9th Annual Ohio Severe Weather Symposium April 15, 2005

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9th Annual Ohio Severe Weather SymposiumApril
15, 2005
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Morning Introductions

• 730 a.m. - 800 a.m. check-in/coffee
• Morning Facilitator Jeremy Bower
  
• 800 a.m. - 815 a.m. Introductions
  
• OSU Meteorology Club President - Jeremy Bower
  
• Director of Atmospheric Science Department -
  Dr. Jay Hobgood
• Department of Geography Chair - Dr. Morton
  OKelly

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Dr. Morton OKelly

• Chair of Department of Geography at Ohio State

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Dr. Jay Hobgood

• Director of Ohio State Atmospheric Science
  Department

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Jeremy Bower President of Ohio
State Meteorology Club
Co-Coordinator of this years Ohio Severe
Weather Symposium
Photo taken on June 24, 2003 near Centerville,
South Dakota
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Morning Schedule

• 815 a.m. - 850 a.m. Robin Belton-Gerhardt
  (Wilmington, OH NWSFO)
• An Examination of the January 2005 Flooding
  Across the NWS Wilmington, Ohio Hydrological
  Service Area"
• 850 a.m. - 925 a.m. Tom Adams (Development
  and Operations Hydrologist, Ohio River Forecast
  Center)
• "Operational Quantitative Precipitation
  Estimation Bias in the OHRFC Region"
• 925 a.m. - 935 a.m. break
• 935 a.m. - 1010 a.m. Rick McCoy (Director of
  Emergency Management, Van Wert County, OH)
• "A Community Prepared, the Van Wert, Ohio
  Tornado"
• 1010 a.m. - 1050 a.m. Harold Brooks
  (National Severe Storms Laboratory)
• Climatological Aspects Of Convective Parameters
  From The NCAR/NCEP Reanalysis
• 1050 a.m. - 1100 a.m. Discussion of afternoon
  events

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Lunch and Forecast School

• 1100 a.m. - 100 p.m. lunch/Department Tours
• 1200 p.m. - 1245 p.m. Tim Vasquez (Weather
  Graphics) FORECAST SCHOOL

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Afternoon Introductions

• Afternoon Facilitator Sara Young
• 100 p.m. - 110 p.m. afternoon introductions
• Wilmington NWS meteorologist/Co-Coordinator -
  Mike Ryan
• OSU Meteorology Club Vice President - Sara Young
• 110 p.m. - 115 p.m. Ken Haydu (Meteorologist
  in Charge, Wilmington, OH NWSFO) - introduction
  of Dr. Uccellini

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Afternoon Schedule

• 115 p.m. - 200 p.m. Dr. Louis Uccellini
  (Director, National Centers for Environmental
  Prediction)
• NCEP Update
  
• 200 p.m. - 245 p.m. Dan McCarthy (Warning
  Coordination Meteorologist, Storm Prediction
  Center)
• 40th Anniversary of the Palm Sunday Tornado
  Outbreak and How It Changed Tornado Preparedness
• 245 p.m. - 300 p.m. break
• 300 p.m. - 345 p.m. Dr. Josh Wurman (Center
  for Severe Weather Research)
• DOW observations of Tornadoes, Hurricanes and
  Fires"
• 345 p.m. - 400 p.m. closing QA

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Robin Belton-Gerhardt

• Obtained a B.S. in Geography with an emphasis
  in Atmospheric Science from the Ohio State
  University in 2000.
• In 2002, she completed her M.S. in
  Atmospheric Science from the Ohio State
  University.
• While at Ohio State, she was president of the
  Meteorology Club and a student coordinator for
  the Ohio Severe Weather Symposium. She remains
  active in the event as it continues to grow.
• She became involved with the National Weather
  Service in the summer of 1999 as a student
  volunteer. She was promoted to a student trainee
  meteorologist in 2001 and became a full time
  meteorologist in 2002.

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An Examination of the January 2005 Flooding
Across the NWS Wilmington, Ohio Hydrological
Service Area
Robin
Belton-Gerhardt
Meteorologist Wilmington, Ohio
National Weather Service Forecast Office
Photo reference http//www.urbanohio.com/forum2/i
ndex.php?topic2016.0
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Tom Adams

• Office of Hydrology, Hydrologic Research Lab.
  Development Operations Hydrologist (DOH), OHRFC
  1994-present.
• Previously, Environmental Engineer, North
  Carolina Dept. of Natural Resources, Groundwater
  Section, Hydraulic Engineer, Susquehanna River
  Basin Commission, and Project Engineer, with an
  engineering consulting firm.
• Undergraduate degree in Philosophy, with Geology
  minor
• Master's degree in Civil Engineering (Water
  Resources) - from Virginia Tech.
• Additionally, working on research to complete PhD
  requirements at Virginia Tech.
• Also attended the Univ. of Virginia Department of
  Environmental Sciences (Hydrology).

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Operational Quantitative Precipitation
Estimation Bias in the OHRFC Region
Tom Adams
Development and Operations Hydrologist
Ohio River Forecast Center
Image taken from Wilmington OH radar on April 7,
2005 at 337 p.m. EDT
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Morning break 10 minutes
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Rick McCoy

• Director of the Van Wert County Office of
  Homeland Security Emergency Management for the
  past 14 1/2 years. He was a Deputy Sheriff in the
  County from 1980 thru 1990.
• Developed the Storm Ready Program in Van Wert
  County and received Storm Ready Certification in
  January, 2002. On November 10, 2002 a devastating
  F-4 Tornado ravaged the county and he was
  credited for saving hundreds of lives through his
  program. Because of his actions, he was the first
  person in the US to receive the National Storm
  Ready Hero's Award from NOAA. He was also awarded
  the NOAA Weather All Hazards Radio Mark Trail
  Award in Washington D.C.
• Rick has a meteorological background with
  Mississippi State University and also worked
  part-time for the CBS affiliate in Fort Wayne,
  Indiana as a weekend weather personality from
  1995 thru 2000.
• He created and chaired a task force in the early
  1990's which was successful in acquiring an
  additional Weather Service Office and NEXRAD
  Doppler placed in North Webster, Indiana. He also
  created and chaired a National Emergency
  Management Council for the 50 States in 1997
  which lobbied in Washington DC and was successful
  in getting a hiring freeze lifted, kept the
  Sourthern Region Weather Service Office open,
  plus they got the Modernization of the National
  Weather Service back on schedule.

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A Community Prepared, the Van Wert, Ohio Tornado

Rick McCoy Director of Emergency Management,
Van Wert County, Ohio
Image taken from http//www.crh.noaa.gov/iwx/
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Dr. Harold Brooks

• Research meteorologist and Head of the Mesoscale
  Applications Group at the National Severe Storms
  Laboratory (NSSL) in Norman, Oklahoma. He has a
  Ph.D. from the University of Illinois and a M.A.
  from Columbia University.
• After graduating from Illinois, he was a National
  Research Council Research Associate at NSSL and
  joined the permanent staff there in 1992. During
  his career, his work has focused on why, when,
  and where severe thunderstorms occur and what
  their effects are, and on how to evaluate weather
  forecasts.
• He has given numerous public and scientific
  lectures and been an author on over 120 formal
  and informal scientific papers. He has been an
  invited speaker on severe thunderstorms at
  scientific meetings on five continents.
• In 2002, he received the United States Department
  of Commerces Silver Medal for his work on the
  distribution of severe thunderstorms in the
  United States.
• Currently, he is Co-Chief Editor of the American
  Meteorological Societys journal, Weather and
  Forecasting, and is a member of the World
  Meteorological Organizations Joint Working Group
  on Verification.

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Climatological Aspects Of Convective Parameters
From The NCAR/NCEP Reanalysis
Dr. Harold Brooks
Head of the Mesoscale Applications Group
National Severe Storms Laboratory
Photo courtesy of http//www.ucar.edu/research/sto
rms/lightning.shtml
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Discussion of Afternoon Events

• 1100 a.m. - 100 p.m. lunch/Department Tours
• 1200 p.m. - 1245 p.m. Tim Vasquez (Weather
  Graphics) FORECAST SCHOOL
• Meteorological Training Course for Effective
  Weather Forecasting
• 115 p.m. - 200 p.m. Dr. Louis Uccellini
  (Director, National Centers for Environmental
  Prediction)
• NCEP Update
  
• 200 p.m. - 245 p.m. Dan McCarthy (Warning
  Coordination Meteorologist, Storm Prediction
  Center)
• 40th Anniversary of the Palm Sunday Tornado
  Outbreak and How It Changed Tornado Preparedness
• 300 p.m. - 345 p.m. Dr. Josh Wurman (Center
  for Severe Weather Research)
• DOW observations of Tornadoes, Hurricanes and
  Fires

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Forecast School

• The meteorological training course will begin
  here in the Auditorium at approximately Noon
• Will last about 45 minutes
• Make sure to check out Tims vendor table outside
  the Auditorium before and after the program

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Tim Vasquez

• Served as an Air Force meteorologist between
  1989 and 1998, forecasting in Nevada, Texas,
  England, Africa, and Korea.
• He began storm chasing in 1987, developed the
  Weathergraphix and Digital Atmosphere software
  packages several years later, and went on to
  write several book titles including Storm Chasing
  Handbook and Weather Forecasting Handbook.
• From 1999 to 2004 he operated the Chase
  Hotline, analyzing Great Plains weather on a
  daily basis and providing target and nowcast
  services for up to 60 customers per day.

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Forecast School
Tim Vasquez
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Michael Ryan

• Co-Chair of the Ohio Severe Weather Symposium

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Sara Young

• Meteorology Club Vice-President

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Kenneth Haydu


Meteorologist -
In - Charge Wilmington Ohio National Weather
Service Forecast Office
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Dr. Louis Uccellini

• Director of the National Weather Service,
  National Centers for Environmental Prediction
  (NCEP).
• Responsible for directing and planning the
  science, technology and operations related to
  NCEP's Central Operations and Environmental
  Modeling Center as well as seven national centers
  that forecast specific weather phenomena. These
  centers include the National Hurricane Center
  (Miami, FL), Storm Prediction Center (Norman,
  OK), Space Environment Center (Boulder, CO),
  Ocean Prediction Center, Hydrometeorological
  Prediction Centers, Climate Prediction Center and
  Aviation Weather Center (Kansas City, MO).
• Director of the NWS Office of Meteorology from
  1994 to 1999 Chief of the NWS Meteorological
  Operations Division from 1989 to 1994 and
  Section Head for the Mesoscale Analysis and
  Modeling Section in the Goddard Space Flight
  Center's Laboratory for Atmospheres from 1978 to
  1989.
• Received his Ph.D. (1977), Masters (1972) and
  Bachelor of Science (1971), degrees from the
  University of Wisconsin-Madison.

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NCEP Update
Dr. Louis
Uccellini Director, National Centers of
Environmental Prediction
Image courtesy http//www.goes.noaa.gov/
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Dan McCarthy

• Warning Coordination Meteorologist for the NOAA
  Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman,
  Oklahoma.
• He has been with the National Weather Service for
  18 years, all with the National Severe Storms
  Forecast Center/Storm Prediction Center.
• He earned his Bachelor's of Science Degree from
  St. Louis University in 1978 then worked for the
  Ohio Industrial Commission and Ohio
  Administrative Services before returning to St.
  Louis University to obtain a Master's Degree in
  Meteorology. He obtained his degree in 1984
  studying, "Dynamic Trajectories using
  Dual-Doppler Radar Data.
• Dan then worked as a Broadcast Meteorologist in
  Wausau, Wisconsin and Wichita, Kansas before
  joining the National Weather Service. Dan has
  conducted research on bow echoes across Kansas
  and New York State. He has also done extensive
  research on Ohio tornadoes including the Super
  Outbreak of April 3-4, 1974. He has served as a
  member of the Fujita Scale Symposium.

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40th Anniversary of the Palm Sunday Tornado
Outbreak and How It Changed Tornado
Preparedness
Dan McCarthy
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
Storm Prediction Center

Image courtesy of http//homepages.wmich.edu/b1na
ftel/outbreak65.html
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Afternoon break 15 minutes
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Dr. Josh Wurman

• President Center for Severe Weather
  Research 1998-2005
• Adjunct Associate Professor PSU 2004-2005
• Affiliate Scientist NCAR 2001-2004
• Associate Professor with Tenure University of
  Oklahoma 2000-2003
• Visiting Associate Professor Hokkaido
  University 1998-1999
• Visiting Scientist NCAR 1998-1998
• President BINET, Inc. 1995-2005
• Assistant Professor University of Oklahoma
  1994-2000
• Visiting Scientist NCAR 1991-1994
• Visiting Instructor University
  of Pennsylvania 1985-1996
• Invented and led the development of the Doppler
  On Wheels (DOW) mobile radars which are
  permitting the study of small scale and near
  ground features in tornadoes, hurricanes,
  wildfires, microbursts, gust fronts, marine
  boundary layers and other phenomena.

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DOW observations of Tornadoes, Hurricanes and
Fires
Dr. Josh Wurman
Center for Severe Weather Research
Image courtesy of http//www.cswr.org/projects/rot
ate/2003-05-15.html
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Closing Question and Answer Session