rate of return on alternative project with
    similar risk.
  • WACC (Weighted average cost of capital)
  • A measure of the cost of capital.

3
1. Definition and overview..
  • Who owns the firm?
  • Shareholders required rate of return ? RE
  • Bondholders required rate of return ? RD
  • A firms cost of capital reflects both its cost
    of debt and equity.
  • We first look at these costs separately, and then
    combine them to obtain the weighted cost of
    capital of a firm.
  • Since we are always interested in valuing
    after-tax cash flows, we will focus on after-tax
    cost of capital.

4
1. Definition and overview..
  • An accurate estimate of the cost of capital is
    required for
  • Capital budgeting
  • NPV and IRR rules require the appropriate
    discount rate.
  • Performance evaluation
  • One can use the cost of capital as a benchmark
    rate of return for management to meet.
  • Operating decisions
  • Regulatory agencies use cost of capital to
    determine the "fair return" in some regulated
    industries (e.g., electric utilities)

5
2. The cost of equity
  • There are two approaches to estimate RE
  • 2.1 Dividend growth model approach
  • Recall
  • Rearranging yields

6
2.1 Dividend growth model..
  • Implementation
  • D0 and P0 observable from data
  • Growth rate, g Estimate it using past data or
    analysts forecast.
  • Example
  • Geometric growth rate 4(1g)4 5.65. Solve
    for g 8.969
  • Average growth rate (10.00 7.95 10.53
    7.62)/4 9.025.

 
 
7
2.1 Dividend growth model..
  • Pros/Cons
  • Model is simple and easy to understand.
  • However, the model is applicable only to firms
    with reasonably stable growth.
  • The model is sensitive to the estimated growth
    rate.
  • It does not explicitly consider risk, i.e., there
    is no allowance for the degree of uncertainty on
    the estimated growth rate in dividends.

8
2.2 The SML approach
  • Recall CAPM E(RE) Rf ?E E(Rm) Rf  
  • Implementation
  • Estimate ?E, risk-free rate (typically T-bill
    rate) and market risk premium based on past data.
  • Pros/Cons
  • The model adjusts for risk, and is applicable for
    firms other than those with stable dividend
    growth.
  • Estimates based on past data might not be very
    reliable in a rapidly changing environment.
  • Estimates might be sensitive to the choice of
    time periods.
  • However, ?E is reasonably stable in a period of 5
    years.

9
2.2 The SML approach..
  • Example Cost of equity 
  • Air BC has a beta of 1.25. Current stock price
    is 42 per share.
  • The market risk premium is 6.5.
  • T-bills are currently yielding 5.5.
  • Air BCs most recent dividend was 2.20.
  • Dividends are expected to grow at a 4 p.a.
    indefinitely.
  • What is the best estimate of Air BCs cost of
    equity?
  •  
  • Growth model RE D0 (1g)/P g
  • 2.20(14)/42 4 9.45.
  • SML E(RE) Rf ?E E(Rm) Rf
  • 5.5 1.256.5 13.625

10
3. The cost of debt and preferred stock
  • Cost of debt is simply the interest rate that
    lenders require on firms new borrowing.
  • It is normally observable.
  • The yield to maturity (YTM) on existing bonds,
    or
  • Interest rate on new borrowings of similarly
    rated bonds.
  • The coupon rate on existing bond is irrelevant
    it reflects the firms cost of debt at the time
    of issuance. You want to use todays yield as a
    proxy for cost of debt today.
  • Preferred stocks pay fixed amount of dividend.
    So, dividend yield (dividend/current price) is a
    reasonable proxy for cost of preferred stock.

11
3. The cost of debt and preferred stock..
  • Example Cost of debt and preferred stock
  • (1) KEC issued a 20-year, 8 semi-annual bond
    seven years ago. The bond currently sells for
    110 of its face value of 1,000. Tax rate is
    35. Find out the pretax and after-tax cost of
    debt.
  • First find out IRR for the bond KEC will pay
    40 every six months.
  • 1,100 PV(40 each at the end of 26 periods)
  • PV(1,000 at the end of 26 periods). 
  • IRR6.83 p.a. pre-tax cost of debt 6.83 p.a.
  • Since interests are tax deductible, after-tax
    cost of debt is
  • 6.83(1 Tc) 6.83(1 0.35) 4.44.

12
3. The cost of debt and preferred stock..
  • (2) White Teck Co (WTC)s preferred stock price
    is 95 per share.
  • There is a 7 stated dividend.
  • What is WKCs cost of preferred stock?
  •  
  • Cost of preferred stock 7/95 7.37

13
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • WACC
  • 1. Let E ? the market value of the equity.
  • D ? the market value of the debt.
  • Then V E D, so E/V D/V 100
  • 2. Proportion of E and D in firms value V are
    E/V and D/V.
  • 3. Interest payments on debt are tax-deductible,
    so the
  • After-tax cost of debt the pretax cost (1 -
    corporate tax rate).
  • RD ? (1 - Tc)
  • 4. Thus the weighted average cost of capital is
  • WACC (E/V) ? RE (D/V) ? RD ? (1 - Tc)

14
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • Example after-tax cost of debt ABC borrows
    1,000 at 10 p.a., TC 40. After-tax
    interest is 10 (1 TC). Why?
  • 100 interest is tax deductible and it will
    reduce the tax bill by 40. So after tax interest
    is 10 (1 TC).

15
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • When we say WACC, we refer to the after tax
    weighted average cost of capital. The table
    summarizes discussion so far.

16
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • Example Finding the WACC
  •  
  • 5 million shares of common shares at 40, and ?E
    1.2.
  • 750,000 shares of 7 preferred stock selling at
    75.
  • 250,000 units of 11 semi-annual bonds, par value
    1,000,
  • 15 years-to-maturity selling at 93.5 of the
    par.
  •  E(Rm) Rf 6, Rf 4, TC 34.
  • Step 1 find out market value of common,
    preferred stocks and bonds. See column 1 of
    table.
  • Step 2 find out fraction in total firm value.
    See column 2.
  • Step 3 find out after tax cost of common,
    preferred stocks and bonds. See column 3.

17
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • (a) RE Rf ?E(Rm) Rf
  • 4 1.2 6 11.2
  •  
  • (b) To obtain RD, first find out the bond yield
    using following approximation formula (or using
    financial calculator)
  •  
  • Yield Coupon (Face value Price)/maturity
  • / (Price Face value)/2
  • 110 (1,000 935)/15 / (1,000
    935)/2 11.8
  • Yield (from a financial calculator) 11.94
  • After-tax 11.94 (1 TC) 11.94 (66)
    7.88

18
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • Step 4 calculate the weighted average of cost.
    See column 4.

19
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • Example Using the WACC
  • WallStores expansion will cost 50,000 and
    generate 10,000 p.a. in perpetuity after-tax.
    Target debt/equity ratio of .50 required return
    on equity of 15 return on bond of 10. Tax
    rate is 34.
  • WACC (E/V) RE (D/V) RD (1 TC)
  • 2/3 15 1/3 10 (1 .34) 12.2.
  • WACC is appropriate to use, only when the
    proposed project is in the same risk class as the
    firm.

20
4. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
  • Summary of WACC  The required return on the
    firm as a whole. It is the appropriate discount
    rate for cash flows similar in risk to the firm.
  • I. The Cost of Equity, RE
  • A. Dividend growth model approach RE D1/P0
    g
  • B. SML approach E(RE) Rf ?E E(Rm) Rf
     
  • II. The Cost of Debt, RD
  • Use the yield to maturity on existing debt or
    similarly rated bonds.
  • III. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • WACC (E/V) RE (D/V) RD (1 - Tc)
  • where Tc is the corporate tax rate, E is the
    market value of the firms equity, D is the
    market value of debt, and V E D. So, E/V is
    the of the firms financing (in market value
    terms) in equity, and D/V is the in debt.

21
5. Some fine-tuning
  • What if a project risk is substantially different
    from the overall firms risk? One can not use
    firms overall WACC for the project.
  • What if you still use overall WACC in this case?
  • See next slide and find out what will happen.
  • (Example) divisional cost of capital
  • Several divisions in a company with different
    risk should use different cost of capital
    (conglomerate food division, computer division).

22
5. Some fine-tuning
Required return of A 7 0.68 11.8.
Actual return is 14. Required return of B 7
1.28 16.6. Actual return is 16.
23
5. Some fine-tuning
  • There are two approaches to remedy the problem 
  • Pure play approach pure play ? a company that
    focuses on a single line of business, e.g. oil
    drilling, gas exploration, etc.
  • Subjective approach The firm places projects
    into one of several risk classes. The firm
    determines discount rates for each risk class by
    adding (for high risk) or subtracting (for low
    risk) an adjustment factor to or from the firms
    WACC.  
  • Project category Adjustment Factor Discount
    Rate
  • High risk 6 20
  • Medium risk 0 14
  • Low risk -4 10
  • Mandatory n.a. n.a.

24
5. Some fine-tuning..
25
5. Some fine-tuning..
  • Example SML and WACC An all-equity firm with
    14 cost of capital considers the projects
  •  
  • (1) If the firm uses 14 WACC which project does
    it accept? Project Y. 
  • (2) When the firm considers risk of the
    projects, which project should it accept?
  • CAPM E(X) 5 0.85(14 ? 5) 12.65 lt
    expected return 13
  • CAPM E(Y) 5 1.15(14 ? 5) 15.35 gt
    expected return 15
  • So the firm will choose Project X.

26
6. Questions
  • Example Eastman Chemicals WACC Eastman
    Chemical has 78.26 million shares of common stock
    outstanding. The book value per share is 22.40
    but the stock sells for 58. The market value of
    equity is 4.54 billion. Eastmans stock beta is
    .90. T-bills yield 4.5, and the market risk
    premium is assumed to be 9.2.
  • The firm has four debt issues outstanding.
  • Coupon Book Value Market Value Yield-to-Maturity
  • 6.375 499m 501m 6.32
  • 7.250 495m 463m 7.83
  • 7.635 200m 221m 6.76
  • 7.600 296m 289m 7.82
  • Total 1,490m 1,474m

27
6. Questions..
  • Example Eastman Chemicals WACC
  • Cost of equity (SML approach)
  • RE .045 .90 ? (.092) .045 .0828 12.78
  • Cost of debt
  • Multiply the proportion of total debt
    represented by each issue by its yield to
    maturity the weighted average cost of debt
    7.15
  • Capital structure weights
  • Market value of equity 78.26 m ? 58
    4.539 billionMarket value of debt 501m
    463m 221m 289m 1.474 b
  • V 4.539 b 1.474 b 6.013 b
  • D/V 1.474b/6.013b .2451
  • E/V 4.539b/6.013b .7549
  • WACC .7549 (12.78) .2451 ? 7.15 ?(1 - .35)
    10.79

28
6. Questions..
  • Some concept questions
  • 1. What is the relationship between cost of
    capital and firm value?
  • Given other things being constant, the lower
    the cost of capital, the higher the value of the
    firm.
  • 2. When we use the dividend growth model to
    estimate the firms cost of equity, we make a key
    assumption about future dividends of the firm.
    What is that assumption?
  • We assume that dividends will grow at a
    constant growth rate, g.
  • 3. What happens if we use the WACC to evaluate
    all potential investment projects, regardless of
    their risk?
  • Estimated NPVs will be understated (overstated)
    for projects which are less risky (riskier) than
    the firm.

29
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.16 Elway Mining Corporation has
  • 8 m shares of common stock selling at 35 with a
    beta of 1.0,
  • 1 m shares of 6 preferred selling at 60, and
  • 100,000 9 semiannual coupon bonds, par value
    1,000 each.
  • the bonds have 15 years to maturity and sell for
    89 percent of par.
  • The market risk premium is 8 percent,
  • T-bills are yielding 5 percent, and the firms
    tax rate is 34 percent.
  • a. What is the firms market value capital
    structure?
  • b. If the firm is evaluating a new investment
    project that has the same risk as the firms
    typical project, what rate should the firm use to
    discount the projects cash flows?

30
6. Questions..
  • Solution to Problem 14.16 (continued)
  • a. MVD 100,000 (1,000) (.89) 89M
  • MVE 8M(35) 280M
  • MVp 1M(60) 60M
  • V 89M 280M 60M 429M
  • D/V 89M/429M .207,
  • E/V 280M/429M .653, and
  • P/V 60M/429M .140.

31
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.16 b.
  • For projects as risky as the firm itself, the
    WACC is the appropriate discount rate. So, find
    out the WACC.
  • RE .05 1.0(.08) 13
  • Bond YTM 890 45(PVIFARD,30)
    1,000(PVIFRD,30)
  • RD 10.474, and RD (1 - Tc) (.10474)(1 -
    .34) 6.91
  • RP 6/60 .10 10
  • WACC .653 (13) .207 (6.91) .14 (10)
    11.32

32
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.17 An all-equity firm is considering
    the following projects. Assume the T-bill rate is
    5 and the market expected return is 12.
  • Project Beta
    Expected Return ()
  • W .60 11
  • X .85 13
  • Y 1.15 13
  • Z 1.50 19
  • a. Which projects have a higher expected
    return than the firms 12 cost of capital?
  • b. Which projects should be accepted?
  • c. Which projects would be incorrectly
    accepted or rejected if the firms overall cost
    of capital is used as a hurdle rate?

33
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.17 (concluded)
  • a. Projects X, Y, and Z with expected returns of
    13, 13, and 19, respectively, have higher
    returns than the firms 12 cost of capital.
  • b. Using the firms overall cost of capital as a
    hurdle rate, accept projects W, X, and Z. Compute
    required returns considering risk via the SML
  • Project W .05 .60(.12 - .05) .092 lt .11,
    so accept W.Project X .05 .85(.12 - .05)
    .1095 lt .13, so accept X.Project Y .05
    1.15(.12 - .05) .1305 gt .13, so reject
    Y.Project Z .05 1.50(.12 - .05) .155 lt
    .19, so accept Z.
  • c. Project W would be incorrectly rejected and
    Project Y would be incorrectly accepted.

34
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.20 True North, Inc. is considering
    a project that will result in initial after-tax
    cash savings of 6 million at the end of the
    first year, and these savings will grow at a rate
    of 5 per year indefinitely.
  • The firm has a target debt/equity ratio of .5, a
    cost of equity of 18 , and an after-tax cost of
    debt of 6 .
  • The cost-saving proposal is somewhat riskier than
    the usual project the firm undertakes management
    uses the subjective approach and applies an
    adjustment factor of 2 to the cost of capital
    for such risky projects.
  • Under what circumstances should True North take
    on the project?

35
6. Questions..
  • Problem 14.20
  • WACC (.3333)(.06) (.6666)(.18) .14
  • Project discount rate .14 .02 .16
  • NPV - cost PV (cash savings)
  • PV (cash savings) 6M/(.16 - .05) 54.55M
  • So the project should only be undertaken if its
    cost is less than 54.55M.
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