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Ed Miller Business Development Project Manager

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Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority ... 500 MDth/d of downstream capacity available to Ellsworth (near Leidy area) on Tennessee ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Ed Miller Business Development Project Manager


1
Ed MillerBusiness Development Project Manager
Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority
  • El Paso Rockies
  • Export Project
  • August 30, 2005

2
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-looking
Statements
  • This presentation includes forward-looking
    statements and projections, made in reliance on
    the safe harbor provisions of the Private
    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The
    company has made every reasonable effort to
    ensure that the information and assumptions on
    which these statements and projections are based
    are current, reasonable, and complete. However, a
    variety of factors could cause actual results to
    differ materially from the projections,
    anticipated results or other expectations
    expressed in this presentation, including,
    without limitation, the ability to implement and
    achieve our objectives in the long-range plan
    changes in commodity prices for oil, natural gas,
    and power inability to realize anticipated
    synergies and cost savings associated with
    restructurings and divestitures on a timely
    basis our ability to obtain necessary
    governmental approvals for proposed pipeline
    projects and our ability to successfully
    construct and operate such projects the risks
    associated with recontracting of transportation
    commitments by our pipelines regulatory
    uncertainties associated with pipeline rate
    cases general economic and weather conditions in
    geographic regions or markets served by El Paso
    Corporation and its affiliates, or where
    operations of the company and its affiliates are
    located the uncertainties associated with
    governmental regulation difficulty in
    integration of the operations of previously
    acquired companies, competition, and other
    factors described in the companys (and its
    affiliates) Securities and Exchange Commission
    filings. While the company makes these statements
    and projections in good faith, neither the
    company nor its management can guarantee that
    anticipated future results will be achieved.
    Reference must be made to those filings for
    additional important factors that may affect
    actual results. The company assumes no obligation
    to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
    statements made herein or any other
    forward-looking statements made by the company,
    whether as a result of new information, future
    events, or otherwise.

3
Rocky Mountain Supply(Volumes are Wellhead
Measured in MMcf/d)
1.5 Bcf/d
Forecast by 2010 High Case 13,000 Mid Case
9,500 Low Case 7,200
1990-2002 Wellhead total data from IHS
database 2003 Estimate 2004-2010 CIG forecast
4
Cheyenne Plains Throughputvs. Midcontinent
MidCon less Cheyenne Hub Differential vs.
Cheyenne Plains Rate
August 1-24, 2005
5
Projected Demand Growth
Bcf/d
WesternCanada
5.3 6.4 7.3
EasternCanada
3.7 4.1 4.7
2.5 2.7 3.1
NW and Alaska
Maritimesand Northeast U.S.
9.0 10.1 11.7
10.5 10.9 11.6
3.8 4.7 5.2
4.0 4.2 4.9
6.3 7.2 7.7
8.7 11.1 14.4
Total 2004 72.8 2009 82.2 2014 93.6
14.1 14.6 16.2
5.0 6.2 7.0
Mexico
Source El Paso/ Energy Information Agency
6
Connectivity / Liquidity
(MMcf/d)
7
Cost of Capacity Shortage Out of
RockiesEstimated Revenue Lost per Bcf/d of
Rockies Production
Net Present Value at 20 Pre-Tax
2/Mcf Basis
1/Mcf Basis
0.25/Mcf Transport
8
Overview
  • Two alternatives
  • Opal to Campbellsville, Kentucky
  • Opal to Perryville, Louisiana

9
Rockies Export Project RouteSchematic
Opal
Cheyenne
Wamsutter
ANR
Tennessee
Campbellsville
Tennessee to Sonat
Greensburg
Tennessee
ANR
Sonat
Perryville
  • Propose as seamless
  • Downstream transport with rate certainty
    available as part of projects

10
Perryville
  • Can be constructed economically for smaller
    volumes minimal risk of delay shortest and
    cheapest route
  • Range of rates from 1.10 to 1.40/Dth from Opal
    to Perryville depending upon commitments
    (includes 7 fuel)
  • Range of Rockies commitments required from 600
    MDth/d up
  • Additional seamless rates to Pugh (SNG Zone 1
    TGP 500 Leg / 800 Leg Transco Z3, Z4 PGT Z2,
    Z3 Tetco M-1) Lebanon, Cornell (DTI), Joliet
    Hub, and others
  • Rates become more attractive as commitments
    increase
  • Accesses highest demand growth area in the U.S.
    in southeast
  • Recent Florida basis is 1.00 to Henry
  • Late 2008 in-service
  • Also directly accesses east coast pipelines and
    existing shippers
  • Interim capacity available to Greensburg by March
    2007 as part of project

11
Campbellsville
  • Balances gaining close proximity to Northeast
    markets while minimizing risk of delays
  • Avoids construction through Illinois, Indiana,
    and Ohio
  • Based upon previous proposed projects, building
    through those states will cause 2-year delay or
    more to in-service
  • Range of rates from 1.30 to 1.45/Dth from Opal
    (includes 7 fuel)
  • Range of Rockies commitments required from 1.5 to
    2 Bcf/d
  • 500 MDth/d of downstream capacity available to
    Ellsworth (near Leidy area) on Tennessee
  • More expensive than Perryville
  • Late 2008 in-service
  • Interim capacity available to Greensburg by March
    2007 as part of project

12
Development Schedule
  • One-on-one meetings with potential shippers
    through September to present detailed rates,
    route info, etc.
  • Precedent Agreements September and October 2005
  • Begin NEPA work November 2005
  • Anticipated in-service late 2008 on either project

13
Contacts
  • Contact myself or Laine Lobban to schedule
    detailed proposal presentation
  • Ed Miller (719) 520-4305
  • Laine Lobban (719) 520-4344
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