Assessment of Vulnerability

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Assessment ofVulnerability Adaptation of
Agricultural production in Egypt to Climate
ChangesSamir TantawiEgyptian Environmental
Affairs Agency (EEAA)Egypt
CCU
EEAA
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Outline

• Methodology
• Basic climatic information for Vulnerability
  Measures
• Vulnerability due to Warming
• Vulnerability due to Dryness
• Vulnerability due to losses of Fertile Lands
• Assessments of Emissions
• Measures to facilitate Adequate Adaptation to
  Climate Change in Agricultural Sector

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Vulnerabilities Assessment

• Methodology
• 1- Overview of the first National Communication.
• 2- Definition of causes relevant study aspects
  to vulnerabilities .
• 3- Relations between physical mechanisms
  impacts.
• 4- Information on the role of the institutions
  involved the process of data collection
  archiving.
• 5- Specification of Response strategies.

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Basic climatic information for Vulnerability
Measures

• 1- Vulnerability due to warming.
• 2- Vulnerability due to Dryness.
• 3- Vulnerability due to losses of agricultural
  lands.
• 4- Vulnerabilities due to increased activity of
  insects spreading of plant diseases.
• 5- Problems of agricultural waste disposal.

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Vulnerability due to Warming(Distribution of
Temperature Trend Coefficient on Annual scale)
Warming
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Vulnerability due to Dryness(Distribution of
Relative Humidity Trend Coefficient on Annual
scale)

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Vulnerability due to losses of Fertile Lands
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Assessments of Emissions

• The following procedures will be followed
• 1- Description of the source sink categories,
  methodologies, emission factors activity data
  used in their estimation of emissions.
• 2- Tabulation of the GHG emission values from
  different sources different sectors.
• 3- Identification of the areas where data may be
  further improved in future communication through
  capacity building.
• 4- Definitions of the levels of uncertainty
  methods of increasing precision.

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Measures to facilitate Adequate Adaptation to
Climate Change in Agricultural Sector (EGYPT)

• 1- Protection of the Northern coast of EGYPT.
• 2- Preference of vegetable cultivation in the
  areas near sea coast, since the roots of crops
  trees due to intrusion of saline water.
• 3- Preference of diversified farms with more than
  one crop to increase the ability to cop with
  drought.

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Continued

• 4- Farms with trees planted strategically between
  crops could be a good solution for saving shade
  sequestration of excess CO2 .
• 5- Variation of crop distribution , replacement
  with new crops that can bear additional warming
  could be another solution to adaptation in EGYPT
  to Climate Change.
• 6- Changing of Irrigation systems in Egypt to
  save evaporated water.

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• Thank You
• Samir Tantawi
• E-mail samir_tantawi_at_hotmail.com