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Cattle Cycle

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Approximately one half of all cows slaughtered are dairy cows. About 1/3 of of domestic non-fed beef production comes from dairy cows. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Cattle Cycle


1
Cattle Cycle Cull Cows
  • Cattle Cycle
  • Long as 15 years short as 7
  • 8-10 years of profitability
  • Counter Cyclically
  • Cost of production
  • Ability to purchase and sell at lows and highs
  • Different attitude toward risk

2
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3
Livestock Marketing Information Center Data
Source USDA/NASS
4
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6
Cattle Cycle Cull Cows
  • Rules of Thumb
  • What do these numbers Mean?
  • Cow slaughter less than 13 of Inventory
    indicates herd buildup
  • Greater than 15 indicates decline
  • Heifer Slaughter less than 37 of Cow herd
    considered growth

7
Marketing Cull Cows
8
Importance of Understanding Cow Slaughter
  • 15-20 of a producers revenue comes from the sale
    of cull cows and bulls
  • Cow slaughter generates 70-75 of domestic non
    fed beef
  • A high percentage of ground beef comes form cows
  • Ground beef accounts for 44 of all beef consumed

9
Importance of Understanding Cow Slaughter
  • Approximately one half of all cows slaughtered
    are dairy cows
  • About 1/3 of of domestic non-fed beef production
    comes from dairy cows.

10
Economic Importance
  • Approximately 7million pounds of Non-Fed Beef.
  • 50 slaughter cows
  • 9 from bulls
  • 13 from non fed steers and heifers
  • 28 from imported
  • Equates to 20 of total
  • beef production

11
Processors
  • Rosen Diversified 5 plants
  • Yankton, SD Cimpl Meats 400 /day
  • St. Paul MN
  • Long Prairie, MN 1,000 / day
  • Omaha, NE 950 /day
  • Gibbon, NE 1,000 /day
  • Swift 2 plants
  • Omaha, NE and Idaho
  • Iowa Producers
  • Tama Ia. Plant 30 cows 500 / day
  • Privately held Plants
  • Lovett Pack, NE Host of ones in WI

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13
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Questions
  • When are most cull cows sold
  • When is the greatest demand for cull cow meat

14
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15
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16
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Questions
  • When are most cull cows sold
  • When is the greatest demand for cull cow meat
  • Most sold from October December
  • Pregnancy checked off grass, old poor performance
  • Greatest demand for Ground Beef
  • Summer Months can be frozen for storage

17
Livestock Marketing Information Center Data
Source USDA/NASS
18
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20
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21
Sioux Falls Cow Prices October 22, 2003
Cows Percent Lean Weight
Price Lean Premium White 65-75 1404-1534 lbs
56.00-59.50 Breakers 75-80 1305-1710 lbs
50.50-55.50 Boners 80-85 1162-1479 lbs
45.00-50.00 High Dressing 52.00
Lean 85-90 975-1490 lbs 44.00-48.50
High Dressing 50.00 Low Dressing
42.50-43.00
USDA, Market News
22
Sioux Falls Cow Prices October 20, 2004
Cows Percent Lean Weight
Price Lean Premium White 65-75 1404-1534 lbs
58.00-66.00 Breakers 75-80 1305-1710 lbs
54.00-56.00 Boners 80-85 1162-1479 lbs
52.00-54.00 High Dressing 58.00
Lean 85-90 975-1490 lbs 49.00-52.00
High Dressing 56.00 Low Dressing
45.00-46.00
USDA, Market News
23
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Questions to be asked
  • What season of the market are you in?
  • The price difference between grades of cows?
  • Cost of feeding?
  • Select cows that will gain and obtain higher
    grades
  • Consider market place.

24
Percentage Price Increases Between Cull Cow Grades
Pritchard, SDSU
25
Percentage of Cows in Each Grade Following a
Feeding Program of Shelled Corn and Corn Silage
Pritchard, SDSU
26
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Iowa State Data
  • - Feed 60 90 days to obtain White Fat
  • Average daily gain 3.8 lbs
  • Feed costs were 52.23/cwt
  • Conversions were 10 to 1

27
Economic Importance of Non-Fed Slaughter Cattle
  • Sale of cows and bull for slaughter account for
    15-20 of producer revenue
  • When marketing cull cattle Quicker the Better
  • Prolapse 6) Cancer
  • Sheath Damage 7) Lump Jaw
  • Disease 8) Abscesses
  • Lameness 9) Incorrect Condition
  • 5) Buck Shoot

28
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29
Cancer Eye
30
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32
Bruising
33
Bruising
  • Tim Loss (26.8 mil lbs) 23.0 mil
  • Loss of Primal 52.0 mil
  • Avg loss per head 11.75 / hd
  • Producer controlled 4.00 / hd

34
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37
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38
Downer Cows
  • Only 1 But.
  • Causes problems when animal right activist get a
    hold of pictures

39
Proper Condition
40
Proper Condition
41
Proper Condition
42
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43
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44
Quality Losses Per Head
  • Carcass condemnation 11.99
  • Trim dirt/ Bruises 12.00
  • Loss of offal 4.00
  • Hide devalued 7.00
  • Injection Site Lesions .75
  • Yellow Fat 2.30
  • Poor Muscling 14.50
  • Excessive Fat 17.75
  • Light Carcasses 4.00
  • Other 1.20
  • Total 76.00

45
Strategies to Improve Quality
  • Monitor herd health
  • Monitor Condition Scores
  • Decreased hide damage Insects
  • Reduce Bruising
  • Reduce Injection site lesions
  • Market clean cattle
  • Euthanasia disabled cattle
  • Market in a Timely Manner!!!

46
Marketing
  • Live
  • Auction markets
  • Live basis
  • Risks???
  • Packer Direct
  • Delivery
  • Carcass basis
  • Risks??

47
Marketing
  • Live
  • Auction markets
  • Live basis
  • Risks??? NO Risk
  • Packer Direct
  • Delivery
  • Carcass basis
  • Risks?? Great Risk condemned carcasses trim ect

48
Marketing
  • Where to sell
  • Local Auction Markets
  • Ask how many cow buyers and who they represent
  • How to sell
  • Do Auctions use sorting
  • How many do the sell (large groups or Small)

49
Marketing
  • Maximizing Price
  • Time of year
  • Dressing percent
  • Condition
  • Quality, Fatness, Structural soundness and Age

50
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51
Importance of Understanding Cow Slaughter
  • 15-20 of a producers revenue comes from the sale
    of cull cows and bulls
  • Cow slaughter generates 70-75 of domestic non
    fed beef
  • A high percentage of ground beef comes form cows
  • Ground beef accounts for 44 of all beef consumed
  • Approximately one half of all cows slaughtered
    are dairy cows
  • About 1/3 of domestic non-fed beef production
    comes from dairy cows.

52
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Questions
  • When are most cull cows sold
  • When is the greatest demand for cull cow meat
  • Most sold from October December
  • Pregnancy checked off grass, old poor performance
  • Greatest demand for Ground Beef
  • Summer Months can be frozen for storage

53
(No Transcript)
54
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55
(No Transcript)
56
Sioux Falls Cow Prices October 20, 2004
Cows Percent Lean Weight
Price Lean Premium White 65-75 1404-1534 lbs
58.00-66.00 Breakers 75-80 1305-1710 lbs
54.00-56.00 Boners 80-85 1162-1479 lbs
52.00-54.00 High Dressing 58.00
Lean 85-90 975-1490 lbs 49.00-52.00
High Dressing 56.00 Low Dressing
45.00-46.00
USDA, Market News
57
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58
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59
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Questions to be asked
  • What season of the market are you in?
  • The price difference between grades of cows?
  • Cost of feeding?
  • Select cows that will gain and obtain higher
    grades
  • Consider market place.

60
Percentage of Cows in Each Grade Following a
Feeding Program of Shelled Corn and Corn Silage
Pritchard, SDSU
61
Marketing Cull Cows
  • Iowa State Data
  • - Feed 60 90 days to obtain White Fat
  • Average daily gain 3.8 lbs
  • Feed costs were 52.23/cwt
  • Conversions were 10 to 1

62
Economic Importance of Non-Fed Slaughter Cattle
  • Sale of cows and bull for slaughter account for
    15-20 of producer revenue
  • When marketing cull cattle Quicker the Better
  • Prolapse 6) Cancer
  • Sheath Damage 7) Lump Jaw
  • Disease 8) Abscesses
  • Lameness 9) Incorrect Condition
  • 5) Buck Shoot

63
Quality Losses Per Head
  • Carcass condemnation 11.99
  • Trim dirt/ Bruises 12.00
  • Loss of offal 4.00
  • Hide devalued 7.00
  • Injection Site Lesions .75
  • Yellow Fat 2.30
  • Poor Muscling 14.50
  • Excessive Fat 17.75
  • Light Carcasses 4.00
  • Other 1.20
  • Total 76.00

64
Strategies to Improve Quality
  • Monitor herd health
  • Monitor Condition Scores
  • Decreased hide damage Insects
  • Reduce Bruising
  • Reduce Injection site lesions
  • Market clean cattle
  • Euthanasia disabled cattle
  • Market in a Timely Manner!!!

65
Marketing
  • Live
  • Auction markets
  • Live basis
  • Risks??? NO Risk
  • Packer Direct
  • Delivery
  • Carcass basis
  • Risks?? Great Risk condemned carcasses trim ect
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