The Education Service Needs of New Mexico

1
The Education Service Needs of New Mexico

• Presented to the
• Geographic Service Areas Task Force
• Albuquerque, New Mexico
• December 1, 2005

2
Elements of Need

• Access to 2-Year and 4-Year Institutions
• Access to Programs

3

• The Context

4
Total Population, 2000
New Mexico 1,819,046 Source U.S. Census
Bureau, 2000 Census
5
Percent Change in Total Population, 1990-2000
New Mexico 20.1 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
1990 and 2000 Census.
6
Percent Change in Population Age 18-24, 1990-2000
New Mexico 17.0 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
1990 and 2000.
7
Percent Change in Population Age 25-44, 1990-2000
New Mexico 6.5 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
1990 and 2000 Census.
8
Population per Square Mile, 2000
New Mexico 15.0 Source Bureau of Business and
Economic Research, University of New Mexico.
9
Population Age 18-24 per Square Mile, 2000
New Mexico 1.5 Source Bureau of Business and
Economic Research, University of New Mexico.
10
Population Age 25-44 per Square Mile, 2000
New Mexico 4.3 Source Bureau of Business and
Economic Research, University of New Mexico.
11
Projected Total PopulationPercent Change, 2000-25
Source U.S. Census Bureau
12
Projected Population Age 18-24Percent Change,
2000-25
Source U.S. Census Bureau
13
Projected Population Age 25-44Percent Change,
2000-25
Source U.S. Census Bureau
14
Projected Population Change, 2000-2020
New Mexico 556,836 Source Bureau of Business
and Economic Research, University of New Mexico.
15
Projected Percent Population Change, 2000-2020
New Mexico 30.5 Source Bureau of Business
and Economic Research, University of New Mexico.
16
Projected Change in New Mexico Population by Age
and Race/Ethnicity, 2000-20
Source U.S. Census Bureau
17
Counties Where 80 of New Mexicos Hispanic
Population Resides, 2000
Bernalillo 30.5 Dona Ana 14.5 Santa Fe
8.3 Valencia 4.8 Rio Arriba 3.9 Chaves
3.5 Sandoval 3.5 San Miguel 3.1 Lea
2.9 Otero 2.6 Eddy 2.6
Source U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census
18
Counties Where 80 of New Mexicos Native
American Population Resides, 2000
McKinley 32.2 San Juan 24.2 Bernalillo
13.4 Sandoval 8.4
Source U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census
19
Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of U.S.
AverageNew Mexico, 1960-2000
Source U.S. Census Bureau
20
Per Capita Personal Income, 1999
New Mexico 17,261 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
2000 Census
21
New Mexico Civilians Age 16 and Older in the
Workforce by Education Attainment, 2000
Source Integrated Public Use Microdata Series
5 sample, Minnesota Population Center
www.ipums.org
22

• The Education Pipeline

23
Key Transition Points in the Education Pipeline

• Complete High School
• Enter College
• Finish College
• Enter the Workplace

24
Student Pipeline
Of 100 9th Graders, How Many
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata
Samples, 2000
25
High School Graduation RatesPublic High School
Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years
Earlier, 2000
Source Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity
26
Percent of Population Age 18-24 with Less than a
High School Diploma, 2000
New Mexico 29.5 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
2000 Census
27
Number of Residents Age 18-24 with Less than a
High School Diploma, 2000
New Mexico 52,115 Source U.S. Census Bureau,
2000 Census
28
College-Going RatesFirst-Time Freshmen Directly
Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High
School Graduates, 2000
Source Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity
29
Percent of Whites, Hispanics, and Native
Americans at Each Stage of the Education
Pipeline, 2000
Source U.S. Census Bureau, NCES-Common Core
Data, NCES-IPEDS Enrollment and Completions
Surveys
30
Projections of High School Graduates to 2018 By
Race/EthnicityNew Mexico
Source WICHE Projections of High School
Graduates
31
Percent Educational Attainment of Population Age
25-64 By Race/EthnicityNew Mexico, 2000
Source U.S. Census Bureau
32
Percent of First-Time Freshmen Who Attend College
Within Their Reported State of Residence, Fall
2002
Source NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Residency and
Migration File
33
First-Time Freshmen Net Imports by Type of
InstitutionNew Mexico, Fall 2002
Source NCES, IPEDS Fall 2002 Residence and
Migration File
34
Out-of-State Institutions in Which 20 or More New
Mexico Residents Enrolled as First-Time Freshmen,
Fall 2002
Total Freshmenfrom New Mexico
Institution
State
Sector
Din-E College AZ Public 2-Year 138 Trinidad State
Junior College CO Public 2-Year 138 Texas Tech
University TX Public 4-Year 104 Fort Lewis
College CO Public 4-Year 85 Universal Technical
Institute Inc AZ Private 2-Year For-Profit 83 El
Paso Community College TX Public 2-Year 77 South
Plains College TX Public 2-Year 74 Arizona State
University-Main Campus AZ Public
4-Year 64 Laboratory Institute of
Merchandising NY Private 4-Year
For-Profit 56 Colorado State University CO Public
4-Year 48 University of Arizona AZ Public
4-Year 44 Adams State College CO Public
4-Year 41 Northern Arizona University AZ Public
4-Year 40 Western Technical Institute TX Private
2-Year For-Profit 37 Brigham Young
University UT Private 4-Year Non-Profit 34 Eastern
Arizona College AZ Public 2-Year 33 University
of Colorado at Boulder CO Public
4-Year 32 University of Denver CO Private 4-Year
Non-Profit 31 West Texas A M University TX Publi
c 4-Year 26 Westwood College of
Technology CO Private 4-Year For-Profit 26 Univers
ity of Nevada-Las Vegas NV Public
4-Year 25 Occidental College CA Private 4-Year
Non-Profit 22 Wyoming Technical
Institute WY Private 2-Year For-Profit 22 Lubbock
Christian University TX Private 4-Year
Non-Profit 21 Trinity University TX Private
4-Year Non-Profit 21 Abilene Christian
University TX Private 4-Year Non-Profit 20
Source NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey
35
Total Public First-Time Freshmen, Fall 2004
New Mexico 9,892 (Does not include data from
New Mexico Junior College) Source New Mexico
Higher Education Department.
36
Total Public First-Time Freshmen as a Percent of
Public High School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 55.5 (Does not include data from
New Mexico Junior College)Source New Mexico
Higher Education Department.
37
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
First-Time Freshmen Just Out of High School to ,
Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education
Department. NCES, IPEDS 2003 2004 Completions
File.
38
First-Time Freshmen as a Percent of High School
Graduates by County and Sector, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department
39
Participation Rates and Institutions Receiving
80 of Each Countys First-Time Freshmen
40
Total Public 4-Year First-Time Freshmen as a
Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 28.8 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
41
Total Public 2-Year First-Time Freshmen as a
Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 26.7 (Does not include data from
New Mexico Junior College) Source New Mexico
Higher Education Department.
42
Total Public Research First-Time Freshmen as a
Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 24.4 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
43
Total Public Comprehensive First-Time Freshmen as
a Percent of Public High School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 4.4 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
44
Total Public Branch Community College First-Time
Freshmen as a Percent of Public High School
Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 10.6 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
45
Total Public Independent Community College
First-Time Freshmen as a Percent of Public High
School Graduates, 2004
New Mexico 16.1 (Does not include data from
New Mexico Junior College) Source New Mexico
Higher Education Department.
46
Percent of Public Undergraduates Attending Public
4-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 34.6 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
47
Percent of Public Undergraduates Attending Public
2-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 65.4 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
48
Percent of Full-Time Public Undergraduates
Attending Public 4-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 55.8 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
49
Percent of Full-Time Public Undergraduates
Attending Public 2-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 44.2 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
50
Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment as a Percent
of Population Age 25-44, 2000
Source NCES-IPEDS, U.S. Census Bureau
51
Percent of Part-Time Public Undergraduates
Attending Public 4-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 16.4 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
52
Percent of Part-Time Public Undergraduates
Attending Public 2-Year Institutions, Fall 2004
New Mexico 83.6 Source New Mexico Higher
Education Department.
53
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
54
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Full-Time Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
55
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Part-Time Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
56
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
57
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Full-Time Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
58
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Part-Time Public Undergraduates to, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
59
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Full-Time Public 4-Year Undergraduates to, Fall
2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
60
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Part-Time Public 2-Year Undergraduates to, Fall
2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
61
Counties from which New Mexico Institute of
Mining Technology Receives 80 of its Full-Time
Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
62
Counties from which New Mexico State University
Receives 80 of its Full-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
63
Counties from which the University of New Mexico
Receives 80 of its Full-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
64
Counties from which Eastern New Mexico University
Receives 80 of its Full-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
65
Counties from which New Mexico Highlands
University Receives 80 of its Full-Time
Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
66
Counties from which Western New Mexico University
Receives 80 of its Full-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
67
Counties from which ENMU Roswell Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
68
Counties from which ENMU Ruidoso Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
69
Counties from which NMSU Alamogordo Receives 80
of its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall
2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
70
Counties from which NMSU Carlsbad Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
71
Counties from which NMSU Dona Ana Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
72
Counties from which NMSU Grants Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
73
Counties from which UNM Gallup Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
74
Counties from which UNM Los Alamos Receives 80
of its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall
2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
75
Counties from which UNM Taos Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
76
Counties from which UNM Valencia Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
77
Counties from which Albuquerque Technical
Vocational Institute Receives 80 of its
Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
78
Counties from which ATVI UNM Site Receives 80 of
its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
79
Counties from which Clovis Community College
Receives 80 of its Part-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
80
Counties from which Luna Community College
Receives 80 of its Part-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
81
Counties from which Mesalands Community College
Receives 80 of its Part-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
82
Counties from which New Mexico Junior College
Receives 80 of its Part-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
83
Counties from which New Mexico Military Institute
Receives 80 of its Undergraduate Enrollment,
Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
84
Counties from which Northern New Mexico Community
College Receives 80 of its Part-Time
Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
85
Counties from which Santa Fe Community College
Receives 80 of its Part-Time Undergraduate
Enrollment, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
86
Counties from which San Juan College Receives 80
of its Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment, Fall
2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
87
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
Graduate Students to, Fall 2004
Institutions with Graduate Student Enrollments
Source New Mexico Higher Education Department.
88
Associate Degrees Awarded per 100 High School
Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2002
Source NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE
89
Bachelors Degrees Awarded per 100 High School
Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2002
Source NCES-IPEDS Completions Survey, WICHE
90
Counties Who Send their Largest Proportion of
First-Time Freshmen Just Out of High School to
Institutions with Nursing Programs, Fall 2004
Source New Mexico Higher Education
Department. NCES, IPEDS 2003 2004 Completions
File.
91

• Migration

92
New Mexico Net Migration by Degree Level and Age
Group
22- to 29-Year-Olds
30- to 64-Year-Olds
Less thanHigh School High School Some
College Associate Bachelors Graduate/Professiona
l Total
Source U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 5
Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files
93
Net Migration of Residents Age 22-29 with a
College Degree (Associate or Higher), 1995-2000
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdate
Samples, 2000
94
New Mexico Occupations with High Net Imports and
Exports, 1995-2000All Adults Age 22-29
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata
Samples, 2000
95
New Mexico Occupations with High Net Imports and
Exports, 1995-2000Adults Age 22-29 with College
Degrees
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata
Samples, 2000
96
New Mexico Occupations with High Net Imports and
Exports, 1995-2000All Adults Age 30-64
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata
Samples, 2000
97
New Mexico Occupations with High Net Imports and
Exports, 1995-2000Adults Age 30-64 with College
Degrees
Source U.S. Census Bureau, Public Use Microdata
Samples, 2000